TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Blackhawks vs. Stars

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Starsof Blackhawks, Stars
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$584,464

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $584,464 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 462 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xaa07…2125backed Blackhawks27c100,964$27,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,260.241,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Stars72c89,722$64,422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,299.1715054.7%82 W · 68 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x44fd…b634backed Stars73c82,867$60,493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,373.981060%6 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd92…6b2abacked Blackhawks27c50,000$13,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,699.9714650.7%74 W · 72 L+8.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed Stars73c23,288$17,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,287.762540%10 W · 15 L-4.1wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-29.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Blackhawks27c21,201$5,724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,724.2345751.6%236 W · 221 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Blackhawks28c16,842$4,715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,714.761,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Blackhawks28c15,663$4,388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,387.671,19050.7%603 W · 587 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc08…a137backed Blackhawks30c14,502$4,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,319.7230259.6%180 W · 122 L+31.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+16.7%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Stars47c14,092$6,604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,488.3712838.3%49 W · 79 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked Stars73c14,000$10,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,78015145%68 W · 83 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Stars72c12,850$9,246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,604.491,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Stars72c12,157$8,753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,403.9147951.4%246 W · 233 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Blackhawks27c11,328$3,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,067.2979350.1%397 W · 396 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Stars74c11,138$8,195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,943.3721755.3%120 W · 97 L+0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Stars73c10,744$7,843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,900.7551452.3%269 W · 245 L+17.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Stars73c10,330$7,541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,789.075261.5%32 W · 20 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x30ce…fdcebacked Blackhawks28c10,234$2,898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,897.915057.3%86 W · 64 L+14.8wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+44.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Blackhawks28c10,000$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,80032946.8%154 W · 175 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Stars72c9,585$6,901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,683.9161748.5%299 W · 318 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Blackhawks29c8,747$2,537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,536.6118641.9%78 W · 108 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3383…c5c0backed Blackhawks27c8,000$2,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1602347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29cc…3c29backed Blackhawks29c7,895$2,289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,289.451127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.19per pick47cpaid-43.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Blackhawks27c7,524$2,031 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,031.4661953.8%333 W · 286 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5761…2923backed Blackhawks29c7,500$2,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,174.9820%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1632…cb68backed Blackhawks29c7,332$2,126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,126.282748.1%13 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Blackhawks29c7,302$2,113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,113.4989355.5%496 W · 397 L+67.6wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+12.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Blackhawks52c7,286$3,781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,781.181,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2eed…85a9backed Stars70c7,200$5,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1607358.9%43 W · 30 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Stars69c7,096$4,891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,205.7139344.8%176 W · 217 L+23.3wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+1.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Blackhawks48c6,437$3,114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,114.271,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Blackhawks48c6,088$2,894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,893.541,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Blackhawks29c6,000$1,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,739.9960249.5%298 W · 304 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Blackhawks51c5,934$3,028 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,028.161,20260.1%722 W · 480 L+51.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Blackhawks28c5,890$1,621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,620.552,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf62b…844abacked Stars73c5,480$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,479.614654.1%79 W · 67 L-7.9wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Blackhawks29c5,000$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,44027850.4%140 W · 138 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Blackhawks29c4,520$1,326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,325.5943548.5%211 W · 224 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83ab…3d56backed Blackhawks28c4,444$1,244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,244.324949%24 W · 25 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Blackhawks29c4,255$1,244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,244.361,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Blackhawks44c4,085$1,813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,813.33,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f85…bd8cbacked Stars73c4,000$2,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0803452.9%18 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Blackhawks27c4,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,079.9913948.2%67 W · 72 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Blackhawks29c4,000$1,165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,164.9645749.2%225 W · 232 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Blackhawks36c3,922$1,399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,398.9152172.6%378 W · 143 L+36.7wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Blackhawks30c3,760$1,109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,109.1733243.7%145 W · 187 L-16.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Blackhawks28c3,333$933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$933.2491945.6%419 W · 500 L-27.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Stars73c3,000$2,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8101,08745.1%490 W · 597 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4219…7855backed Stars61c2,970$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,169.841070%7 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+19.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x324a…fdccbacked Stars71c2,800$1,988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$812.182100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Stars59c2,543$1,493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,050.192,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x375b…ab1fbacked Stars71c2,500$1,775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$725250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-29.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Blackhawks45c2,355$1,053 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,052.9962951.2%322 W · 307 L+18.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Blackhawks28c2,321$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65021849.5%108 W · 110 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76d3…7034backed Blackhawks47c2,302$1,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,084.79333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-54.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb820…cbe7backed Stars43c2,288$984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,304.1610158.4%59 W · 42 L+7.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Blackhawks39c2,240$874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$873.548252.4%43 W · 39 L+6.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3242…6099backed Stars71c2,200$1,562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6382100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick65cpaid+56.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e58…3864backed Blackhawks29c2,152$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6246246.8%29 W · 33 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Stars69c2,004$1,392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.4689249.9%445 W · 447 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49fa…f904backed Blackhawks35c2,002$707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$707.53636.1%13 W · 23 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-19%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd5d8…e9a1backed Stars43c2,000$860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1403548.6%17 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33c9…6f9abacked Blackhawks28c2,000$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.652245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Blackhawks28c2,000$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.9962249.4%307 W · 315 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Blackhawks29c2,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579.9983652.8%441 W · 395 L+28.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Blackhawks28c2,000$554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553.9491653.9%494 W · 422 L+39.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Stars65c1,960$1,264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$695.843742.3%185 W · 252 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ffb…e82abacked Stars51c1,955$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$955.26550.8%33 W · 32 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ae…f471backed Stars59c1,933$1,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801.361250%6 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Blackhawks47c1,916$904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$904.381,84657.2%1,055 W · 791 L+85.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Blackhawks55c1,815$1,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,003.417247.7%82 W · 90 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xebba…383cbacked Blackhawks28c1,786$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004753.2%25 W · 22 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+15.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Blackhawks40c1,774$714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$713.7836748%176 W · 191 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0ff…24e3backed Blackhawks29c1,762$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5113743.2%16 W · 21 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Blackhawks29c1,559$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.2566552%346 W · 319 L+8.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Stars64c1,459$938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.651,38447.1%652 W · 732 L+25.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x157c…3657backed Blackhawks31c1,450$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.5850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed Blackhawks29c1,391$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.516414.1%9 W · 55 L-7.7wins-0.12per pick26cpaid-71.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Stars72c1,389$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.8985250.2%428 W · 424 L-26.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Stars49c1,346$666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$680.2125635.9%92 W · 164 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Blackhawks28c1,309$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.921,09250.4%550 W · 542 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x528f…2101backed Stars54c1,288$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.617353.8%93 W · 80 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0644…05debacked Blackhawks45c1,272$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577.886357.1%36 W · 27 L+6.7wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+25.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x3032…9b05backed Stars45c1,109$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$610.193562.9%22 W · 13 L+5.9wins+0.17per pick46cpaid+28.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5611…e5f4backed Stars46c1,093$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.939547.4%45 W · 50 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-12.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Blackhawks28c1,078$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.8261950.1%310 W · 309 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Blackhawks28c1,073$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30011045.5%50 W · 60 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c9…4386backed Stars61c1,068$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.8836948%177 W · 192 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Blackhawks32c1,036$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.9457157.8%330 W · 241 L+12.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69d9…9881backed Stars72c1,023$733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.1930657.8%177 W · 129 L+0.5wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Stars52c999.99$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47589547%421 W · 474 L-18.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked Stars52c999.98$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.9911950.4%60 W · 59 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d21…abc5backed Blackhawks42c977.38$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41014837.2%55 W · 93 L-7.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-15.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbd1e…ff14backed Stars69c817.94$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.5648050.6%243 W · 237 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4042…0bdabacked Stars43c813.95$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.954546.7%21 W · 24 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e64…89c3backed Stars51c794.53$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.531560%9 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+37.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x54d0…8e20backed Stars63c789.15$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.151450%7 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Stars70c746$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.843456%243 W · 191 L+16.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7831…c197backed Blackhawks29c734.48$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2132142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3920…23e7backed Stars73c732.88$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.8839649.5%196 W · 200 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.