Middle East · resolved market
Will the next official US-Iran meeting be in Turkey?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa9bf7cfbb42dbb27555a6f65c6ce067877dc5bb5713c5a56f88ce838e2bb46ba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $72,161
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,818
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,161 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x66a1…80d9backed Yes | 0c | 4,400$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 197 | 6.6%13 W · 184 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf346…5701backed Yes | 4c | 2,411$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1128…cfa5backed Yes | 2c | 2,357$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.09 | 56 | 16.1%9 W · 47 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 3c | 2,009$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.04 | 489 | 23.5%115 W · 374 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 2c | 1,827$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.32 | 492 | 8.7%43 W · 449 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa009…ab48backed Yes | 2c | 1,525$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 2c | 1,433$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.12 | 713 | 5.6%40 W · 673 L | +11.7wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff05…fad7backed Yes | 1c | 1,344$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 1,329$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.81 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7add…f9f4backed Yes | 2c | 1,258$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.69 | 238 | 39.9%95 W · 143 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 2c | 1,236$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.14 | 428 | 18.7%80 W · 348 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b2…a321backed Yes | 4c | 1,076$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.82 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 2c | 1,061$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.13 | 51 | 9.8%5 W · 46 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa597…c90dbacked Yes | 2c | 1,000$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Yes | 2c | 900$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 247 | 6.9%17 W · 230 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 3c | 878.92$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.13 | 238 | 4.6%11 W · 227 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 10cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 2c | 850$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 228 | 2.6%6 W · 222 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5081…a309backed Yes | 2c | 825.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 144 | 2.8%4 W · 140 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf82a…d221backed Yes | 3c | 814.2$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.53 | 34 | 8.8%3 W · 31 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 4cpaid | +86.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf2…887dbacked Yes | 3c | 799.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 147 | 7.5%11 W · 136 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 2c | 728.55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.19 | 462 | 5%23 W · 439 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2f…10c7backed Yes | 2c | 719.82$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 356 | 31.7%113 W · 243 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7713…16f1backed Yes | 5c | 601.65$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…822abacked Yes | 4c | 518.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd97…776cbacked Yes | 30c | 497.55$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -82.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 16c | 314.16$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.96 | 857 | 25.2%216 W · 641 L | -115.1wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2d1d…7b71backed Yes | 10c | 290.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.06 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked Yes | 14c | 250$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.8 | 473 | 34%161 W · 312 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…1a48backed Yes | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bae…5d34backed No | 72c | 154$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.74 | 115 | 59.1%68 W · 47 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x720b…37f6backed Yes | 12c | 148$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -7.1wins | -0.20per pick | 55cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc2…597abacked No | 69c | 126.62$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.45 | 117 | 28.2%33 W · 84 L | -7.9wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c17…6a7ebacked No | 15c | 100$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeafc…0d5cbacked No | 44c | 96.19$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.8 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…cf97backed Yes | 18c | 69.76$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.84 | 124 | 33.1%41 W · 83 L | -12.5wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9f…9790backed No | 75c | 50.63$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.66 | 353 | 47%166 W · 187 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 56c | 46$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.24 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +12.3wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Yes | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 292 | 54.8%160 W · 132 L | +18.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8975…ffe6backed No | 78c | 21.05$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.63 | 161 | 73.9%119 W · 42 L | +12.6wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the next official US-Iran meeting be in Turkey?this page
- Will no qualifying US-Iran meeting occur by February 13, 2026?No won
- Will the next official US-Iran meeting be in Egypt?No won
- Will the next official US-Iran meeting be in Oman?Yes won
- Will the next official US-Iran meeting be in Saudi Arabia?No won
- Will the next official US-Iran meeting be in another country?No won
- Will the next official US-Iran meeting be in the United States?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.