NHL · resolved market
Spread: Stars (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6f269fc0c63a6e58c20b5c63f6f45ed2c1a2cf82c54a80c1c7bb40cea912f339
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Blackhawksof Stars, Blackhawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $97,423
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,423 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Blackhawks | 48c | 71,070$34,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,956.3 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a5…7c26backed Stars | 52c | 56,700$29,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,484 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Stars | 52c | 11,350$5,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,862.28 | 434 | 56%243 W · 191 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Stars | 52c | 6,720$3,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,494.4 | 186 | 41.9%78 W · 108 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83ab…3d56backed Stars | 51c | 6,532$3,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,331.16 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Stars | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Blackhawks | 49c | 3,061$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,561.22 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Blackhawks | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,559.99 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Blackhawks | 50c | 2,555$1,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,277.5 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Blackhawks | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56be…57eebacked Blackhawks | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +6.3wins | +0.22per pick | 42cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Stars | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.8 | 210 | 36.2%76 W · 134 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Stars | 52c | 1,807$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935.04 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Blackhawks | 49c | 1,515$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.65 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f0…c8a6backed Blackhawks | 49c | 1,510$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.2 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Blackhawks | 48c | 1,147$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.64 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…0127backed Blackhawks | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.2 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Blackhawks | 48c | 992.06$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.87 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Stars | 51c | 800$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Blackhawks | 49c | 756.53$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.83 | 125 | 52%65 W · 60 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Stars | 51c | 600.81$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.13 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Blackhawks | 49c | 600$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.05 | 326 | 48.2%157 W · 169 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Blackhawks | 51c | 499.99$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.99 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Blackhawks | 49c | 499.99$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.99 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Blackhawks | 58c | 481.96$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.23 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Stars | 35c | 378.63$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.38 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d54…a756backed Stars | 36c | 375$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.75 | 150 | 54%81 W · 69 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6530…273ebacked Stars | 49c | 351$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Stars | 50c | 350$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 485 | 52.2%253 W · 232 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed Stars | 50c | 319.83$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b8…2bf7backed Blackhawks | 51c | 318$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ef…cdd9backed Stars | 51c | 256.34$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf94b…4dbfbacked Blackhawks | 51c | 256$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9259…37bcbacked Stars | 49c | 223$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…94e9backed Blackhawks | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Stars | 51c | 178.23$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.7 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Stars | 51c | 163.52$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.4 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Blackhawks | 71c | 162.63$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.7 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefb9…e74fbacked Blackhawks | 48c | 155.74$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.83 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e19…52bbbacked Stars | 7c | 147.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb49…1fbebacked Blackhawks | 49c | 120.61$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.62 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Blackhawks | 67c | 120.43$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.33 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Blackhawks | 59c | 119.98$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.19 | 979 | 55.5%543 W · 436 L | +21.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…ff0dbacked Blackhawks | 76c | 115.44$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b06…10a7backed Blackhawks | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Blackhawks | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Stars | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | -13.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Blackhawks | 48c | 99.99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.99 | 223 | 52.9%118 W · 105 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5467…ffffbacked Stars | 50c | 80.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -7.6wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -20%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd068…c3bfbacked Stars | 53c | 75.54$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Blackhawks | 49c | 75.2$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.42 | 274 | 53.6%147 W · 127 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd155…8250backed Blackhawks | 48c | 65.14$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.87 | 208 | 57.7%120 W · 88 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd05…61d6backed Stars | 16c | 64.59$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed Blackhawks | 49c | 62.98$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.12 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Stars | 31c | 61.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.12 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Stars | 52c | 54.38$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.28 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa6c…a67dbacked Stars | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -42%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a50…09f4backed Blackhawks | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -4.4wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x597a…5df0backed Stars | 53c | 50.94$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Stars | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe683…5578backed Blackhawks | 68c | 49.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Blackhawks | 48c | 49.08$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.34 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…7aecbacked Stars | 32c | 47.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +3.9wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +43%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Stars | 51c | 46.01$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.47 | 657 | 21.9%144 W · 513 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xcff1…f8debacked Stars | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -6.4wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…8ba0backed Stars | 32c | 34.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9572…ea8ebacked Blackhawks | 48c | 33.12$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.22 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea1c…b810backed Stars | 52c | 32.75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.03 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d57…2b4ebacked Blackhawks | 49c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 174 | 58%101 W · 73 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Stars | 49c | 30.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 416 | 50.7%211 W · 205 L | +15.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Stars | 51c | 24.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.37 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf986…6833backed Blackhawks | 49c | 20.68$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7cac…988ebacked Stars | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Blackhawks | 79c | 13.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.8 | 333 | 63.7%212 W · 121 L | +44.3wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Stars (-1.5)this page
- Blackhawks vs. StarsStars won
- Blackhawks vs. Stars: O/U 4.5Over won
- Blackhawks vs. Stars: O/U 5.5Over won
- Blackhawks vs. Stars: O/U 6.5Over won
- Blackhawks vs. Stars: O/U 7.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.