MLB · resolved market

Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3e83ba4049725f32435da0ee5c356441eed3d1433c9340c99953c81a5ff77368

Rebuilt 17 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Apr 1, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $63,679
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $63,402

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,679 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x93ab…9723backed Over	42c	24,000$10,080 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,079.92	24	37.5%9 W · 15 L	-2.8wins	-0.12per pick	49cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Under	58c	13,594$7,884 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,709.32	97	49.5%48 W · 49 L	+4.0wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Under	50c	9,996$5,013 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,983.18	479	53.2%255 W · 224 L	+18.0wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Under	58c	3,623$2,101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,521.64	304	54.3%165 W · 139 L	+6.9wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under	51c	3,333$1,700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,633.17	672	50.1%337 W · 335 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Under	53c	2,906$1,540 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,365.77	112	56.3%63 W · 49 L	+6.8wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+15%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	61c	2,773$1,690 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,082.95	12,247	46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L	-68.6wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x816e…b215backed Over	42c	2,500$1,050 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,050	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.8wins	+0.26per pick	40cpaid	+68.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Over	51c	2,462$1,255 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,255.49	321	52%167 W · 154 L	+7.5wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Under	58c	2,437$1,413 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,023.62	191	43.5%83 W · 108 L	-4.4wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under	59c	2,362$1,402 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$960.31	6,116	55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L	+344.6wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over	50c	2,325$1,154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,153.53	678	49.3%334 W · 344 L	+7.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc51a…a0d9backed Over	42c	2,314$967 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$967.36	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-1.4wins	-0.12per pick	49cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over	51c	2,177$1,102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,101.92	1,291	51%658 W · 633 L	-15.5wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe558…dcd2backed Under	58c	2,108$1,223 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$885.32	105	47.6%50 W · 55 L	+9.9wins	+0.09per pick	38cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Over	47c	2,000$940 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$940	1,063	48.2%512 W · 551 L	-11.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over	49c	1,657$816 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$815.94	323	48.9%158 W · 165 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6683…f5f4backed Over	52c	1,534$798 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$797.94	247	48.2%119 W · 128 L	-9.3wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb820…cbe7backed Under	57c	1,534$874 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$659.51	56	58.9%33 W · 23 L	+4.8wins	+0.09per pick	50cpaid	+17.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under	58c	1,363$791 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$572.17	1,041	50.1%522 W · 519 L	+17.2wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over	50c	1,336$671 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$671.39	1,029	51.2%527 W · 502 L	-6.2wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over	38c	1,312$495 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$494.68	9,728	46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L	+32.8wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xae82…faf0backed Over	47c	1,205$566 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$566.18	246	51.6%127 W · 119 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under	48c	1,140$548 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$591.76	650	50.3%327 W · 323 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Over	42c	983.58$413 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$413.11	595	49.7%296 W · 299 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd51b…9606backed Under	51c	966.46$497 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$469.24	225	48.4%109 W · 116 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under	48c	900$436 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$464	6,899	50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L	-7.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Over	42c	812.9$345 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$344.6	137	42.3%58 W · 79 L	-7.9wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5966…af5dbacked Under	53c	645.28$342 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$303.28	272	49.3%134 W · 138 L	-3.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21df…fdbcbacked Under	62c	538.27$334 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$204.04	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	58cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Over	46c	512.34$236 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$235.68	272	54.4%148 W · 124 L	+12.0wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over	48c	431.91$207 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$207.21	5,401	50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L	+17.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Under	64c	425.71$272 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$153.25	194	52.6%102 W · 92 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9348…8cfbbacked Over	48c	395.43$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$189.8	62	43.5%27 W · 35 L	-3.9wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5316…1d07backed Under	51c	300$153 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$147	116	47.4%55 W · 61 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over	45c	280.43$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126.19	4,035	57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L	+72.2wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over	50c	240.45$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.28	1,572	48.3%759 W · 813 L	-6.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over	43c	219.06$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.13	2,995	50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L	-36.0wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdae4…f1fcbacked Over	44c	210.51$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.58	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-1.0wins	-0.12per pick	50cpaid	-9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9510…16dfbacked Over	42c	209.27$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.24	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-0.9wins	-0.07per pick	45cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xabde…d41fbacked Over	43c	202.66$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.28	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2ff2…01b9backed Over	43c	198.84$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.14	4	50%2 W · 2 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf05d…ac5ebacked Over	40c	196.54$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.62	70	48.6%34 W · 36 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5af…f9e3backed Over	43c	189.61$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.53	37	51.4%19 W · 18 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcd8…9908backed Over	42c	183.92$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.25	10	50%5 W · 5 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc991…abd4backed Over	43c	168.52$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.74	43	46.5%20 W · 23 L	-2.2wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Over	43c	161.96$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.66	134	41%55 W · 79 L	-12.2wins	-0.09per pick	50cpaid	-19%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Under	49c	155.21$76 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.16	218	47.7%104 W · 114 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under	59c	155.03$91 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.67	1,269	51.1%648 W · 621 L	+23.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under	59c	152.88$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.2	1,043	49%511 W · 532 L	+3.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6a97…72ebbacked Under	58c	150.57$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.73	42	31%13 W · 29 L	-6.8wins	-0.16per pick	47cpaid	-42.2%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Under	58c	150.46$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.62	253	49.4%125 W · 128 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under	58c	140.33$82 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.53	243	48.1%117 W · 126 L	-8.5wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa04…796bbacked Over	50c	135.8$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.9	24	45.8%11 W · 13 L	-1.6wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Under	59c	122.91$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.84	5,234	56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L	+130.4wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over	36c	119.93$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.25	1,927	17.2%331 W · 1,596 L	-320.3wins	-0.17per pick	34cpaid	-64.3%equal weight	32-0.16 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Over	43c	118.48$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.44	36	44.4%16 W · 20 L	-2.3wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc1c…debbbacked Over	43c	111.07$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.76	89	40.4%36 W · 53 L	-6.8wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x03eb…47b0backed Over	44c	109.77$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.3	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	-1.8wins	-0.10per pick	49cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4630…1968backed Over	42c	106.7$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.99	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.7wins	-0.35per pick	55cpaid	-56.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x72a1…1950backed Over	46c	105.17$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.38	113	52.2%59 W · 54 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over	51c	101.91$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.98	40	52.5%21 W · 19 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae1c…3678backed Over	48c	100.92$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.44	261	51%133 W · 128 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe65b…271bbacked Under	52c	100$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48	125	49.6%62 W · 63 L	-5.7wins	-0.05per pick	54cpaid	-9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a2d…4f43backed Over	48c	100$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	36	41.7%15 W · 21 L	-1.7wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea74…cf99backed Under	53c	100$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47	135	60%81 W · 54 L	+15.6wins	+0.12per pick	48cpaid	+26.5%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x300d…978fbacked Over	42c	97.3$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.93	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-1.5wins	-0.19per pick	44cpaid	-43%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over	48c	96.88$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.5	1,053	47.3%498 W · 555 L	-14.7wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x99be…3622backed Over	48c	87.19$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.85	57	52.6%30 W · 27 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Under	58c	83.83$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.21	310	38.4%119 W · 191 L	+9.7wins	+0.03per pick	35cpaid	+28.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x94c4…2a41backed Over	43c	82.24$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.44	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-1.7wins	-0.15per pick	52cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3e23…9722backed Over	42c	81.72$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.21	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8bb6…8de2backed Over	43c	80.76$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.77	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcba6…bb05backed Over	33c	69.99$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.1	210	44.8%94 W · 116 L	-10.4wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc308…c3b9backed Over	42c	69.09$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-2.5wins	-0.17per pick	50cpaid	-26.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under	56c	65.81$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.97	2,389	43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L	-25.4wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x396a…f2ffbacked Under	49c	59.35$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.27	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.5wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69a2…3beebacked Over	42c	58.82$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.7	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-2.7wins	-0.27per pick	47cpaid	-56.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over	52c	58.27$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.3	619	48.6%301 W · 318 L	+5.5wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Under	48c	57.03$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.65	144	42.4%61 W · 83 L	-9.9wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xce86…c7c7backed Over	41c	56$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.97	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5f22…0fb4backed Under	58c	55.46$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.29	217	46.5%101 W · 116 L	-10.6wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3492…983fbacked Over	43c	55.06$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.77	25	52%13 W · 12 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed Under	58c	50.42$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.17	383	52.2%200 W · 183 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ddb…513dbacked Over	45c	50$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.5	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.06per pick	45cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Under	55c	49.99$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.5	499	42.9%214 W · 285 L	-31.5wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd2a4…3ee9backed Over	47c	49.85$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.43	22	27.3%6 W · 16 L	-5.0wins	-0.23per pick	50cpaid	-50.4%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x1b1c…2871backed Over	43c	49.79$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.54	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+11%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Under	58c	49.71$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.88	726	48.1%349 W · 377 L	-17.6wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3abc…b096backed Over	44c	48.64$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.4	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+19%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e13…b909backed Under	50c	48.5$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.25	58	51.7%30 W · 28 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2baf…8023backed Over	46c	48.38$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.25	85	50.6%43 W · 42 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb1c…0be3backed Over	51c	47.58$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.27	61	45.9%28 W · 33 L	-3.2wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x46d3…2c20backed Over	42c	45.96$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.3	27	33.3%9 W · 18 L	-5.1wins	-0.19per pick	52cpaid	-37.2%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x01dc…183ebacked Over	42c	45.7$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.19	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	+1.0wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+34.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa028…0031backed Over	42c	45$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.89	17	29.4%5 W · 12 L	-3.5wins	-0.21per pick	50cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbf4f…63f3backed Over	44c	43.49$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.13	24	50%12 W · 12 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Over	28c	41.73$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.63	33	21.2%7 W · 26 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-27.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under	62c	41.33$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.64	107	47.7%51 W · 56 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdb7d…7862backed Under	57c	41.02$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.64	395	53.7%212 W · 183 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5this page
NRFI: Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia PhilliesYes won
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia PhilliesPhiladelphia Phillies won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event