Middle East · resolved market
Will the next official US-Iran meeting be in Oman?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4605980f66bd74872dd99b9c59c757cdf8fd0d1e3ec82e15ef393e974b6f51bd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,718,220
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,862,777
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,718,220 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 426 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf68d…cbeebacked No | 0c | 437,045$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aab…3b61backed No | 0c | 150,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31a9…8266backed No | 0c | 150,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dcf…0493backed No | 0c | 107,755$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdca5…2ffabacked No | 1c | 73,412$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.55 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd97…776cbacked No | 0c | 59,613$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.7 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -82.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc46d…04c1backed No | 0c | 50,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e4…e7f9backed No | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 20cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a7…66b0backed No | 0c | 49,999$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d48…6573backed No | 0c | 39,500$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d05…6a81backed No | 0c | 37,080$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.16 | 432 | 12.5%54 W · 378 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a9d…0effbacked No | 0c | 31,500$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae70…abfbbacked No | 1c | 28,097$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.5 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +3.8wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x25d0…bceebacked No | 0c | 26,871$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Yes | 47c | 25,285$11,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,495.81 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa6…4eb6backed No | 0c | 23,050$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.1 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -38%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea4…2bd2backed No | 0c | 21,698$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.91 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5440…c640backed No | 4c | 21,530$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938.27 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa635…b324backed No | 0c | 16,000$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb26d…20d4backed No | 0c | 14,820$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…06a2backed No | 2c | 14,680$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.91 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca41…3af9backed No | 0c | 13,533$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +4.2wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xab19…4876backed No | 9c | 12,943$1,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,191.83 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -6.0wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab4…7b01backed No | 0c | 12,750$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa0…3895backed No | 51c | 12,339$6,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,282.8 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf95b…14ecbacked No | 0c | 12,000$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5741…fb99backed No | 0c | 12,000$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x647b…a7afbacked No | 0c | 10,646$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fee…850abacked No | 0c | 10,025$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…ed7dbacked No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.25per pick | 48cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x57ea…e9e7backed No | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf671…bd98backed No | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa362…dff2backed No | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb123…3792backed No | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 38c | 9,872$3,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,725.48 | 197 | 39.1%77 W · 120 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked No | 19c | 9,134$1,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,756.5 | 428 | 18.7%80 W · 348 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19a6…2894backed No | 0c | 8,950$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x309f…b99cbacked No | 62c | 8,528$5,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,271.07 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27db…e863backed Yes | 77c | 8,285$6,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,932.88 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked No | 20c | 7,882$1,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,596.2 | 362 | 27.9%101 W · 261 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…5523backed No | 36c | 6,781$2,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,447.16 | 118 | 42.4%50 W · 68 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c20…41b3backed No | 0c | 6,672$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f42…b88fbacked No | 43c | 6,316$2,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,703.79 | 367 | 50.4%185 W · 182 L | +39.6wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x449c…879ebacked No | 30c | 6,218$1,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,862.1 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x210f…7435backed No | 0c | 6,060$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e0f…9556backed Yes | 50c | 6,042$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,042.11 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b36…473bbacked No | 0c | 5,701$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.85 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…4597backed No | 6c | 5,554$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.44 | 126 | 54%68 W · 58 L | +18.8wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +128.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc5…a303backed No | 4c | 5,524$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.32 | 102 | 27.5%28 W · 74 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf9…d0c6backed No | 0c | 5,500$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…dae2backed No | 0c | 5,489$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked No | 26c | 5,034$1,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290.82 | 473 | 34%161 W · 312 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ae…465fbacked No | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51ec…367ebacked No | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf1…2267backed No | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b22…91b3backed No | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c33…f68fbacked No | 0c | 5,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d15…c454backed Yes | 74c | 5,000$3,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceff…dae4backed No | 4c | 4,811$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.6 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…197fbacked No | 74c | 4,688$3,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,485.5 | 296 | 53.7%159 W · 137 L | +20.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +104.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b76…edefbacked Yes | 79c | 4,477$3,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.89 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d9…5653backed No | 0c | 4,330$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 87 | 27.6%24 W · 63 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 20c | 4,109$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802.12 | 896 | 17.1%153 W · 743 L | -57.2wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c80…a49dbacked No | 1c | 4,091$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.17 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2a…58afbacked No | 0c | 4,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 174 | 14.4%25 W · 149 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a6…644bbacked No | 30c | 3,987$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.67 | 194 | 28.9%56 W · 138 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc997…5184backed No | 1c | 3,710$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x745c…15fcbacked Yes | 42c | 3,532$1,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040.89 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 62cpaid | +28%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed Yes | 80c | 3,365$2,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.25 | 353 | 55.5%196 W · 157 L | +36.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x557e…5007backed No | 26c | 3,339$863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.3 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +8.4wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +92.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2408…02ebbacked No | 1c | 3,307$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.47 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e55…e3e2backed No | 40c | 3,250$1,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,312.5 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +9.1wins | +0.18per pick | 38cpaid | +138.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked No | 27c | 2,950$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.62 | 135 | 44.4%60 W · 75 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37ef…a37abacked No | 29c | 2,811$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817.65 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bae…5d34backed Yes | 79c | 2,767$2,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.81 | 115 | 59.1%68 W · 47 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67d6…245ebacked No | 16c | 2,671$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.09 | 79 | 29.1%23 W · 56 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92d0…269ebacked No | 32c | 2,641$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.8 | 409 | 39.6%162 W · 247 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x162f…798dbacked No | 30c | 2,593$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.45 | 166 | 38.6%64 W · 102 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2f…10c7backed No | 32c | 2,534$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.03 | 356 | 31.7%113 W · 243 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe397…bfcbbacked Yes | 59c | 2,498$1,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,031.35 | 107 | 47.7%51 W · 56 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d0a…c96fbacked No | 17c | 2,421$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.57 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4a…e049backed Yes | 27c | 2,417$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,759.96 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +8.2wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +98.5%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7489…3c11backed No | 23c | 2,371$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed No | 19c | 2,245$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.81 | 51 | 9.8%5 W · 46 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf346…5701backed No | 23c | 2,156$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa8…1f7bbacked No | 1c | 2,100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd46b…5dabbacked Yes | 79c | 2,028$1,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.02 | 167 | 43.7%73 W · 94 L | +11.9wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +21%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6e…b45bbacked Yes | 75c | 2,026$1,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.36 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd748…2125backed Yes | 73c | 2,000$1,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.3 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa84f…bc44backed No | 34c | 1,990$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.97 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc77b…a526backed No | 23c | 1,885$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.63 | 202 | 35.6%72 W · 130 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d3e…1166backed Yes | 73c | 1,842$1,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9f…9790backed No | 27c | 1,748$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.61 | 353 | 47%166 W · 187 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9476…8641backed No | 57c | 1,620$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.88 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 6c | 1,600$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.5 | 713 | 5.6%40 W · 673 L | +11.7wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked No | 18c | 1,500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -91.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…4c59backed No | 55c | 1,493$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817.26 | 427 | 38.9%166 W · 261 L | +30.7wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 12c | 1,493$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.45 | 492 | 8.7%43 W · 449 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39df…64a1backed No | 41c | 1,384$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.81 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa597…c90dbacked Yes | 35c | 1,295$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.77 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the next official US-Iran meeting be in Oman?this page
- Will no qualifying US-Iran meeting occur by February 13, 2026?No won
- Will the next official US-Iran meeting be in Egypt?No won
- Will the next official US-Iran meeting be in Saudi Arabia?No won
- Will the next official US-Iran meeting be in Turkey?No won
- Will the next official US-Iran meeting be in another country?No won
- Will the next official US-Iran meeting be in the United States?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.