NHL · resolved market
Blackhawks vs. Stars: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ac53674fba11f0e5c479261f80f560c7e41435a206967c37befca8d1a6edb90
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,351
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,351 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 44c | 2,141$933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,207.3 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Under | 56c | 1,921$1,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075.56 | 150 | 54.7%82 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 57c | 1,903$1,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,084.97 | 272 | 43.4%118 W · 154 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked Under | 58c | 1,501$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.55 | 271 | 50.2%136 W · 135 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Over | 43c | 1,163$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.79 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Over | 42c | 618.65$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.82 | 169 | 55.6%94 W · 75 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 42c | 457.17$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.16 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 43c | 418.6$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.6 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54d0…8e20backed Under | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 57c | 335.88$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.54 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 44c | 282$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.72 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Over | 43c | 276$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.32 | 434 | 56%243 W · 191 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 36c | 219.33$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.16 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff5…f136backed Under | 57c | 218.58$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 46c | 212$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.76 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 43c | 123.89$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.05 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe276…a85bbacked Over | 44c | 111.1$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.22 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -4.2wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ac6bbacked Over | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Under | 41c | 98$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.18 | 136 | 47.1%64 W · 72 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cf…8a4fbacked Over | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.24 | 141 | 57.4%81 W · 60 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 55c | 95$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.75 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked Over | 44c | 88$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.28 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -6.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb20…40a6backed Over | 72c | 82$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.28 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 55c | 64.97$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.99 | 272 | 50%136 W · 136 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b41…01c7backed Over | 42c | 59$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.22 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 63c | 46.4$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Under | 66c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 256 | 35.9%92 W · 164 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 333 | 63.7%212 W · 121 L | +44.3wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Over | 44c | 37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.72 | 159 | 44.7%71 W · 88 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd4c…394abacked Under | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b91…492ebacked Under | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce3…7da2backed Under | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfda1…454fbacked Under | 33c | 30.82$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29aa…e4eabacked Under | 33c | 30.82$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe825…39b7backed Under | 39c | 30.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Over | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…b635backed Over | 48c | 27.49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.24 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…4fcabacked Over | 71c | 26.73$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 227 | 59.5%135 W · 92 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Under | 54c | 21.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd6…16abbacked Under | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 308 | 59.4%183 W · 125 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Blackhawks vs. Stars: O/U 6.5this page
- Blackhawks vs. StarsStars won
- Blackhawks vs. Stars: O/U 4.5Over won
- Blackhawks vs. Stars: O/U 5.5Over won
- Blackhawks vs. Stars: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Stars (-1.5)Blackhawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.