South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Barracas Central vs. CA Belgrano end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa3e0c001e8a9f526819807fd53091e6f24034f695342778d83c2effe0846d7dc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,310
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,470
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,310 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 53c | 8,597$4,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,585.6 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea32…8870backed Yes | 48c | 7,046$3,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,663.86 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 75c | 3,304$2,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.72 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 48c | 1,896$913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$983.76 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked No | 17c | 1,698$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.39 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed No | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | +11.9wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdc37…bac6backed No | 47c | 968.2$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.05 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…37ccbacked Yes | 34c | 783.69$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.23 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 46c | 779.22$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.02 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 66c | 500$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 213 | 49.8%106 W · 107 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…91d5backed No | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 35c | 492.46$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.81 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 64c | 473.56$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.43 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 71c | 427.39$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.47 | 212 | 52.4%111 W · 101 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 40c | 413.1$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.15 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 17c | 354.68$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.86 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Yes | 48c | 235.96$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.7 | 261 | 60.9%159 W · 102 L | +20.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Yes | 71c | 220.79$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.44 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 32c | 182.03$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.18 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked No | 36c | 147.54$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.63 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x569b…c66ebacked No | 69c | 142.23$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.14 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked No | 41c | 137.87$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.94 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 46c | 130.07$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.71 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 27c | 124.39$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.57 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6580…6fa8backed Yes | 34c | 119.92$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.14 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 51c | 112.16$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.2 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…9e23backed Yes | 34c | 98.86$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.25 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 19c | 96.18$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14b7…a035backed No | 37c | 92.06$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.67 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 66c | 85$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.1 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf64c…f45ebacked No | 67c | 80.36$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 47c | 63.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.94 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 27c | 63.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.89 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa223…0894backed Yes | 49c | 49.46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.22 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed Yes | 49c | 48.55$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No | 66c | 43.4$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.64 | 249 | 56.6%141 W · 108 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd2…b368backed No | 53c | 36.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -63%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 66c | 35.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.32 | 82 | 61%50 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec1…ef60backed No | 37c | 34.42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked No | 35c | 34.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 246 | 54.9%135 W · 111 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2806…5feebacked Yes | 34c | 29.66$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.58 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…8cfbbacked Yes | 63c | 29.19$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe092…9f1abacked Yes | 76c | 25.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe941…a496backed Yes | 69c | 24.07$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 58 | 65.5%38 W · 20 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked No | 71c | 21.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.07 | 293 | 62.5%183 W · 110 L | +13.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef92…f133backed Yes | 65c | 16.6$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +94.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Barracas Central vs. CA Belgrano end in a draw?this page
- Will CA Barracas Central win on 2026-04-20?No won
- Will CA Belgrano win on 2026-04-20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.