TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Canadiens vs. Kings

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Canadiensof Canadiens, Kings
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,051,741

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,051,741 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,155 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x03e8…1697backed Kings53c384,987$202,638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202,638.467051%342 W · 328 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Canadiens47c189,627$89,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100,502.1815054.7%82 W · 68 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Kings51c83,963$42,807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42,806.6648545.4%220 W · 265 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Canadiens49c82,017$40,189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41,828.8940351.9%209 W · 194 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9b5…09eebacked Canadiens47c70,400$33,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,311.931464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+30.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Canadiens48c69,053$32,805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,248.641,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Canadiens48c40,000$19,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,80010050%50 W · 50 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed Kings50c13,602$6,824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,823.5530944.7%138 W · 171 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Canadiens48c13,441$6,452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,989.548549.7%241 W · 244 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Kings53c10,933$5,757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,757.3761950.1%310 W · 309 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ae5…ead2backed Canadiens51c10,892$5,555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,337.161154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+14.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Canadiens48c10,354$4,970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,384.0861953.8%333 W · 286 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Canadiens48c10,000$4,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,200.2561748.5%299 W · 318 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b90…2194backed Kings53c9,000$4,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,769.715749.7%78 W · 79 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked Kings53c8,766$4,646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,645.687258.3%42 W · 30 L+9.1wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+31.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfb68…a240backed Canadiens45c6,000$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,299.9750049.6%248 W · 252 L+16.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Canadiens48c5,871$2,818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,052.6856152%292 W · 269 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Canadiens48c5,000$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,60027243.4%118 W · 154 L-16.8wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1632…cb68backed Kings52c4,916$2,563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,563.472748.1%13 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc94a…cfcabacked Kings53c4,264$2,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2601163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+37.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2838…e27fbacked Kings53c4,260$2,258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2581656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+19.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked Canadiens48c4,170$2,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,168.715145%68 W · 83 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Kings52c4,000$2,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,079.991,08745.1%490 W · 597 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Canadiens44c3,826$1,691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,135.8595049.1%466 W · 484 L+12.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Kings51c3,689$1,885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,884.721,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Kings51c3,477$1,775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,775.122,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d5c…4f26backed Kings53c3,208$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7008748.3%42 W · 45 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Canadiens48c3,125$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,62540356.3%227 W · 176 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Canadiens48c3,000$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,56027048.1%130 W · 140 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Kings55c2,962$1,628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,627.921,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Kings53c2,675$1,418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,417.7518641.9%78 W · 108 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Canadiens57c2,563$1,466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,096.6889355.5%496 W · 397 L+67.6wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+12.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Kings53c2,379$1,256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,256.0966552%346 W · 319 L+8.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Canadiens48c2,222$1,067 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,155.4421755.3%120 W · 97 L+0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Canadiens48c2,187$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,137.2483149.5%411 W · 420 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef23…5b60backed Kings52c2,136$1,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,110.764242.2%271 W · 371 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Kings51c2,080$1,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,060.8175251.7%389 W · 363 L-2.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a24…4a1fbacked Kings53c2,001$1,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,060.552025%5 W · 15 L-5.2wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-48.6%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Canadiens48c2,000$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040.4889249.9%445 W · 447 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Canadiens48c2,000$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,039.9822747.6%108 W · 119 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc42f…9390backed Canadiens53c1,892$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$892.12977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.24per pick53cpaid+48.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Kings53c1,890$1,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,001.723642.8%101 W · 135 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9175…d70fbacked Canadiens49c1,869$916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$953.612548%12 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0ff…24e3backed Kings53c1,811$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9603743.2%16 W · 21 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf05…291bbacked Canadiens50c1,800$908 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$892650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3613…79e1backed Canadiens48c1,700$816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$884.2570249%344 W · 358 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x694d…c5a4backed Canadiens48c1,671$801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$870.643351.5%17 W · 16 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Kings51c1,600$816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$815.9832150.8%163 W · 158 L+1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc08…a137backed Kings64c1,575$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,001.2730259.6%180 W · 122 L+31.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+16.7%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x0828…5cfebacked Canadiens48c1,537$737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$799.143354.5%18 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b60…9c7ebacked Kings52c1,512$786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$786.243641.7%15 W · 21 L-4.1wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-23.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb8cb…8f46backed Canadiens39c1,500$586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$914.074450%22 W · 22 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x954b…eb22backed Kings50c1,500$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7505850%29 W · 29 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed Canadiens49c1,500$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$765.3544551.2%228 W · 217 L+16.4wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Canadiens29c1,448$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,024.8139344.8%176 W · 217 L+23.3wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+1.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6f72…0841backed Kings53c1,359$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$720.318253.7%44 W · 38 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Canadiens45c1,340$603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$736.811,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a17…1b84backed Kings53c1,302$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689.723756.8%21 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Kings52c1,204$626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$626.3147951.4%246 W · 233 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafba…bf39backed Kings54c1,200$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa47d…cdbebacked Kings54c1,200$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-27.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e0e…62bebacked Canadiens46c1,200$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6481442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3d9…4e7abacked Kings54c1,200$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6481338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-26.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa699…decfbacked Canadiens46c1,200$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6481266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+35.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0613…5914backed Canadiens46c1,200$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6481154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c7d…2f62backed Kings54c1,200$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18e6…8442backed Canadiens46c1,200$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6481283.3%10 W · 2 L+4.0wins+0.33per pick50cpaid+65.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xa064…c27dbacked Kings54c1,195$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$645.3977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.24per pick54cpaid+41.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4f0e…cd22backed Kings54c1,195$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$645.3955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c02…4965backed Kings54c1,195$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$645.31428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.0wins-0.21per pick50cpaid-46.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xe654…518abacked Canadiens46c1,195$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$645.31233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-38.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6c67…8841backed Canadiens46c1,195$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$645.31163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.18per pick46cpaid+38%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf378…cddbbacked Canadiens46c1,195$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$645.3966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+35%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x41da…874abacked Canadiens46c1,190$547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642.61457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+17.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfc66…bba6backed Canadiens46c1,190$547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642.61250%6 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbd1…9c21backed Kings54c1,190$643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$642.61154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+12.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5323…fd7cbacked Kings54c1,190$643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$642.61250%6 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc57…a5eabacked Kings54c1,190$643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$642.6944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafb8…7998backed Canadiens46c1,190$547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642.61450%7 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93ba…d8f7backed Kings54c1,185$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639.9955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+21.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8f…33dcbacked Kings54c1,185$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639.91145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff59…9987backed Kings54c1,185$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639.91250%6 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc71b…b74abacked Canadiens46c1,185$545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.91250%6 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa81e…ee7fbacked Canadiens46c1,185$545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.91070%7 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick50cpaid+34.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd579…65e3backed Canadiens46c1,185$545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.91163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+17.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f3f…0f94backed Canadiens46c1,185$545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.9966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+29.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xde2e…4591backed Canadiens46c1,185$545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.91450%7 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x622f…4774backed Canadiens46c1,185$545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.9977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.28per pick50cpaid+58.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5ff7…f23dbacked Canadiens46c1,185$545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.91136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-25.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6b1…1996backed Kings54c1,185$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639.9944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed93…b9f9backed Kings54c1,185$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639.91361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+19.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd5a3…a9ecbacked Kings54c1,185$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639.9933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-37.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b51…4aa7backed Kings54c1,185$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639.91163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+18.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4da6…82c7backed Kings54c1,180$637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$637.21118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.1wins-0.28per pick46cpaid-57.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdd91…c360backed Kings54c1,180$637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$637.21040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-18.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbced…3bd0backed Canadiens46c1,180$543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$637.21369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+26.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4b2d…5ac0backed Canadiens46c1,180$543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$637.21050%5 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6899…c47fbacked Kings54c1,175$635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$634.51154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+15.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa64…d924backed Canadiens46c1,175$541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$634.51154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3ef…4180backed Kings54c1,175$635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$634.51163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+18.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.