Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Bellarmine Knights vs. Central Arkansas Bears
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x21ecf42be4acaa8fa4f6aa267a33922bc46e0d3718a9fbb8d0586d5538d42129
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Central Arkansas Bearsof Bellarmine Knights, Central Arkansas Bears
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $69,790
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,790 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Central Arkansas Bears | 73c | 20,356$14,818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,537.82 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Bellarmine Knights | 27c | 7,874$2,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,116.29 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56be…57eebacked Central Arkansas Bears | 71c | 5,023$3,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,456.32 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Bellarmine Knights | 28c | 3,317$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915.46 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Central Arkansas Bears | 72c | 2,896$2,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.89 | 379 | 47.8%181 W · 198 L | -26.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Bellarmine Knights | 10c | 2,872$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.45 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Bellarmine Knights | 27c | 2,659$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.15 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Bellarmine Knights | 15c | 2,618$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.29 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Bellarmine Knights | 6c | 2,566$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.62 | 161 | 35.4%57 W · 104 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Bellarmine Knights | 29c | 2,300$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677 | 555 | 32.8%182 W · 373 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Bellarmine Knights | 25c | 2,293$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.52 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Bellarmine Knights | 30c | 2,023$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.91 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Central Arkansas Bears | 79c | 1,598$1,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.16 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Central Arkansas Bears | 75c | 1,495$1,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.87 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Bellarmine Knights | 29c | 1,478$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.7 | 754 | 47.1%355 W · 399 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Bellarmine Knights | 30c | 1,033$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.92 | 347 | 46.1%160 W · 187 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Bellarmine Knights | 25c | 1,018$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.95 | 621 | 40.4%251 W · 370 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe278…b608backed Bellarmine Knights | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 215 | 49.3%106 W · 109 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Bellarmine Knights | 27c | 999.05$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.32 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaec…968cbacked Bellarmine Knights | 30c | 992.65$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f7…c4e5backed Bellarmine Knights | 29c | 819.09$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.29 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Bellarmine Knights | 9c | 783.33$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.41 | 258 | 29.5%76 W · 182 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Central Arkansas Bears | 71c | 697.45$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.8 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe885…a64abacked Central Arkansas Bears | 73c | 675.31$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae9…1d4cbacked Bellarmine Knights | 3c | 644.03$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.07 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4af6…8eb3backed Bellarmine Knights | 28c | 598.37$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fa…87ddbacked Central Arkansas Bears | 72c | 536.93$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0463…a137backed Bellarmine Knights | 29c | 518.71$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Bellarmine Knights | 19c | 413.36$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.43 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff73…35ccbacked Bellarmine Knights | 21c | 371.91$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.72 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Bellarmine Knights | 21c | 353.18$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.71 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Bellarmine Knights | 29c | 335.5$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.29 | 407 | 55.8%227 W · 180 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Bellarmine Knights | 27c | 299.98$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf43c…d7c3backed Bellarmine Knights | 28c | 298.68$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.12 | 491 | 57.2%281 W · 210 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Bellarmine Knights | 29c | 297.84$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.37 | 165 | 46.7%77 W · 88 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Bellarmine Knights | 27c | 266.16$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.13 | 258 | 37.6%97 W · 161 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Bellarmine Knights | 12c | 253.54$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.23 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdab8…1bc7backed Bellarmine Knights | 29c | 244.77$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.98 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -39%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Central Arkansas Bears | 72c | 244.75$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.53 | 316 | 46.8%148 W · 168 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Bellarmine Knights | 15c | 226.77$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.59 | 309 | 45.6%141 W · 168 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Bellarmine Knights | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Bellarmine Knights | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4786…ff95backed Central Arkansas Bears | 71c | 199.4$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.83 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Bellarmine Knights | 29c | 198.56$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.58 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f3…c5c2backed Central Arkansas Bears | 78c | 189.26$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.64 | 71 | 76.1%54 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 72cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Bellarmine Knights | 30c | 188.88$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.66 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Bellarmine Knights | 27c | 186$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.22 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Bellarmine Knights | 27c | 183.9$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.65 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Central Arkansas Bears | 75c | 183.59$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 162 | 55.6%90 W · 72 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb691…b39dbacked Bellarmine Knights | 12c | 172.87$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.49 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | +7.1wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Central Arkansas Bears | 72c | 164.72$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.12 | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Bellarmine Knights | 24c | 162.5$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…3a5bbacked Bellarmine Knights | 31c | 155.08$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.07 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Central Arkansas Bears | 72c | 137.91$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.61 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Bellarmine Knights | 29c | 135.71$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.36 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd598…c67cbacked Bellarmine Knights | 27c | 134.8$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.75 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6809…b188backed Central Arkansas Bears | 75c | 132.46$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.11 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 72cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24a5…b68dbacked Bellarmine Knights | 25c | 119.21$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.8 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed Bellarmine Knights | 30c | 117.83$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.17 | 293 | 37.2%109 W · 184 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad13…d3abbacked Bellarmine Knights | 25c | 114.62$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.81 | 202 | 34.2%69 W · 133 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Central Arkansas Bears | 70c | 103.58$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.07 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5d…859ebacked Central Arkansas Bears | 74c | 99.73$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.93 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc10…6890backed Central Arkansas Bears | 73c | 99.72$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f3…4302backed Bellarmine Knights | 27c | 99.68$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.91 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc6b…d6a4backed Bellarmine Knights | 27c | 99.68$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.91 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Central Arkansas Bears | 80c | 94.57$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.11 | 94 | 48.9%46 W · 48 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…8382backed Bellarmine Knights | 27c | 91.95$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.83 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8158…4df5backed Bellarmine Knights | 27c | 91.95$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.83 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.19per pick | 28cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6483…750abacked Bellarmine Knights | 20c | 89.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.29 | 88 | 34.1%30 W · 58 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae60…1f06backed Bellarmine Knights | 29c | 87.23$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe0…947cbacked Bellarmine Knights | 29c | 83.09$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.1 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Bellarmine Knights | 15c | 79.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 231 | 49.8%115 W · 116 L | +14.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd88a…1eefbacked Bellarmine Knights | 30c | 77.53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.13 | 208 | 34.6%72 W · 136 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f64…1409backed Bellarmine Knights | 19c | 69.01$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…fb49backed Bellarmine Knights | 27c | 68.47$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fc…d60fbacked Bellarmine Knights | 29c | 68.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf602…c172backed Central Arkansas Bears | 76c | 65.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.69 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3af5…caebbacked Central Arkansas Bears | 72c | 63.18$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.63 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc520…63e6backed Bellarmine Knights | 28c | 57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Bellarmine Knights | 23c | 55.39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | +12.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9638…867abacked Bellarmine Knights | 24c | 50.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe496…4d8bbacked Bellarmine Knights | 28c | 44.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 179 | 45.8%82 W · 97 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…9b16backed Central Arkansas Bears | 72c | 44.13$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.36 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x665c…ee58backed Bellarmine Knights | 30c | 39.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked Bellarmine Knights | 29c | 34.75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd3…bd7fbacked Central Arkansas Bears | 75c | 33.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.37 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 70cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5ff1…0c11backed Central Arkansas Bears | 72c | 27.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.72 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.43per pick | 63cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe092…9f1abacked Central Arkansas Bears | 75c | 26.49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.62 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 73cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25ed…3e98backed Central Arkansas Bears | 77c | 25.81$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 136 | 50.7%69 W · 67 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Central Arkansas Bears | 71c | 22.84$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.59 | 188 | 44.7%84 W · 104 L | -10.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4add…8f36backed Central Arkansas Bears | 74c | 20.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.23 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfacd…d470backed Central Arkansas Bears | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 104 | 64.4%67 W · 37 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bellarmine Knights vs. Central Arkansas Bearsthis page
- Bellarmine Knights vs. Central Arkansas Bears: O/U 155.5Over won
- Bellarmine Knights vs. Central Arkansas Bears: O/U 156.5Over won
- Spread: Central Arkansas Bears (-5.5)Central Arkansas Bears won
- Spread: Central Arkansas Bears (-6.5)Central Arkansas Bears won
- Spread: Central Arkansas Bears (-7.5)Central Arkansas Bears won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.