TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Ducks vs. Flames: O/U 6.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$585,621
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$587,158

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $585,621 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 160 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over53c485,823$258,667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258,667.3520354.2%110 W · 93 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under47c202,339$95,134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107,205.741,19050.7%603 W · 587 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under47c96,553$44,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51,593.1951550.7%261 W · 254 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Under47c85,000$39,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45,05036748%176 W · 191 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Under47c54,605$25,664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,940.722443.8%98 W · 126 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over53c51,972$27,545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,545.1679350.1%397 W · 396 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under46c45,665$21,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,659.3140351.9%209 W · 194 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under47c16,329$7,699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,630.0459450.8%302 W · 292 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under46c8,000$3,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,3208845.5%40 W · 48 L-6.3wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over52c6,914$3,595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,594.5485250.2%428 W · 424 L-26.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under46c5,009$2,304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,704.772,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x32dd…c881backed Under48c4,235$2,033 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,202.21675%12 W · 4 L+3.0wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+35.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb9b4…75a0backed Under48c4,167$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,166.678544.7%38 W · 47 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa827…dcc2backed Under48c3,904$1,874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,030.084100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+99.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Under48c3,000$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,56027547.6%131 W · 144 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under47c2,501$1,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,325.2776950.3%387 W · 382 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…d83abacked Under46c2,200$1,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1883345.5%15 W · 18 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5318…1118backed Over52c2,115$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1004372.1%31 W · 12 L+7.7wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+31.6%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over53c2,006$1,063 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,063.1861953.8%333 W · 286 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under48c2,000$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,05058352.1%304 W · 279 L+1.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Under49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,02050251.2%257 W · 245 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under47c1,757$829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$927.551,09250.4%550 W · 542 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Over51c1,693$856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$856.51,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under46c1,630$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$880.431,23053.7%661 W · 569 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under58c1,084$627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.4131828.3%90 W · 228 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under48c1,015$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.283,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Under47c999.99$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53012947.3%61 W · 68 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under48c745$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.5683149.5%411 W · 420 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under46c708.73$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.7182353.1%437 W · 386 L+1.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Under48c700$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36432648.2%157 W · 169 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c4b…8616backed Under48c693.3$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.8117343.4%75 W · 98 L-12.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-11.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7ae4…fc82backed Under53c606.97$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.2824346.1%112 W · 131 L-12.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under47c498.84$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.661,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Over47c495$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.6512548.8%61 W · 64 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf60…79c5backed Under48c447.07$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.484748.9%23 W · 24 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f5e…94e9backed Under48c400$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21011250%56 W · 56 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over48c301.11$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1442,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over51c300.5$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.361,02448.4%496 W · 528 L+1.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5316…1d07backed Under47c300$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15920444.6%91 W · 113 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a47…fcf3backed Under50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15038555.6%214 W · 171 L+24.1wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+13.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Under48c299.99$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.7522352.9%118 W · 105 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over53c295$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.211,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed Over52c287.71$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.4133941.3%140 W · 199 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d63…0b78backed Under48c277.06$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.076261.3%38 W · 24 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Under47c276.74$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.313253%70 W · 62 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Under47c261.05$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.3613549.6%67 W · 68 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb409…03e9backed Under77c259.74$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.742347.8%11 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.12per pick60cpaid-24.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf5a2…0020backed Over39c256.4$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002924.1%7 W · 22 L-4.0wins-0.14per pick38cpaid-35.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xea9d…41f9backed Under51c245.14$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.12742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-31.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5919…95acbacked Over53c232$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.612152.1%63 W · 58 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf805…8adbbacked Over49c225.45$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.47250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+36.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa860…98f2backed Over49c220.73$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf230…a54ebacked Under51c218$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5344…adecbacked Over49c217.09$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.3710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x71de…7aa7backed Under51c213$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.371100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3c5…5a9bbacked Over49c212.97$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d00…a732backed Over49c212.57$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over52c208.97$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.6666552%346 W · 319 L+8.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf7e…d009backed Over49c208.87$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c58…79e7backed Under51c208$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ef…6504backed Over49c207.47$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x127f…b687backed Over49c206.66$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5157…942bbacked Under48c206.19$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.223375.8%25 W · 8 L+7.9wins+0.24per pick52cpaid+47.8%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xf783…6262backed Under51c206$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Over48c204.51$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.311,43158.3%834 W · 597 L+81.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6594…d0bdbacked Under51c204$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xffa1…9b65backed Over49c201.26$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.6210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5118…c9e7backed Under51c201.04$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.51475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+29.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2da8…236abacked Under51c201$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x743a…ddcdbacked Under47c200$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1061764.7%11 W · 6 L+3.2wins+0.19per pick46cpaid+34.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf76a…1fb4backed Under51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$981100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe105…1efbbacked Over52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1043450%17 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d34…5a83backed Under51c199$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.511100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc098…97aabacked Over49c198.57$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1d1…f14dbacked Over49c197.43$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12af…89a8backed Under51c197$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9d3…1eb2backed Under51c197$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.532100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+84.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x133e…5425backed Under51c192$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32fb…8c9fbacked Under51c192$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26a5…8429backed Over49c191.43$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb579…ce66backed Under51c189$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce4c…12d3backed Over49c188.73$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf512…5198backed Over31c188.53$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.6311258.9%66 W · 46 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x549f…7d46backed Under51c188$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e27…8f65backed Over49c187.13$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.6910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac6c…65adbacked Over49c187.03$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe09c…f623backed Over49c185.91$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdae3…cf78backed Under48c185.8$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.81947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0539…8b52backed Under51c185$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30c0…b217backed Over49c184.74$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5737…4648backed Over49c184.27$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.2910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9185…820cbacked Under51c183$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x761b…d032backed Under51c183$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9738…9e37backed Over49c182.34$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e6d…cb7bbacked Over49c181.53$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7296…a9b0backed Under51c181$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.691100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under50c168.46$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.462,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Under48c166.67$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.671,09351.8%566 W · 527 L+14.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over12c152.66$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8865721.9%144 W · 513 L-105.6wins-0.16per pick38cpaid-54.6%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x5016…ada1backed Over52c145$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.415257.9%88 W · 64 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.