Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa83ae669f546c1455235ade401bb023baa0bc561a348ae17665aebff5c7fc615
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,419
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,662
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,419 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed Under | 78c | 2,171$1,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.61 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Over | 22c | 2,085$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.7 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56bd…e58dbacked Under | 78c | 597.2$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.81 | 286 | 55.9%160 W · 126 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…45eebacked Under | 80c | 594.13$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.8 | 595 | 58.3%347 W · 248 L | -29.3wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Over | 20c | 500$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 1,225 | 49.6%607 W · 618 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b39…3234backed Over | 24c | 468.92$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.54 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 21c | 301.27$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.27 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf301…4ce1backed Over | 24c | 198.83$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.72 | 216 | 22.7%49 W · 167 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b8a…76a2backed Under | 76c | 129.68$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.12 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Over | 22c | 124.53$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.4 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb502…145cbacked Under | 80c | 120.03$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 139 | 71.2%99 W · 40 L | +10.6wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9752…5b36backed Under | 76c | 98.56$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.65 | 92 | 67.4%62 W · 30 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x63dc…9644backed Over | 25c | 95.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.88 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed Over | 20c | 92.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 440 | 47.5%209 W · 231 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Over | 24c | 72.97$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.51 | 861 | 44.1%380 W · 481 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…3a30backed Over | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 158 | 57.6%91 W · 67 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x953f…15e6backed Under | 73c | 39.35$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Under | 73c | 38$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.26 | 421 | 24.7%104 W · 317 L | -51.1wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -47%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x81cf…9227backed Under | 56c | 22.73$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Under | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 331 | 24.2%80 W · 251 L | -33.2wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Under | 73c | 14.27$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.85 | 432 | 33.8%146 W · 286 L | -20.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5)Bilibili Gaming won
- LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2Bilibili Gaming won
- LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 1 WinnerBilibili Gaming won
- LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 2 WinnerBilibili Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.