NHL · resolved market
Islanders vs. Blues
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x18f56f724cd5a0baf95f9e9701b9a5b60fbb43eeaf8dec332bf7e89c330d60bf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Islandersof Islanders, Blues
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $593,661
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $593,661 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 531 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Blues | 47c | 134,266$62,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62,466.78 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Islanders | 53c | 51,443$27,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,179.4 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Blues | 47c | 31,681$14,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,814.65 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Islanders | 55c | 26,720$14,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,093.67 | 169 | 55.6%94 W · 75 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Blues | 62c | 26,182$16,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,260.4 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9976…67dabacked Islanders | 54c | 22,984$12,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,549.79 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Islanders | 54c | 22,817$12,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,572.7 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Islanders | 53c | 18,830$9,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,850.09 | 403 | 56.3%227 W · 176 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebbb…4214backed Islanders | 55c | 15,799$8,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,154.8 | 128 | 35.9%46 W · 82 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Blues | 46c | 15,440$7,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,128.06 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Islanders | 37c | 13,801$5,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,695.05 | 128 | 38.3%49 W · 79 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Islanders | 53c | 11,597$6,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,435.88 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Islanders | 49c | 10,923$5,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,543.01 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Islanders | 54c | 10,708$5,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,935.67 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Blues | 45c | 10,000$4,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,509.99 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Blues | 45c | 9,544$4,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,340.46 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Islanders | 53c | 9,518$5,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,492.26 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Blues | 51c | 8,403$4,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,299.51 | 274 | 48.9%134 W · 140 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Blues | 45c | 8,000$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebc7…4003backed Islanders | 53c | 8,000$4,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,759.98 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e6…1dc1backed Islanders | 37c | 8,000$2,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,039.92 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Blues | 47c | 7,254$3,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,409.6 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Islanders | 37c | 6,000$2,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,779.98 | 151 | 45%68 W · 83 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Blues | 47c | 5,933$2,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,788.64 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Blues | 32c | 5,214$1,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,648.58 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Islanders | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300.08 | 272 | 43.4%118 W · 154 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…d142backed Islanders | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300.18 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Blues | 56c | 4,677$2,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,640.49 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Blues | 5c | 4,436$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.09 | 393 | 44.8%176 W · 217 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Islanders | 12c | 4,186$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,682.07 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Islanders | 53c | 3,888$2,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,818.8 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Islanders | 54c | 3,704$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,703.7 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Islanders | 53c | 3,407$1,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,596.54 | 865 | 49.1%425 W · 440 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Blues | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380 | 305 | 52.5%160 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2590…e38ebacked Blues | 2c | 2,847$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.95 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 4cpaid | +971.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb3…5ceabacked Islanders | 53c | 2,808$1,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Islanders | 53c | 2,774$1,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,305.33 | 457 | 51.6%236 W · 221 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Blues | 47c | 2,640$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240.4 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Blues | 46c | 2,500$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Islanders | 53c | 2,500$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,174.98 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Blues | 45c | 2,455$1,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,104.84 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Blues | 72c | 2,230$1,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,613.42 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Islanders | 53c | 2,222$1,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,044.34 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e58…3864backed Blues | 46c | 2,196$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.09 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Blues | 70c | 2,166$1,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,523.61 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Islanders | 29c | 2,140$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,509.9 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x360b…982fbacked Islanders | 52c | 2,118$1,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,016.43 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Islanders | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Islanders | 53c | 1,924$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$904.48 | 278 | 50.4%140 W · 138 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c6…75adbacked Islanders | 25c | 1,855$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,399.45 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ff…24e3backed Blues | 46c | 1,850$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Blues | 69c | 1,844$1,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,269.71 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Islanders | 52c | 1,790$931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.15 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Blues | 47c | 1,761$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.33 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Blues | 47c | 1,700$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe7…820fbacked Blues | 63c | 1,658$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050.15 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Islanders | 54c | 1,656$894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.55 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f72…0841backed Islanders | 52c | 1,541$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.65 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed Islanders | 38c | 1,500$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.79 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Islanders | 53c | 1,480$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.79 | 459 | 55.1%253 W · 206 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Islanders | 53c | 1,416$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.5 | 281 | 52%146 W · 135 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a17…1b84backed Islanders | 54c | 1,287$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.74 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd43…88d7backed Islanders | 39c | 1,278$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.26 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +93.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed Islanders | 53c | 1,200$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564 | 457 | 49.2%225 W · 232 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Islanders | 53c | 1,158$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.84 | 540 | 47.6%257 W · 283 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Islanders | 51c | 1,150$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.98 | 428 | 47.2%202 W · 226 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Blues | 47c | 1,100$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.83 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc070…203abacked Blues | 48c | 1,040$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.12 | 152 | 52%79 W · 73 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…abc5backed Islanders | 38c | 1,015$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.8 | 148 | 37.2%55 W · 93 L | -7.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Blues | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Blues | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe278…b608backed Islanders | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Blues | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.92 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Blues | 47c | 999.9$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.97 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…6592backed Blues | 44c | 993.45$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.12 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf908…350fbacked Blues | 48c | 981.59$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Islanders | 51c | 960.5$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.64 | 254 | 47.2%120 W · 134 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ba…e356backed Islanders | 54c | 941.57$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.12 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fa…e07ebacked Islanders | 54c | 937.65$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…cfcabacked Blues | 46c | 934.78$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe622…ea5ebacked Islanders | 53c | 900$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.01 | 223 | 52.9%118 W · 105 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Blues | 46c | 894.19$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.71 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Islanders | 53c | 893$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.71 | 265 | 51.3%136 W · 129 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Blues | 57c | 862.47$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.06 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd714…9a62backed Blues | 47c | 834.04$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.8 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4e…c3c3backed Islanders | 19c | 818.68$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.88 | 215 | 34.4%74 W · 141 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4112…5d9dbacked Islanders | 53c | 761.96$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.53 | 156 | 51.3%80 W · 76 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…90d8backed Blues | 46c | 756.11$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.81 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a16…19febacked Blues | 46c | 716.78$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.72 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Islanders | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.29 | 437 | 43%188 W · 249 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa33d…eabebacked Islanders | 55c | 693.22$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.95 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc719…149dbacked Islanders | 55c | 678.8$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.46 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Islanders | 37c | 644.16$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.96 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Islanders | 54c | 636.54$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.9 | 126 | 53.2%67 W · 59 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72b2…ffcabacked Blues | 48c | 626$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.4 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…5dfebacked Blues | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa4…9a4cbacked Islanders | 55c | 600$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49a5…b220backed Blues | 46c | 600$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.92 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…75a0backed Islanders | 53c | 598.98$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.52 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19a0…ff49backed Islanders | 55c | 595.83$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.12 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 57cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Islanders vs. Bluesthis page
- Islanders vs. Blues: O/U 4.5Over won
- Islanders vs. Blues: O/U 5.5Over won
- Islanders vs. Blues: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Islanders (-1.5)Blues won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.