TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5e19…52bb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
48
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: NFL, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 57 out of 100; worst MLB at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT2568%17 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+15.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Senatorsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$148.54
Bruins vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+37.4%+$54.67
Predators vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Utah vs. Canucksbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$13.46
Blues vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Flyers vs. Islanders: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+82.3%+$16.45
Flames vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.99
Utah vs. Krakenbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
Kraken vs. Oilers: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+35.5%+$7.11
Ducks vs. Flamesbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$21.72
Ducks vs. Canucksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$50.07
Sabres vs. Kingsbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$49.67
Flames vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$9.59
Kings vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Predators vs. Canucksbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$151.01
Ducks vs. Maple Leafsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Islanders vs. Bluesbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$14.14
Blues vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Blackhawks vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+86.7%+$26.01
Spread: Stars (-1.5)backed Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Canadiens vs. Kingsbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+100%+$10
Avalanche vs. Ducksbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+75.4%+$11.32
Stars vs. Flamesbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+75.4%+$11.32
Sharks vs. Canucksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+78.7%+$23.61
Penguins vs. Canucksbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+66.7%+$8.67
All 25 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.36per pick53cpaid-73.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
MLB — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+84.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Seahawks (-5.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+108.3%+$27.08
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+44.9%+$39.09
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+100%+$52
Seahawks Team Total: O/U 24.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+85.2%+$23
All 4 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mavericks vs. Trail Blazersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$11.07
Thunder vs. Rocketsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+56.3%+$7.88
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+138.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$112.86
Connecticut Huskies vs. St. John's Red Stormbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Copa Colsanitas: Panna Udvardy vs Emiliana Arangobacked Emiliana Arango · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Italy qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.