Middle East · resolved market
Will no qualifying US-Iran meeting occur by February 13, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ee9a85f509afd46313a753e065f49d59da6f3fc2e5c686ca4dd5feeaa22dc1b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $293,499
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $301,697
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $293,499 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 210 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf6e…b45bbacked Yes | 3c | 15,103$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.02 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…06a2backed Yes | 2c | 8,553$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.08 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…4597backed Yes | 9c | 4,641$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.24 | 126 | 54%68 W · 58 L | +18.8wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +128.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 30c | 4,584$1,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,375.98 | 197 | 39.1%77 W · 120 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed Yes | 15c | 2,933$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.16 | 284 | 27.8%79 W · 205 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e58…4668backed Yes | 1c | 2,850$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.33per pick | 7cpaid | +378.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37ef…a37abacked No | 73c | 2,812$2,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.79 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 17c | 2,482$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.49 | 428 | 18.7%80 W · 348 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked No | 74c | 2,402$1,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.94 | 362 | 27.9%101 W · 261 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 19c | 2,319$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.27 | 896 | 17.1%153 W · 743 L | -57.2wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed No | 80c | 2,258$1,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.54 | 353 | 55.5%196 W · 157 L | +36.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf294…7967backed Yes | 12c | 2,200$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +111.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 18c | 2,049$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.71 | 51 | 9.8%5 W · 46 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x231e…9297backed No | 31c | 2,015$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,381.12 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9f…9790backed Yes | 20c | 2,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 353 | 47%166 W · 187 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48af…89ccbacked No | 58c | 1,951$1,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.68 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +10.5wins | +0.20per pick | 27cpaid | +27%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0b01…8f47backed Yes | 16c | 1,863$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.81 | 66 | 13.6%9 W · 57 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d57…e0ffbacked No | 49c | 1,556$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$793.29 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2352…120bbacked Yes | 20c | 1,525$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa597…c90dbacked No | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9476…8641backed Yes | 50c | 1,495$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…604ebacked Yes | 59c | 1,488$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884.91 | 78 | 20.5%16 W · 62 L | -11.5wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 14c | 1,421$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.65 | 492 | 8.7%43 W · 449 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Yes | 30c | 1,390$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.6 | 135 | 44.4%60 W · 75 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8597…daeebacked Yes | 18c | 1,351$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.06 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x309f…b99cbacked Yes | 19c | 1,243$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.28 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x420e…e3c9backed No | 73c | 1,179$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.77 | 187 | 38%71 W · 116 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked No | 46c | 1,165$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.89 | 458 | 43.7%200 W · 258 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed Yes | 26c | 1,116$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.5 | 486 | 30.5%148 W · 338 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaadc…d8efbacked Yes | 17c | 1,115$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.1 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…98eebacked Yes | 17c | 1,076$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.29 | 201 | 43.3%87 W · 114 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ba…b3f9backed Yes | 25c | 1,010$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.4 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…197fbacked Yes | 72c | 1,005$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.25 | 296 | 53.7%159 W · 137 L | +20.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +104.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 80c | 1,000$797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.39 | 511 | 38.7%198 W · 313 L | +18.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9339…a56fbacked Yes | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3f…36b6backed Yes | 40c | 942.53$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.57 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 19cpaid | +86.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f2…ddd0backed Yes | 28c | 890$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.1 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…8370backed No | 40c | 883.17$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.53 | 190 | 56.3%107 W · 83 L | +16.9wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 7c | 800$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.6 | 713 | 5.6%40 W · 673 L | +11.7wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dfa…c7a6backed Yes | 69c | 744.27$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 24c | 741.18$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.45 | 489 | 23.5%115 W · 374 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3272…e542backed No | 55c | 730$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +7.3wins | +0.22per pick | 43cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xcd97…776cbacked No | 72c | 690.51$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.51 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -82.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x246b…1196backed No | 80c | 645.45$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked No | 49c | 600$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.22 | 217 | 51.6%112 W · 105 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked Yes | 29c | 583.15$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.08 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | +24.9wins | +0.25per pick | 30cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x7994…c512backed Yes | 12c | 555$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.84 | 115 | 37.4%43 W · 72 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb04a…acfcbacked Yes | 26c | 539.75$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.52 | 290 | 27.9%81 W · 209 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a6…644bbacked Yes | 8c | 520.4$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.54 | 194 | 28.9%56 W · 138 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeec5…b6febacked Yes | 17c | 516.94$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.7 | 123 | 62.6%77 W · 46 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4b…ca7abacked Yes | 20c | 514.71$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.64 | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | +77.8wins | +0.25per pick | 24cpaid | +105.8%equal weight | 76+0.24 edge/pick |
| 0x78b3…b95abacked Yes | 20c | 510$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.8 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b76…edefbacked No | 66c | 505.81$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.8 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked Yes | 77c | 500$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf95b…14ecbacked Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24de…83cbbacked No | 70c | 500$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4075…8fb8backed Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -63%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…4c59backed Yes | 9c | 485.21$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.52 | 427 | 38.9%166 W · 261 L | +30.7wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ce…2fa6backed Yes | 16c | 483$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.28 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed Yes | 21c | 476$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 156 | 25%39 W · 117 L | +17.9wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | +79.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…adc0backed No | 63c | 474.21$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.53 | 63 | 30.2%19 W · 44 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x557e…5007backed Yes | 20c | 438.69$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.27 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +8.4wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +92.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1e0f…9556backed No | 75c | 414.08$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.27 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 17c | 401.25$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.65 | 678 | 41.6%282 W · 396 L | -20.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3f…43dcbacked Yes | 7c | 400$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 104 | 35.6%37 W · 67 L | +7.5wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9e…c4efbacked No | 39c | 399.98$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.99 | 42 | 23.8%10 W · 32 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fb…db5cbacked Yes | 55c | 398.22$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.83 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -7.3wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x57b0…76f4backed Yes | 21c | 367.03$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.1 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58b3…fe06backed Yes | 14c | 365.53$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.17 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 76c | 356.89$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.93 | 356 | 52.8%188 W · 168 L | +14.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f42…b88fbacked Yes | 66c | 345.9$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.29 | 367 | 50.4%185 W · 182 L | +39.6wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaa99…dbbfbacked Yes | 24c | 335.4$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.95 | 101 | 41.6%42 W · 59 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…cca3backed Yes | 22c | 325$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.5 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | +12.5wins | +0.21per pick | 21cpaid | +102.7%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x73ca…055abacked Yes | 22c | 325$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b7…d5f3backed Yes | 68c | 310.77$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.71 | 253 | 39.5%100 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed No | 58c | 300$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf2…887dbacked Yes | 5c | 300$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 147 | 7.5%11 W · 136 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Yes | 9c | 300$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 247 | 6.9%17 W · 230 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5081…a309backed Yes | 5c | 300$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 144 | 2.8%4 W · 140 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9846…ca9ebacked Yes | 43c | 299.65$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.95 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 16c | 299.16$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.05 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -91.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 44c | 295.25$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.88 | 344 | 32.3%111 W · 233 L | -31.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xae70…abfbbacked No | 69c | 294.3$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.43 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +3.8wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb1…276cbacked Yes | 26c | 288.22$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.33 | 132 | 50%66 W · 66 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe425…9e9abacked Yes | 13c | 288$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 76c | 276.07$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.6 | 776 | 36.9%286 W · 490 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…2e44backed Yes | 25c | 263.21$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.95 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc624…ee24backed Yes | 33c | 260.84$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | -12.6wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11fc…8262backed No | 70c | 258.3$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.49 | 76 | 36.8%28 W · 48 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4d…96b9backed Yes | 76c | 255.28$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.01 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb8…cf89backed Yes | 68c | 244.3$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.6 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9934…6078backed No | 28c | 235.42$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.5 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4478…02a4backed No | 53c | 225.08$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.62 | 287 | 34.5%99 W · 188 L | +21.3wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 15c | 222.31$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.66 | 366 | 26.8%98 W · 268 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac6a…2ed3backed Yes | 15c | 218.14$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.52 | 90 | 68.9%62 W · 28 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61d1…a379backed Yes | 68c | 217.75$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -5.0wins | -0.29per pick | 47cpaid | -66%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa0…3895backed Yes | 74c | 216.06$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.68 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf82a…d221backed Yes | 5c | 212.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 34 | 8.8%3 W · 31 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 4cpaid | +86.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd71a…67f5backed No | 45c | 203.73$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.82 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4156…dcd6backed Yes | 73c | 200$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will no qualifying US-Iran meeting occur by February 13, 2026?this page
- Will the next official US-Iran meeting be in Egypt?No won
- Will the next official US-Iran meeting be in Oman?Yes won
- Will the next official US-Iran meeting be in Saudi Arabia?No won
- Will the next official US-Iran meeting be in Turkey?No won
- Will the next official US-Iran meeting be in another country?No won
- Will the next official US-Iran meeting be in the United States?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.