MLB · resolved market
Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd4c9882a15a61216682c984187c27ba026f6bcd4a483e3717e66eca3a408a64f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Philadelphia Philliesof Washington Nationals, Philadelphia Phillies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $282,438
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $299,349
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $282,438 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 206 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Washington Nationals | 37c | 148,553$54,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54,964.59 | 210 | 40%84 W · 126 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b6…13acbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 63c | 81,975$51,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,330.82 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 63c | 31,868$20,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,791.25 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Philadelphia Phillies | 63c | 21,060$13,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,792.23 | 883 | 49.3%435 W · 448 L | -4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa115…6c5abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 64c | 8,289$5,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,984 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Washington Nationals | 27c | 5,987$1,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,609.01 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd6…b163backed Philadelphia Phillies | 63c | 5,867$3,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,170.72 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 63c | 5,151$3,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,904.01 | 1,527 | 51.1%780 W · 747 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Washington Nationals | 31c | 5,080$1,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,578.9 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 69c | 4,743$3,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,465.99 | 216 | 56.5%122 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Philadelphia Phillies | 63c | 3,519$2,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,305.43 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Washington Nationals | 6c | 2,983$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.14 | 111 | 25.2%28 W · 83 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x284d…59f7backed Philadelphia Phillies | 79c | 2,282$1,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.37 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Washington Nationals | 11c | 1,949$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.48 | 1,194 | 29%346 W · 848 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Washington Nationals | 17c | 1,861$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.59 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Washington Nationals | 29c | 1,855$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.38 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Washington Nationals | 20c | 1,761$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.24 | 1,874 | 52%975 W · 899 L | +51.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x714d…6e05backed Washington Nationals | 37c | 1,700$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Washington Nationals | 20c | 1,687$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.79 | 92 | 19.6%18 W · 74 L | -7.6wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Washington Nationals | 36c | 1,555$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.78 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Philadelphia Phillies | 63c | 1,501$946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.53 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Philadelphia Phillies | 69c | 1,367$943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.8 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Washington Nationals | 35c | 1,240$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.21 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Washington Nationals | 40c | 1,218$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.56 | 366 | 49.2%180 W · 186 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Washington Nationals | 22c | 1,099$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.75 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd194…24b8backed Washington Nationals | 9c | 1,075$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.36 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf4…66bbbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 63c | 931.24$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.56 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 63c | 921.1$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.51 | 1,386 | 50.6%702 W · 684 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Washington Nationals | 40c | 887.86$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.66 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Washington Nationals | 36c | 847.66$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.16 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Washington Nationals | 38c | 798.26$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.34 | 80 | 32.5%26 W · 54 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9712…0c47backed Washington Nationals | 30c | 766.4$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.92 | 102 | 40.2%41 W · 61 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Washington Nationals | 26c | 660.21$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.9 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Washington Nationals | 36c | 649.99$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 1,012 | 51.2%518 W · 494 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 63c | 615.04$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.56 | 467 | 49.5%231 W · 236 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Washington Nationals | 35c | 604.06$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.42 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 79c | 588.87$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.76 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Washington Nationals | 38c | 577.68$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.52 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x108c…122dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 63c | 559.3$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.94 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Washington Nationals | 12c | 519.43$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.58 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Philadelphia Phillies | 65c | 506.13$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.34 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked Washington Nationals | 20c | 476$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.2 | 85 | 58.8%50 W · 35 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed Washington Nationals | 36c | 470$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.2 | 446 | 43.3%193 W · 253 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…8cfbbacked Washington Nationals | 14c | 460.06$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.4 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Washington Nationals | 36c | 459.62$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.46 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 70c | 455.64$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.92 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c50…2de6backed Philadelphia Phillies | 63c | 447.83$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.7 | 121 | 54.5%66 W · 55 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 64c | 436.71$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.92 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 60c | 400$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 59c | 386.27$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.86 | 474 | 47.3%224 W · 250 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Washington Nationals | 22c | 378.86$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.06 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 60c | 348.31$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.43 | 2,546 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,378 L | -74.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Washington Nationals | 23c | 319$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.03 | 94 | 31.9%30 W · 64 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Washington Nationals | 13c | 310.93$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.31 | 140 | 39.3%55 W · 85 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc5…9e04backed Washington Nationals | 38c | 308.1$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +44%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd8c…f75abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 64c | 305.75$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.07 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed Washington Nationals | 37c | 305.64$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.09 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Washington Nationals | 37c | 303.5$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.26 | 352 | 45.5%160 W · 192 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2798…a9c7backed Washington Nationals | 11c | 301.25$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.06 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…1d07backed Washington Nationals | 36c | 300$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 65c | 299.99$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 462 | 39.6%183 W · 279 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe226…95a5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 70c | 281.36$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.98 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e0…457fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 63c | 280.63$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.83 | 319 | 49.5%158 W · 161 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60c…d2e2backed Philadelphia Phillies | 63c | 280.63$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.83 | 171 | 51.5%88 W · 83 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef86…5afcbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 63c | 280.63$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.83 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb89b…a39dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 63c | 280.63$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.83 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5c…e316backed Philadelphia Phillies | 59c | 279.45$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.8 | 146 | 41.8%61 W · 85 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Washington Nationals | 20c | 277.89$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.58 | 163 | 51.5%84 W · 79 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Washington Nationals | 11c | 276.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.52 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c7…cb87backed Philadelphia Phillies | 63c | 259.12$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.87 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed Philadelphia Phillies | 64c | 256.34$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.28 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Philadelphia Phillies | 63c | 256.09$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.75 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed Washington Nationals | 38c | 253.37$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.28 | 113 | 52.2%59 W · 54 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b4…cacabacked Washington Nationals | 38c | 253.37$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.28 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | -8.9wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d8…c0f2backed Philadelphia Phillies | 63c | 234.67$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.83 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Washington Nationals | 37c | 230.45$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.04 | 170 | 50%85 W · 85 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0efb…016cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 67c | 216.61$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.3 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Washington Nationals | 15c | 212.53$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.83 | 194 | 52.6%102 W · 92 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Washington Nationals | 35c | 203.18$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.11 | 445 | 56.9%253 W · 192 L | +27.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x720e…17b0backed Philadelphia Phillies | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 64 | 67.2%43 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe509…7387backed Washington Nationals | 42c | 199.05$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 197.17$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.93 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Washington Nationals | 31c | 193.78$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.05 | 253 | 49.4%125 W · 128 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Washington Nationals | 36c | 192.99$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.47 | 688 | 46.8%322 W · 366 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Washington Nationals | 38c | 192.56$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.17 | 3,303 | 46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4440…9a1abacked Washington Nationals | 16c | 184.4$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Philadelphia Phillies | 65c | 177.75$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.49 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Washington Nationals | 38c | 177.36$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.4 | 569 | 46.9%267 W · 302 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e13…4613backed Washington Nationals | 32c | 175.46$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.65 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 44cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…f50dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 59c | 169.69$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.28 | 187 | 54%101 W · 86 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d24…9c89backed Philadelphia Phillies | 63c | 167.62$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.02 | 152 | 57.2%87 W · 65 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2902…64a8backed Washington Nationals | 32c | 164.98$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.79 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Washington Nationals | 31c | 156.22$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.57 | 243 | 48.1%117 W · 126 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Philadelphia Phillies | 63c | 155.21$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.43 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 63c | 155.21$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.43 | 100 | 56%56 W · 44 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea4b…dedebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 64c | 154.59$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.65 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Philadelphia Phillies | 64c | 154.4$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.59 | 1,681 | 50.1%842 W · 839 L | -22.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08a1…10dcbacked Washington Nationals | 32c | 153.47$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.11 | 218 | 51.4%112 W · 106 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Washington Nationals | 24c | 144.47$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.05 | 1,928 | 17.2%331 W · 1,597 L | -320.9wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xbec5…8f77backed Washington Nationals | 38c | 144.42$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.88 | 110 | 41.8%46 W · 64 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Philliesthis page
- NRFI: Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia PhilliesYes won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
- Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.