South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Barracas Central win on 2026-04-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa75a3ff8de21dd35fa5550a886713949f326375ba98aac2fa838f9d600dab603
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,918
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,225
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,918 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a92…6941backed Yes | 20c | 3,457$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.51 | 144 | 43.1%62 W · 82 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 14c | 1,207$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.78 | 286 | 51.7%148 W · 138 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 79c | 621.41$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.95 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 19c | 551.37$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.95 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 14c | 516.7$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.93 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 75c | 500.93$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.77 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 18c | 389.45$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.34 | 138 | 14.5%20 W · 118 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f01…0d90backed Yes | 25c | 346.42$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.7 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 74c | 331.99$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.83 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked Yes | 31c | 317.66$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.47 | 106 | 67.9%72 W · 34 L | +15.7wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 18c | 316.93$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.05 | 212 | 52.4%111 W · 101 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43ce…c264backed Yes | 24c | 242.58$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.22 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 21c | 234.01$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.87 | 313 | 49.8%156 W · 157 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 10c | 208.12$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.81 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe6…a99fbacked Yes | 19c | 190.53$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x569b…c66ebacked Yes | 28c | 189.23$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.17 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 75c | 184.27$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked Yes | 20c | 177.8$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.16 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Yes | 19c | 172.3$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.45 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 19c | 170.9$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.32 | 256 | 25%64 W · 192 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes | 11c | 168.53$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.29 | 80 | 26.3%21 W · 59 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf01…6e5bbacked Yes | 18c | 160.96$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.52 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes | 19c | 150.22$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.54 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 79c | 138.94$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.56 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 16c | 137.03$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.86 | 137 | 39.4%54 W · 83 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 11c | 129.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…9e23backed Yes | 25c | 99.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.83 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 17c | 99.01$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 75c | 58.98$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 75c | 58.98$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd0…c747backed Yes | 28c | 50.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…4811backed Yes | 26c | 45.35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed No | 75c | 39.4$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 122 | 59%72 W · 50 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2526…9f68backed No | 76c | 38.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.34 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…22d0backed No | 73c | 24.56$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed No | 78c | 23.19$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.21 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 79c | 21.72$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 200 | 55%110 W · 90 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77e6…0ae1backed No | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46dc…92c3backed No | 79c | 12.71$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.67 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Barracas Central win on 2026-04-20?this page
- Will CA Barracas Central vs. CA Belgrano end in a draw?Yes won
- Will CA Belgrano win on 2026-04-20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.