NHL · resolved market
Avalanche vs. Ducks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9aa2706c479a33d1244fce381a57dd8718141d7a84cf469c9c3d9dbd93eac289
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Avalancheof Avalanche, Ducks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $599,492
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $622,948
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $599,492 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 374 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Ducks | 28c | 268,696$75,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75,183.44 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Ducks | 43c | 121,224$52,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,126.49 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Avalanche | 56c | 65,437$36,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,792.27 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Ducks | 17c | 32,417$5,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,506.74 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Avalanche | 57c | 26,987$15,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,546.62 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Avalanche | 56c | 20,557$11,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,041.49 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Avalanche | 57c | 20,000$11,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,600 | 224 | 43.8%98 W · 126 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Avalanche | 56c | 17,615$9,951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,664.42 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Avalanche | 56c | 12,104$6,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,325.77 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Ducks | 43c | 10,286$4,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,423.08 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Avalanche | 58c | 8,200$4,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,444 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Avalanche | 57c | 8,064$4,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,467.48 | 205 | 52.2%107 W · 98 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Avalanche | 57c | 5,812$3,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,518.46 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Avalanche | 57c | 5,746$3,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,470.95 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Avalanche | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,150 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Avalanche | 56c | 4,614$2,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,030.28 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Ducks | 42c | 4,606$1,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,934.32 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed Ducks | 44c | 4,091$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Avalanche | 57c | 4,000$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,720 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Avalanche | 57c | 4,000$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,720 | 291 | 46.7%136 W · 155 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Avalanche | 57c | 4,000$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,720 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Avalanche | 57c | 3,877$2,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,659.95 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Avalanche | 57c | 3,333$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,433.19 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Avalanche | 58c | 3,000$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Avalanche | 57c | 2,772$1,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,203.17 | 457 | 51.6%236 W · 221 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83e6…2488backed Ducks | 42c | 2,649$1,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,112.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…b735backed Avalanche | 76c | 2,640$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.19 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67e7…52cabacked Avalanche | 58c | 2,572$1,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,070.84 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x190e…c6e2backed Avalanche | 57c | 2,561$1,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,101.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Avalanche | 56c | 2,534$1,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,114.77 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8338…2ea3backed Ducks | 42c | 2,468$1,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,036.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe700…80b2backed Avalanche | 57c | 2,435$1,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,047.05 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Ducks | 17c | 2,416$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.9 | 393 | 44.8%176 W · 217 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Avalanche | 57c | 2,301$1,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.46 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Ducks | 44c | 2,300$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,011.98 | 151 | 45%68 W · 83 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Ducks | 16c | 2,282$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.74 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Avalanche | 62c | 2,033$1,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.91 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Ducks | 12c | 2,000$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 273 | 34.4%94 W · 179 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10c4…efd9backed Avalanche | 58c | 1,886$1,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792.52 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.7wins | -0.27per pick | 55cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Avalanche | 56c | 1,785$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.4 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Ducks | 25c | 1,784$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.56 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Ducks | 43c | 1,765$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.79 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf62b…844abacked Avalanche | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.39 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | -7.9wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Avalanche | 75c | 1,626$1,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.78 | 302 | 59.6%180 W · 122 L | +31.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Avalanche | 68c | 1,590$1,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.39 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Avalanche | 57c | 1,479$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.85 | 435 | 48.5%211 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Avalanche | 56c | 1,471$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.25 | 278 | 50.4%140 W · 138 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Ducks | 40c | 1,425$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 332 | 43.7%145 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Avalanche | 58c | 1,362$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.04 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Ducks | 40c | 1,300$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.05 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Avalanche | 56c | 1,290$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.68 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed Ducks | 44c | 1,132$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498 | 358 | 29.3%105 W · 253 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Avalanche | 57c | 1,010$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.3 | 540 | 47.6%257 W · 283 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba9c…d2c1backed Avalanche | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Ducks | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Avalanche | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5215…3164backed Ducks | 43c | 999.99$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe278…b608backed Avalanche | 57c | 999.99$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.99 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Ducks | 5c | 999.97$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Avalanche | 64c | 991.96$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.14 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Ducks | 23c | 962$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.56 | 434 | 56%243 W · 191 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…e271backed Avalanche | 56c | 952.71$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.19 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Avalanche | 57c | 939.51$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.56 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Avalanche | 56c | 937$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.28 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Avalanche | 56c | 912.15$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.35 | 217 | 50.2%109 W · 108 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Ducks | 44c | 905.02$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.21 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0acc…9dc1backed Avalanche | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.19 | 250 | 52.8%132 W · 118 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbe…b84fbacked Avalanche | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.19 | 182 | 58.2%106 W · 76 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce50…b747backed Avalanche | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.19 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x899e…0863backed Avalanche | 57c | 845.96$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.76 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Avalanche | 56c | 803.57$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.57 | 167 | 56.3%94 W · 73 L | +9.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Ducks | 15c | 799.95$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.99 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf294…d8fdbacked Ducks | 37c | 769.59$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281 | 103 | 50.5%52 W · 51 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69d9…9881backed Avalanche | 58c | 765.52$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.52 | 306 | 57.8%177 W · 129 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b64…eaf4backed Ducks | 23c | 722.44$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.49 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52fc…6c84backed Avalanche | 57c | 701.75$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.75 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Avalanche | 57c | 682.75$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.82 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Avalanche | 61c | 675$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.78 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Avalanche | 59c | 658$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.69 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Ducks | 11c | 653.93$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.05 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Avalanche | 57c | 631$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.33 | 153 | 54.9%84 W · 69 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Ducks | 41c | 626.75$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.97 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb8…c665backed Avalanche | 57c | 605.26$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.26 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -5.4wins | -0.22per pick | 58cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Avalanche | 64c | 579.07$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.3 | 119 | 33.6%40 W · 79 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Avalanche | 57c | 565$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.95 | 396 | 49.5%196 W · 200 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Avalanche | 57c | 545.38$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.4 | 865 | 49.1%425 W · 440 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Avalanche | 63c | 520.28$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.27 | 519 | 49.5%257 W · 262 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1b…5afdbacked Ducks | 44c | 484.09$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211 | 150 | 53.3%80 W · 70 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Avalanche | 57c | 484$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.12 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Ducks | 16c | 453$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.86 | 277 | 39.4%109 W · 168 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Avalanche | 56c | 446.43$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.43 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Ducks | 43c | 443.23$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.26 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x070a…4d55backed Ducks | 8c | 425$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +7.6wins | +0.17per pick | 32cpaid | +70.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…a569backed Ducks | 43c | 418.6$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 226 | 55.8%126 W · 100 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5558…f9c4backed Ducks | 36c | 399.77$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.61 | 190 | 52.1%99 W · 91 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Avalanche | 57c | 395.96$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.26 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +7.2wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9534…1fe8backed Ducks | 42c | 371.92$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.21 | 228 | 52.6%120 W · 108 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…6df7backed Ducks | 19c | 369.88$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.36 | 64 | 18.8%12 W · 52 L | -13.6wins | -0.21per pick | 40cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Ducks | 18c | 369.35$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.39 | 215 | 55.3%119 W · 96 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Avalanche | 68c | 365$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.4 | 437 | 42.3%185 W · 252 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Avalanche vs. Ducksthis page
- Avalanche vs. Ducks: O/U 5.5Over won
- Avalanche vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5Under won
- Avalanche vs. Ducks: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)Avalanche won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.