South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Belgrano win on 2026-04-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdd280ab639d5526590adf607a3229704e5dac14e011da8c1020ed9743cbe325d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,528
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,113
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,528 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 16c | 5,126$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.29 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 59c | 1,974$1,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.2 | 200 | 46%92 W · 108 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 6c | 1,023$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.16 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…5068backed Yes | 43c | 965.8$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 11c | 853.81$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.67 | 216 | 52.8%114 W · 102 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Yes | 8c | 840.43$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.67 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 53c | 689.91$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.51 | 1,339 | 56.9%762 W · 577 L | +55.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked Yes | 28c | 622.16$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.25 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Yes | 26c | 594.93$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.41 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 11c | 589.14$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.75 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7743…1baebacked Yes | 43c | 583.24$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Yes | 43c | 567$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.09 | 126 | 45.2%57 W · 69 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 70c | 540.62$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.79 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 42c | 426.65$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.19 | 1,393 | 52.6%733 W · 660 L | +53.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 10c | 412.62$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.8 | 595 | 39.7%236 W · 359 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9644…02fcbacked No | 65c | 262.25$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.79 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Yes | 41c | 239.42$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.46 | 98 | 31.6%31 W · 67 L | -11.2wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Yes | 14c | 203.06$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.03 | 187 | 39%73 W · 114 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked Yes | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 175 | 60.6%106 W · 69 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 56c | 194.94$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.85 | 1,055 | 49.3%520 W · 535 L | +14.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fa…65eabacked Yes | 35c | 191.84$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 41c | 189.27$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.6 | 2,648 | 54.2%1,436 W · 1,212 L | +27.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d55…f50cbacked Yes | 27c | 176.19$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.57 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3e…7857backed Yes | 41c | 160.83$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.94 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Yes | 7c | 146.7$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 191 | 44.5%85 W · 106 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed No | 30c | 144.59$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.24 | 308 | 41.2%127 W · 181 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…b0a5backed Yes | 34c | 141.24$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.02 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Yes | 41c | 139.93$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.37 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 21c | 113.4$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.82 | 259 | 25.1%65 W · 194 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 74c | 111.17$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.31 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…9e23backed Yes | 43c | 99.59$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.49 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d84…a7bdbacked No | 64c | 97.84$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 29 | 79.3%23 W · 6 L | +6.7wins | +0.23per pick | 56cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 60c | 97.6$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.04 | 516 | 54.8%283 W · 233 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 77c | 97.57$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.52 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Yes | 41c | 97.19$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.85 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 25c | 83.67$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.92 | 317 | 49.5%157 W · 160 L | +12.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 34c | 80.32$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.92 | 502 | 35.5%178 W · 324 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…8cfbbacked Yes | 75c | 79.98$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 37c | 79.09$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.88 | 311 | 30.9%96 W · 215 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked No | 58c | 69.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 41c | 68.8$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.96 | 1,702 | 52%885 W · 817 L | +21.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60fe…f286backed No | 59c | 66.19$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.14 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea9…0924backed No | 59c | 66.19$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Yes | 62c | 64.08$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 293 | 62.5%183 W · 110 L | +13.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Yes | 41c | 58.82$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 47c | 54.38$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.56 | 206 | 55.8%115 W · 91 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x581a…8e5fbacked No | 58c | 53.18$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.59 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…7720backed Yes | 39c | 48.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda1c…197dbacked Yes | 37c | 47.74$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.44 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x354f…95f8backed Yes | 41c | 47.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 41c | 37.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 1,305 | 53.6%700 W · 605 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa299…ac77backed Yes | 43c | 33.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Yes | 68c | 28.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +6.4wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed No | 61c | 26.52$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.41 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 55c | 23.27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.45 | 1,465 | 56.8%832 W · 633 L | +55.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 58c | 21.82$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.16 | 2,598 | 39.3%1,022 W · 1,576 L | -26.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae6…5e07backed No | 57c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +71.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3a…e4f4backed No | 53c | 20.68$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa64f…e598backed No | 67c | 20.58$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.79 | 72 | 65.3%47 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7d…10fcbacked No | 53c | 20.54$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.65 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa7…303dbacked No | 73c | 14.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Belgrano win on 2026-04-20?this page
- Will CA Barracas Central vs. CA Belgrano end in a draw?Yes won
- Will CA Barracas Central win on 2026-04-20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.