TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Minnesota Golden Gophers vs. Indiana Hoosiers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Indiana Hoosiersof Minnesota Golden Gophers, Indiana Hoosiers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$41,988

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,988 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xead1…c76abacked Indiana Hoosiers74c4,415$3,279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,136.161,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Minnesota Golden Gophers26c3,333$867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$866.562,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Indiana Hoosiers73c2,036$1,496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.781,44643.4%627 W · 819 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Minnesota Golden Gophers29c2,006$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$578.321,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked Minnesota Golden Gophers25c1,755$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438.7455532.8%182 W · 373 L+15.5wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Minnesota Golden Gophers22c1,618$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.145,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Indiana Hoosiers80c1,559$1,243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.573,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec92…98f5backed Indiana Hoosiers72c999.98$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.994250%21 W · 21 L-4.5wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-22.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Minnesota Golden Gophers19c958.82$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.6823149.8%115 W · 116 L+14.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+38.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Minnesota Golden Gophers16c943.27$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.1793447.9%447 W · 487 L-19.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Minnesota Golden Gophers7c931.31$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.7681528.8%235 W · 580 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Indiana Hoosiers74c876.31$652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.612,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Minnesota Golden Gophers26c811.14$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.925946.3%120 W · 139 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Minnesota Golden Gophers10c797.79$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.364,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Minnesota Golden Gophers24c743.32$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.8177142.3%326 W · 445 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Indiana Hoosiers74c671.13$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.4915557.4%89 W · 66 L-0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0faa…e972backed Indiana Hoosiers75c664.12$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.42366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Minnesota Golden Gophers27c361.69$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.324847.6%118 W · 130 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Minnesota Golden Gophers28c336.92$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.0262140.4%251 W · 370 L-10.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x236b…26b7backed Minnesota Golden Gophers28c292.94$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.6725837.6%97 W · 161 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Minnesota Golden Gophers26c261.52$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.991,39752.7%736 W · 661 L+26.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ceb…b516backed Minnesota Golden Gophers27c257.47$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.5212655.6%70 W · 56 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Indiana Hoosiers79c256.27$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.5749747.5%236 W · 261 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa59b…d11ebacked Minnesota Golden Gophers10c240.58$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.023138.7%12 W · 19 L+3.0wins+0.10per pick29cpaid+28.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5542…01cebacked Minnesota Golden Gophers27c219.28$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.21875%6 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+35%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Indiana Hoosiers72c205.52$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.562,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Minnesota Golden Gophers26c199.8$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.951,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Minnesota Golden Gophers26c198.65$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.6538837.6%146 W · 242 L+14.3wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Minnesota Golden Gophers8c174.19$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5325337.5%95 W · 158 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Minnesota Golden Gophers27c166.07$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.842,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13e5…1ea5backed Indiana Hoosiers74c161.63$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.029352.7%49 W · 44 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Minnesota Golden Gophers11c153.99$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.311,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Minnesota Golden Gophers26c151.7$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9792246%424 W · 498 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Minnesota Golden Gophers27c149.57$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.1857335.6%204 W · 369 L-27.3wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe104…6861backed Indiana Hoosiers73c135.37$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.05250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-31.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb01d…46f0backed Minnesota Golden Gophers28c106.39$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7931647.8%151 W · 165 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x989a…afbcbacked Minnesota Golden Gophers22c105.34$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.1870349.6%349 W · 354 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x460d…9d5fbacked Minnesota Golden Gophers27c100.72$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.823348.5%16 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe33f…e413backed Minnesota Golden Gophers14c99.58$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9437246.2%172 W · 200 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e8d…e22dbacked Minnesota Golden Gophers26c91.56$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8124340.7%99 W · 144 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Minnesota Golden Gophers18c87.33$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9330945.6%141 W · 168 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53c5…cb95backed Minnesota Golden Gophers13c82.17$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.035438.9%21 W · 33 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Indiana Hoosiers74c76.38$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.8630649%150 W · 156 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Minnesota Golden Gophers26c73.77$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1842339.2%166 W · 257 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Minnesota Golden Gophers23c70.94$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.21,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x4a4e…2ec7backed Minnesota Golden Gophers27c69.52$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.773148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf72…b4a6backed Indiana Hoosiers74c68.96$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.069470.2%66 W · 28 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick69cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc05a…4c33backed Indiana Hoosiers73c67.34$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7e7…8e7cbacked Minnesota Golden Gophers26c57.3$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.91315.4%2 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.20per pick36cpaid-68.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd3dd…ff37backed Minnesota Golden Gophers26c57.3$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7578…5336backed Indiana Hoosiers75c52.98$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.252100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+52.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3020…bc04backed Minnesota Golden Gophers26c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1316755.7%93 W · 74 L+10.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+16.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x913f…916dbacked Indiana Hoosiers74c48.31$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.56944.4%4 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.25per pick69cpaid-39.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe276…a85bbacked Minnesota Golden Gophers27c47.6$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8522544.9%101 W · 124 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Minnesota Golden Gophers25c47.57$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9294036.9%347 W · 593 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72ab…8d29backed Indiana Hoosiers75c47.45$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.952152.4%11 W · 10 L-2.7wins-0.13per pick65cpaid-17.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x63d0…6c7abacked Minnesota Golden Gophers27c45.83$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb38c…b2c9backed Indiana Hoosiers73c42.7$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.5323948.1%115 W · 124 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Indiana Hoosiers73c36.58$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.6933445.8%153 W · 181 L-0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc990…80bbbacked Indiana Hoosiers74c32.2$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.373135.5%11 W · 20 L-5.6wins-0.18per pick54cpaid-37.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x278c…d9d9backed Indiana Hoosiers73c27.21$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.35475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick73cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc653…bb8cbacked Indiana Hoosiers74c27$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.0239050.5%197 W · 193 L-34.9wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe092…9f1abacked Indiana Hoosiers75c26.49$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.621560%9 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick73cpaid-17.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0dc9…0b92backed Indiana Hoosiers75c25.79$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30ad…6a69backed Indiana Hoosiers74c22.95$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.972454.2%13 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick63cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Indiana Hoosiers73c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.443053.3%229 W · 201 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f31…e2b6backed Indiana Hoosiers75c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514461.8%89 W · 55 L+0.7wins0.00per pick61cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ce7…81a3backed Indiana Hoosiers74c18.25$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.752445.8%11 W · 13 L-3.8wins-0.16per pick62cpaid-25.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7132…f7f0backed Indiana Hoosiers74c16.11$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.191758.8%10 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick66cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee5e…7f1cbacked Indiana Hoosiers74c16.09$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.182142.9%9 W · 12 L-3.7wins-0.18per pick60cpaid-30.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3319…ba79backed Indiana Hoosiers74c16.09$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.183961.5%24 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Indiana Hoosiers72c13.89$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.8982846.1%382 W · 446 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b89…98d6backed Indiana Hoosiers74c13.69$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.566100%6 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+63%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.