Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Texas Longhorns vs. Arkansas Razorbacks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4f27d65cdd1a389d0de3c0dd420de6539f6af7014d5a96ac7f439fc66a16250d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Arkansas Razorbacksof Texas Longhorns, Arkansas Razorbacks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,674
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,674 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Texas Longhorns | 28c | 2,968$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.94 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 75c | 1,952$1,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.5 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Texas Longhorns | 25c | 1,200$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.97 | 555 | 32.8%182 W · 373 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 74c | 1,184$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.45 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 80c | 893.87$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.26 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Texas Longhorns | 14c | 865.11$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.2 | 349 | 43.3%151 W · 198 L | -15.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 71c | 755.81$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.15 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Texas Longhorns | 25c | 725.61$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.6 | 259 | 46.3%120 W · 139 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b00…03a9backed Texas Longhorns | 9c | 526.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.85 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Texas Longhorns | 22c | 416.06$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.04 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Texas Longhorns | 11c | 404.46$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.84 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Texas Longhorns | 9c | 403.7$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.99 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10cd…2da0backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 73c | 340.74$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Texas Longhorns | 4c | 300$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3d…3ec1backed Texas Longhorns | 26c | 286.52$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.49 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -6.7wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xacb4…7595backed Texas Longhorns | 27c | 255.08$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.76 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Texas Longhorns | 20c | 248.56$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.18 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaad5…ac2ebacked Texas Longhorns | 8c | 243.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 72c | 202.53$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.47 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4e…2ec7backed Texas Longhorns | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Texas Longhorns | 26c | 198.65$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.65 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Texas Longhorns | 26c | 198.65$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.65 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…648fbacked Texas Longhorns | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Texas Longhorns | 10c | 178.43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.18 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef3…df7fbacked Texas Longhorns | 28c | 177.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.65 | 73 | 19.2%14 W · 59 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Texas Longhorns | 11c | 158.68$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.43 | 309 | 45.6%141 W · 168 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 76c | 158.46$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.03 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 75c | 151.19$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 216 | 46.8%101 W · 115 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Texas Longhorns | 26c | 143.48$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.3 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 75c | 132.46$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.11 | 338 | 55%186 W · 152 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Texas Longhorns | 12c | 126.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 493 | 45.4%224 W · 269 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…4a48backed Texas Longhorns | 24c | 120.86$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.17 | 55 | 20%11 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x954b…eb22backed Texas Longhorns | 24c | 116.35$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.92 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b89…98d6backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 75c | 106.15$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.54 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +63%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 76c | 101.01$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.65 | 407 | 55.8%227 W · 180 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3020…bc04backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 167 | 55.7%93 W · 74 L | +10.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Texas Longhorns | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x958a…c897backed Texas Longhorns | 26c | 99.33$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.82 | 233 | 31.3%73 W · 160 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 74c | 99.33$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.82 | 754 | 47.1%355 W · 399 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Texas Longhorns | 26c | 97.73$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.41 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9856…f62fbacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 77c | 97.2$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Texas Longhorns | 26c | 96.12$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 621 | 40.4%251 W · 370 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…8382backed Texas Longhorns | 26c | 95.51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.83 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Texas Longhorns | 15c | 91.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0388…7322backed Texas Longhorns | 25c | 79.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Texas Longhorns | 26c | 76.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.22 | 243 | 40.7%99 W · 144 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf58…711fbacked Texas Longhorns | 26c | 69.53$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6e…b1a7backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 75c | 66.23$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.56 | 144 | 48.6%70 W · 74 L | -12.5wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84e6…2d55backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 76c | 65.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 73c | 61.08$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.49 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b15…d362backed Texas Longhorns | 27c | 58.85$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…a8bdbacked Texas Longhorns | 26c | 54.77$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x278c…d9d9backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 75c | 39.74$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.93 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 74c | 38.22$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.94 | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbb…727fbacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 71c | 26.91$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe092…9f1abacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 75c | 26.49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.62 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 73cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 75c | 26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.62 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 71c | 25.22$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.23 | 193 | 48.7%94 W · 99 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 73c | 23.33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 334 | 45.8%153 W · 181 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8027…cf81backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 75c | 19.87$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.97 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf43c…d7c3backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 71c | 17.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 491 | 57.2%281 W · 210 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Texas Longhorns vs. Arkansas Razorbacksthis page
- Spread: Arkansas Razorbacks (-7.5)Arkansas Razorbacks won
- Texas Longhorns vs. Arkansas Razorbacks: O/U 163.5Over won
- Texas Longhorns vs. Arkansas Razorbacks: O/U 164.5Over won
- Texas Longhorns vs. Arkansas Razorbacks: O/U 165.5Over won
- Texas Longhorns vs. Arkansas Razorbacks: O/U 166.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.