Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8e849b8ae6d1efcd56fcdbf122652a8489c01229767ce1abdbfa67d425b670a8

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Mar 10, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $2,737,465

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,737,465 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 976 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x3a58…7e08backed No	0c	194,763$396 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$396.29	140	9.3%13 W · 127 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	+642.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes	24c	58,086$14,147 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43,939.09	634	14.8%94 W · 540 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x625a…8410backed Yes	34c	32,500$11,050 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21,450	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.7wins	+0.66per pick	34cpaid	+194.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde4c…fa5fbacked No	66c	32,500$21,450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21,450	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.45per pick	45cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x66e5…a85bbacked No	1c	31,191$203 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$202.55	23	13%3 W · 20 L	-1.7wins	-0.07per pick	20cpaid	-50%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4d5…87cfbacked No	58c	25,882$14,947 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,946.83	563	29.8%168 W · 395 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-39.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9e83…9394backed Yes	0c	25,000$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24,975	177	2.3%4 W · 173 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	2cpaid	+467.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbac4…1ab2backed Yes	28c	16,608$4,575 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,032.32	457	15.1%69 W · 388 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Yes	6c	15,288$900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,387.87	455	11.6%53 W · 402 L	+8.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+104.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	9c	14,437$1,295 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,141.74	2,545	13.2%335 W · 2,210 L	+4.9wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	19c	13,073$2,487 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,585.6	1,780	7.4%132 W · 1,648 L	-23.1wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec7e…a915backed Yes	49c	11,776$5,813 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,962.82	46	26.1%12 W · 34 L	-2.4wins	-0.05per pick	31cpaid	-53%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe11e…ff89backed Yes	12c	11,572$1,340 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,232.44	46	10.9%5 W · 41 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe25b…0f1bbacked No	0c	10,000$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	+1.5wins	+0.10per pick	23cpaid	-13%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x206b…7d6abacked Yes	1c	10,000$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,944	524	9.9%52 W · 472 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+64%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x754b…a66ebacked No	2c	9,796$196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$196.2	94	13.8%13 W · 81 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	-63.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xefdc…e19ebacked Yes	21c	9,493$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,492.92	33	30.3%10 W · 23 L	+2.2wins	+0.07per pick	24cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e2f…febcbacked Yes	50c	9,295$4,671 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,623.87	244	23.8%58 W · 186 L	-7.1wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	24c	9,118$2,145 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,973.41	532	22.7%121 W · 411 L	-19.0wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xce40…da67backed Yes	28c	9,094$2,538 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,556.18	538	17.3%93 W · 445 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2d4c…2e02backed Yes	75c	8,792$6,617 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,174.81	97	28.9%28 W · 69 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	22c	8,567$1,916 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,651.05	876	18.4%161 W · 715 L	+9.5wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a45…f628backed Yes	9c	8,480$745 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,735.1	212	13.2%28 W · 184 L	-7.5wins	-0.04per pick	17cpaid	-38.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x28a0…9884backed Yes	54c	7,997$4,355 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,641.67	38	23.7%9 W · 29 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-24%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ef…4433backed Yes	29c	7,582$2,206 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,375.64	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	+71.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	20c	7,551$1,487 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,064.3	879	17.2%151 W · 728 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8f66…b986backed Yes	14c	7,475$1,019 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,456.5	568	17.4%99 W · 469 L	+18.3wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe008…f7d3backed Yes	6c	7,400$417 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,982.47	256	17.2%44 W · 212 L	+6.1wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5357…a8f8backed No	0c	7,078$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.5	144	13.2%19 W · 125 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fb8…d906backed No	38c	6,938$2,668 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,667.68	234	64.5%151 W · 83 L	+23.0wins	+0.10per pick	55cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x58fd…43a6backed Yes	3c	6,840$216 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,624.31	22	27.3%6 W · 16 L	+2.9wins	+0.13per pick	14cpaid	+119.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xaee7…37febacked Yes	27c	6,801$1,845 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,955.89	316	21.8%69 W · 247 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9df…76c1backed Yes	17c	6,728$1,170 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,557.51	40	10%4 W · 36 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-66.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca6e…46f2backed Yes	3c	6,549$180 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,368.14	481	6.7%32 W · 449 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe144…487fbacked Yes	16c	6,331$1,029 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,301.95	104	21.2%22 W · 82 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	+8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x274c…4824backed Yes	25c	6,205$1,540 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,664.99	84	25%21 W · 63 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-18%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3488…d6fdbacked Yes	23c	5,948$1,396 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,551.5	207	35.3%73 W · 134 L	+5.2wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	62c	5,946$3,665 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,665.33	542	74.9%406 W · 136 L	+34.0wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5331…69d8backed Yes	1c	5,500$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,445	61	41%25 W · 36 L	+3.6wins	+0.06per pick	35cpaid	+132.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes	65c	5,299$3,463 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,836.38	572	22%126 W · 446 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-42%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes	28c	5,275$1,499 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,776.02	503	19.5%98 W · 405 L	-13.2wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-46.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	5c	5,212$241 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,971.01	1,036	11.1%115 W · 921 L	+4.8wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x1fb7…61e9backed No	0c	5,070$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.14	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes	16c	5,000$811 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,189.45	509	13.8%70 W · 439 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a7e…1cc7backed Yes	31c	4,995$1,548 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,446.49	56	35.7%20 W · 36 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4449…e977backed Yes	4c	4,934$216 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,718.05	590	9.2%54 W · 536 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8974…bedebacked Yes	8c	4,927$382 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,545.27	72	33.3%24 W · 48 L	+3.3wins	+0.05per pick	29cpaid	+42%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5e8…9fbdbacked No	2c	4,900$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.31	187	3.2%6 W · 181 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+278.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x33cc…1dc5backed No	0c	4,848$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.13	50	32%16 W · 34 L	+2.6wins	+0.05per pick	27cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x402c…0f6dbacked Yes	33c	4,821$1,577 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,243.87	280	25.4%71 W · 209 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-46.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fa4…9a1cbacked Yes	14c	4,765$654 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,110.86	95	8.4%8 W · 87 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-30.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa976…5c43backed Yes	5c	4,733$258 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,474.54	380	10%38 W · 342 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Yes	27c	4,235$1,163 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,072.59	412	30.8%127 W · 285 L	+7.9wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xedc8…a743backed Yes	34c	4,064$1,376 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,687.79	248	15.3%38 W · 210 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes	8c	4,001$319 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,681.46	706	16.4%116 W · 590 L	-13.6wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-29%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb29…64f3backed Yes	6c	4,000$240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,760	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	+1.2wins	+0.09per pick	37cpaid	+90.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc589…5614backed Yes	5c	4,000$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,800	173	10.4%18 W · 155 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe243…af59backed Yes	10c	4,000$409 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,590.99	364	11%40 W · 324 L	+10.0wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d0a…c96fbacked Yes	47c	3,960$1,859 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,101.13	285	26.7%76 W · 209 L	-11.5wins	-0.04per pick	31cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x878a…a429backed Yes	31c	3,910$1,228 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,682.02	317	22.4%71 W · 246 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd1f…cc26backed Yes	24c	3,778$920 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,857.37	499	19%95 W · 404 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb831…892bbacked Yes	34c	3,769$1,298 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,471.09	177	17.5%31 W · 146 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-40.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x4132…1a31backed No	46c	3,633$1,680 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,679.97	23	73.9%17 W · 6 L	+2.9wins	+0.12per pick	61cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb100…6461backed Yes	64c	3,611$2,328 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,282.54	84	23.8%20 W · 64 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	23cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02b6…8f5fbacked Yes	10c	3,512$354 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,158.03	105	42.9%45 W · 60 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3454…333bbacked No	0c	3,488$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.83	72	16.7%12 W · 60 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-64.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6370…50a4backed Yes	73c	3,459$2,532 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$927.63	27	29.6%8 W · 19 L	-4.8wins	-0.18per pick	47cpaid	-40.2%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdbcc…2e56backed Yes	24c	3,438$819 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,619.38	114	17.5%20 W · 94 L	-6.2wins	-0.05per pick	23cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6c08…b9cdbacked Yes	33c	3,422$1,119 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,303.01	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.7wins	+0.67per pick	33cpaid	+205.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x97d1…eeecbacked Yes	33c	3,422$1,119 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,303.01	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+1.1wins	+0.38per pick	28cpaid	+83.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa899…f68dbacked Yes	5c	3,387$172 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,214.57	86	10.5%9 W · 77 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x09ad…04e4backed Yes	15c	3,365$493 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,872.2	178	5.6%10 W · 168 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	4c	3,361$119 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,242.2	1,053	5.6%59 W · 994 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8cf…819ebacked Yes	77c	3,350$2,590 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$760.31	326	13.8%45 W · 281 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-60.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ca…450abacked Yes	33c	3,313$1,078 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,234.89	312	17.3%54 W · 258 L	-5.7wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2dab…38fabacked Yes	42c	3,281$1,380 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,900.52	39	43.6%17 W · 22 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x252f…bfc1backed Yes	51c	3,205$1,647 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,557.68	66	30.3%20 W · 46 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	27cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef24…a44dbacked Yes	41c	3,156$1,302 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,854.47	171	26.9%46 W · 125 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	25cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	19c	3,103$594 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,509.07	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5dd…e40cbacked Yes	15c	3,078$453 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,624.71	58	17.2%10 W · 48 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa7f1…167ebacked No	48c	3,036$1,444 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,443.64	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc140…ac80backed Yes	52c	3,006$1,561 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,444.9	48	16.7%8 W · 40 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x037b…47f4backed Yes	1c	3,000$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,970	416	5.3%22 W · 394 L	+10.4wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+158.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f00…487fbacked Yes	5c	3,000$154 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,845.98	280	16.4%46 W · 234 L	+8.8wins	+0.03per pick	13cpaid	+21.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x41ce…12fdbacked Yes	13c	2,958$399 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,559.58	135	17.8%24 W · 111 L	+4.3wins	+0.03per pick	15cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8fb…3d55backed Yes	29c	2,916$839 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,076.79	22	9.1%2 W · 20 L	-1.7wins	-0.08per pick	17cpaid	-67.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x918a…aa22backed Yes	14c	2,910$402 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,507.94	25	24%6 W · 19 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-31.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0228…a700backed Yes	18c	2,751$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,251.44	26	11.5%3 W · 23 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	9cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8aa…5c9ebacked Yes	15c	2,711$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,310.84	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-0.8wins	-0.07per pick	26cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3256…830cbacked Yes	14c	2,669$369 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,300.28	781	8.7%68 W · 713 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-36.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3f…a942backed No	68c	2,616$1,782 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,781.84	115	56.5%65 W · 50 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc74c…2d3bbacked No	74c	2,553$1,876 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,876.46	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.17per pick	67cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b55…3ba6backed No	67c	2,527$1,701 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,700.67	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.7wins	-0.67per pick	67cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b8d…42c5backed Yes	9c	2,525$217 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,308.36	519	8.3%43 W · 476 L	+6.4wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x779a…b689backed Yes	25c	2,524$636 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,888.05	51	41.2%21 W · 30 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37ef…93eebacked Yes	26c	2,523$662 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,861.34	83	32.5%27 W · 56 L	-3.2wins	-0.04per pick	36cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3dc7…ad5bbacked Yes	32c	2,502$800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,702.09	10	30%3 W · 7 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	27cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35f8…f7e3backed No	67c	2,490$1,676 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,675.77	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.19per pick	53cpaid	-53.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa638…1d87backed No	47c	2,490$1,158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,157.96	293	31.7%93 W · 200 L	+5.6wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38b3…1e06backed Yes	31c	2,469$757 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,711.91	212	15.1%32 W · 180 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event