NHL · resolved market
Ducks vs. Flames
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfecc5d4b5065cc5e796e5c9dbb749448672c4d6d542962cb10d6762db80ed5be
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ducksof Ducks, Flames
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $950,577
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,075,047
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $950,577 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 578 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Flames | 46c | 149,985$69,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69,264.65 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9976…67dabacked Ducks | 55c | 99,909$54,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,958.89 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Ducks | 55c | 96,976$53,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,956.7 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Flames | 44c | 80,000$35,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,199.93 | 243 | 49.8%121 W · 122 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9750…263dbacked Ducks | 56c | 62,603$35,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,602.98 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Flames | 46c | 62,168$28,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,462.26 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Flames | 48c | 55,111$26,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,502.36 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebbb…4214backed Ducks | 54c | 47,830$26,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,830.29 | 128 | 35.9%46 W · 82 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Flames | 46c | 34,081$15,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,792.32 | 367 | 48%176 W · 191 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Flames | 45c | 32,901$14,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,694.82 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Ducks | 54c | 29,380$15,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,593.73 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Ducks | 56c | 28,113$15,743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,369.88 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Ducks | 47c | 25,241$11,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,480.64 | 274 | 48.9%134 W · 140 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Flames | 47c | 22,500$10,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,618.56 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Ducks | 55c | 22,000$12,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,899.99 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Flames | 51c | 21,938$11,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,189.12 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed Ducks | 54c | 15,005$8,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,967.3 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Ducks | 54c | 13,409$7,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,185.9 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Flames | 44c | 13,382$5,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,887.95 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Ducks | 54c | 13,000$7,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,980 | 166 | 56.6%94 W · 72 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Flames | 45c | 12,889$5,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,800 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Ducks | 52c | 10,375$5,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,942.43 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Ducks | 55c | 10,000$5,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,549.98 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | +10.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Ducks | 52c | 9,405$4,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,514.39 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Ducks | 53c | 8,318$4,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,911.95 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Ducks | 54c | 8,000$4,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,680 | 331 | 51.7%171 W · 160 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Flames | 44c | 7,889$3,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,471 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Ducks | 53c | 7,476$3,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,513.84 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Flames | 49c | 7,075$3,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,442.97 | 377 | 54.4%205 W · 172 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Flames | 44c | 6,780$2,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,983.2 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c4…ee30backed Ducks | 48c | 6,511$3,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,401.33 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Ducks | 56c | 6,068$3,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,680.84 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Ducks | 42c | 5,820$2,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,390.53 | 332 | 34.3%114 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Ducks | 52c | 5,739$2,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,754.63 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Ducks | 54c | 5,600$3,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,576 | 157 | 49.7%78 W · 79 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Ducks | 54c | 5,556$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,555.76 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Flames | 46c | 4,926$2,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,269.43 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Ducks | 53c | 4,210$2,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,992.62 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Ducks | 53c | 4,077$2,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,913.87 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Ducks | 56c | 4,000$2,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,760 | 305 | 52.5%160 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5919…95acbacked Ducks | 55c | 3,953$2,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,776.97 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd3…41f8backed Ducks | 53c | 3,786$1,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,795.93 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Ducks | 50c | 3,483$1,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,742.11 | 283 | 40.3%114 W · 169 L | -24.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Ducks | 49c | 3,335$1,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,689.97 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Ducks | 32c | 3,083$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,083 | 437 | 43%188 W · 249 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Ducks | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,379.99 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Ducks | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,349.92 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Flames | 44c | 2,900$1,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,276 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa967…0c8fbacked Ducks | 54c | 2,900$1,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,333.99 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Ducks | 55c | 2,893$1,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,315.16 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Flames | 73c | 2,848$2,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,075.24 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Flames | 46c | 2,832$1,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,302.83 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Flames | 44c | 2,598$1,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,137.13 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Flames | 49c | 2,560$1,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,264.04 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Ducks | 55c | 2,349$1,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045.98 | 278 | 50.4%140 W · 138 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b54…db07backed Flames | 49c | 2,248$1,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,107.44 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Flames | 63c | 2,238$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,409.86 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4823…a48bbacked Flames | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Ducks | 54c | 2,152$1,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.87 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Ducks | 49c | 2,071$1,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,048.98 | 270 | 37.4%101 W · 169 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Ducks | 55c | 2,058$1,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930.63 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Flames | 49c | 2,031$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Flames | 50c | 2,029$1,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,018.46 | 302 | 59.6%180 W · 122 L | +31.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Ducks | 55c | 2,000$1,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$893.18 | 267 | 50.2%134 W · 133 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Flames | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Ducks | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 204 | 50%102 W · 102 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Ducks | 54c | 1,962$1,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.39 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Ducks | 55c | 1,890$1,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$841.89 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Ducks | 27c | 1,880$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,369.57 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Ducks | 56c | 1,879$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.56 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Ducks | 53c | 1,872$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870.62 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Ducks | 55c | 1,848$1,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.08 | 457 | 51.6%236 W · 221 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Ducks | 56c | 1,782$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.54 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Flames | 50c | 1,710$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861.19 | 146 | 50%73 W · 73 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Flames | 43c | 1,659$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.18 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Ducks | 51c | 1,532$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.61 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40b9…b002backed Ducks | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.99 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +3.8wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x607d…53a1backed Flames | 44c | 1,492$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.39 | 134 | 46.3%62 W · 72 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc415…ff03backed Ducks | 57c | 1,466$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.38 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb8…c665backed Ducks | 55c | 1,438$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.18 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -5.4wins | -0.22per pick | 58cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Flames | 46c | 1,327$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.67 | 141 | 40.4%57 W · 84 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd350…8ae8backed Ducks | 55c | 1,283$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.83 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f6…6d85backed Flames | 79c | 1,264$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b6…c914backed Flames | 54c | 1,239$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.44 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Ducks | 55c | 1,200$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf429…969ebacked Ducks | 21c | 1,143$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.79 | 340 | 40.3%137 W · 203 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Flames | 44c | 1,137$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.28 | 428 | 47.2%202 W · 226 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Ducks | 55c | 1,121$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.87 | 435 | 48.5%211 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Ducks | 56c | 1,100$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6368…6dc8backed Ducks | 56c | 1,087$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.17 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Ducks | 39c | 1,015$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.34 | 288 | 42%121 W · 167 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Ducks | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 540 | 47.6%257 W · 283 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Ducks | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed Ducks | 14c | 1,000$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +4.5wins | +0.19per pick | 10cpaid | +81.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed Flames | 44c | 999.99$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 480 | 50.6%243 W · 237 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Ducks | 55c | 989$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.05 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Ducks | 48c | 961$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.45 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf370…4f88backed Flames | 45c | 911.11$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 49cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe622…ea5ebacked Ducks | 55c | 900$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405 | 223 | 52.9%118 W · 105 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c6…75adbacked Ducks | 41c | 900$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ducks vs. Flamesthis page
- Ducks vs. Flames: O/U 4.5Over won
- Ducks vs. Flames: O/U 5.5Under won
- Ducks vs. Flames: O/U 6.5Under won
- Ducks vs. Flames: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Ducks (-1.5)Flames won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.