NHL · resolved market
Blackhawks vs. Stars: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xba00ae5706e8bb8bc421340275cd81384647270d25697db5e6b1fd442d796b35
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,531
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,531 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 47c | 4,255$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Over | 55c | 3,371$1,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,518.45 | 434 | 56%243 W · 191 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 46c | 2,500$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,149.99 | 272 | 43.4%118 W · 154 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 53c | 2,153$1,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,002.58 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 45c | 2,003$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901.22 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 53c | 990.57$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.57 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa70b…7a8abacked Over | 55c | 890.91$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.91 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed Over | 54c | 535.19$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.19 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 53c | 497.5$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.65 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 7c | 394$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.35 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 54c | 372.26$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.19 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 45c | 214.45$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.28 | 429 | 48.7%209 W · 220 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Over | 53c | 160$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.2 | 599 | 50.4%302 W · 297 L | +20.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Over | 53c | 159.56$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Over | 41c | 157$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.69 | 125 | 36%45 W · 80 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Under | 18c | 114.83$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.67 | 64 | 14.1%9 W · 55 L | -7.7wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Over | 54c | 111.12$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.12 | 565 | 53.6%303 W · 262 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d54…a756backed Over | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 150 | 54%81 W · 69 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Under | 43c | 92.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.67 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe276…a85bbacked Over | 54c | 91.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.18 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -4.2wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d3…bd58backed Over | 54c | 87.26$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.14 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 54c | 78.26$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.16 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcc…031ebacked Under | 46c | 74.47$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.26 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…94e9backed Under | 44c | 73.14$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.41 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Over | 54c | 71.37$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.83 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 24c | 66.81$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked Over | 54c | 66$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.36 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -6.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x44e4…f624backed Over | 57c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 279 | 57.7%161 W · 118 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 44c | 51.23$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.54 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 425 | 58.6%249 W · 176 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 32c | 48.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 50c | 41.81$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.96 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Over | 54c | 41.69$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 355 | 53%188 W · 167 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00e…73fabacked Over | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc95f…357fbacked Over | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Over | 55c | 31.82$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.2 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…4fcabacked Over | 70c | 30.02$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.16 | 227 | 59.5%135 W · 92 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54d5…77d4backed Over | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 50c | 29.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.81 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3383…b7debacked Over | 54c | 26.76$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfc…c4cebacked Over | 56c | 21.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Over | 63c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.97 | 256 | 35.9%92 W · 164 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…b635backed Over | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Blackhawks vs. Stars: O/U 5.5this page
- Blackhawks vs. StarsStars won
- Blackhawks vs. Stars: O/U 4.5Over won
- Blackhawks vs. Stars: O/U 6.5Over won
- Blackhawks vs. Stars: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Stars (-1.5)Blackhawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.