TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Philadelphia Philliesof Washington Nationals, Philadelphia Phillies
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$282,438
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$299,349

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $282,438 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 206 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa5ea…d96abacked Washington Nationals37c148,553$54,965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54,964.5921040%84 W · 126 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6b6…13acbacked Philadelphia Phillies63c81,975$51,644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,330.82650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Philadelphia Phillies63c31,868$20,077 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,791.251,04150.1%522 W · 519 L+17.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16bb…8492backed Philadelphia Phillies63c21,060$13,268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,792.2388349.3%435 W · 448 L-4.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa115…6c5abacked Philadelphia Phillies64c8,289$5,305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,984666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Washington Nationals27c5,987$1,609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,609.0165050.3%327 W · 323 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fd6…b163backed Philadelphia Phillies63c5,867$3,696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,170.721163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Philadelphia Phillies63c5,151$3,247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,904.011,52751.1%780 W · 747 L+7.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Washington Nationals31c5,080$1,579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,578.910,97951.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L+139.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Philadelphia Phillies69c4,743$3,277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,465.9921656.5%122 W · 94 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Philadelphia Phillies63c3,519$2,214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,305.435,47150.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L+21.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Washington Nationals6c2,983$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.1411125.2%28 W · 83 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x284d…59f7backed Philadelphia Phillies79c2,282$1,805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477.374652.2%24 W · 22 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Washington Nationals11c1,949$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.481,19429%346 W · 848 L-0.9wins0.00per pick29cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Washington Nationals17c1,861$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.598,19246.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L+38.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Washington Nationals29c1,855$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534.3812,32846.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L-66.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Washington Nationals20c1,761$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.241,87452%975 W · 899 L+51.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x714d…6e05backed Washington Nationals37c1,700$629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6296437.5%24 W · 40 L-5.8wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-21.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Washington Nationals20c1,687$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.799219.6%18 W · 74 L-7.6wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-29.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Washington Nationals36c1,555$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.7867250.1%337 W · 335 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Philadelphia Phillies63c1,501$946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555.5320350.7%103 W · 100 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb820…cbe7backed Philadelphia Phillies69c1,367$943 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.85658.9%33 W · 23 L+4.8wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+17.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b1e…65c1backed Washington Nationals35c1,240$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438.2129948.8%146 W · 153 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Washington Nationals40c1,218$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.5636649.2%180 W · 186 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Washington Nationals22c1,099$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.752,38943.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd194…24b8backed Washington Nationals9c1,075$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.364643.5%20 W · 26 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcf4…66bbbacked Philadelphia Phillies63c931.24$587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.566253.2%33 W · 29 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Philadelphia Phillies63c921.1$581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.511,38650.6%702 W · 684 L-23.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Washington Nationals40c887.86$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.666,30548.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L+181.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked Washington Nationals36c847.66$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.164835.4%17 W · 31 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Washington Nationals38c798.26$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.348032.5%26 W · 54 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9712…0c47backed Washington Nationals30c766.4$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.9210240.2%41 W · 61 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Washington Nationals26c660.21$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.91,26951.1%648 W · 621 L+23.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Washington Nationals36c649.99$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2341,01251.2%518 W · 494 L+37.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa535…9e5ebacked Philadelphia Phillies63c615.04$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.5646749.5%231 W · 236 L-12.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Washington Nationals35c604.06$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.421,21855.6%677 W · 541 L+94.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+13.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x783b…dc4cbacked Philadelphia Phillies79c588.87$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.7660941.4%252 W · 357 L-22.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Washington Nationals38c577.68$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.5259150.3%297 W · 294 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x108c…122dbacked Philadelphia Phillies63c559.3$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.945554.5%30 W · 25 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Washington Nationals12c519.43$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.581,45642.7%622 W · 834 L-39.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Philadelphia Phillies65c506.13$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.3470735.1%248 W · 459 L-31.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-21.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5625…6c2abacked Washington Nationals20c476$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.28558.8%50 W · 35 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xba14…b792backed Washington Nationals36c470$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.244643.3%193 W · 253 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9348…8cfbbacked Washington Nationals14c460.06$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.46243.5%27 W · 35 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-20.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Washington Nationals36c459.62$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.4615148.3%73 W · 78 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Philadelphia Phillies70c455.64$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.925,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c50…2de6backed Philadelphia Phillies63c447.83$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.712154.5%66 W · 55 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Philadelphia Phillies64c436.71$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.921,02951.2%527 W · 502 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Philadelphia Phillies60c400$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1601,48350.2%745 W · 738 L+5.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Philadelphia Phillies59c386.27$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.8647447.3%224 W · 250 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Washington Nationals22c378.86$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.0655541.4%230 W · 325 L-26.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Philadelphia Phillies60c348.31$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.432,54645.9%1,168 W · 1,378 L-74.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Washington Nationals23c319$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.039431.9%30 W · 64 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-33.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Washington Nationals13c310.93$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.3114039.3%55 W · 85 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cc5…9e04backed Washington Nationals38c308.1$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.08366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+44%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd8c…f75abacked Philadelphia Phillies64c305.75$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.071450%7 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8fb4…d080backed Washington Nationals37c305.64$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.0914245.8%65 W · 77 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked Washington Nationals37c303.5$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.2635245.5%160 W · 192 L-13.6wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2798…a9c7backed Washington Nationals11c301.25$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.066547.7%31 W · 34 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5316…1d07backed Washington Nationals36c300$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10811647.4%55 W · 61 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Philadelphia Phillies65c299.99$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10546239.6%183 W · 279 L-17.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe226…95a5backed Philadelphia Phillies70c281.36$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.985451.9%28 W · 26 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5e0…457fbacked Philadelphia Phillies63c280.63$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.8331949.5%158 W · 161 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60c…d2e2backed Philadelphia Phillies63c280.63$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.8317151.5%88 W · 83 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef86…5afcbacked Philadelphia Phillies63c280.63$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.8311953.8%64 W · 55 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb89b…a39dbacked Philadelphia Phillies63c280.63$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.8310148.5%49 W · 52 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c5c…e316backed Philadelphia Phillies59c279.45$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.814641.8%61 W · 85 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Washington Nationals20c277.89$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.5816351.5%84 W · 79 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Washington Nationals11c276.47$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.526,12355.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L+346.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc6c7…cb87backed Philadelphia Phillies63c259.12$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.878551.8%44 W · 41 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-9.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1f0…c9e4backed Philadelphia Phillies64c256.34$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.2814047.1%66 W · 74 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Philadelphia Phillies63c256.09$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.757839.7%31 W · 47 L-6.0wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x72a1…1950backed Washington Nationals38c253.37$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.2811352.2%59 W · 54 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8b4…cacabacked Washington Nationals38c253.37$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.287140.8%29 W · 42 L-8.9wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-27.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc3d8…c0f2backed Philadelphia Phillies63c234.67$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.836857.4%39 W · 29 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Washington Nationals37c230.45$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.0417050%85 W · 85 L+8.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0efb…016cbacked Philadelphia Phillies67c216.61$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.32544%11 W · 14 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-26.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Washington Nationals15c212.53$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.8319452.6%102 W · 92 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked Washington Nationals35c203.18$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.1144556.9%253 W · 192 L+27.5wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x720e…17b0backed Philadelphia Phillies78c200$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446467.2%43 W · 21 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe509…7387backed Washington Nationals42c199.05$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.6425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-41.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Philadelphia Phillies62c197.17$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.931,43550%717 W · 718 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Washington Nationals31c193.78$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.0525349.4%125 W · 128 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed Washington Nationals36c192.99$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.4768846.8%322 W · 366 L+9.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Washington Nationals38c192.56$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.173,30346.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L+22.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4440…9a1abacked Washington Nationals16c184.4$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Philadelphia Phillies65c177.75$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.491,34547.7%642 W · 703 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe649…4e37backed Washington Nationals38c177.36$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.456946.9%267 W · 302 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e13…4613backed Washington Nationals32c175.46$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.651323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.7wins-0.21per pick44cpaid-42.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x04eb…f50dbacked Philadelphia Phillies59c169.69$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.2818754%101 W · 86 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-6.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d24…9c89backed Philadelphia Phillies63c167.62$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.0215257.2%87 W · 65 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2902…64a8backed Washington Nationals32c164.98$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.793050%15 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Washington Nationals31c156.22$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5724348.1%117 W · 126 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Philadelphia Phillies63c155.21$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.4312655.6%70 W · 56 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Philadelphia Phillies63c155.21$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.4310056%56 W · 44 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xea4b…dedebacked Philadelphia Phillies64c154.59$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.652864.3%18 W · 10 L+2.7wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+16.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Philadelphia Phillies64c154.4$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.591,68150.1%842 W · 839 L-22.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08a1…10dcbacked Washington Nationals32c153.47$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.1121851.4%112 W · 106 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Washington Nationals24c144.47$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.051,92817.2%331 W · 1,597 L-320.9wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-64.3%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0xbec5…8f77backed Washington Nationals38c144.42$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.8811041.8%46 W · 64 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.