CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Rare Atom vs Chinggis Warriors (BO3) - GangKui Cup Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x206b8d735ddb7be9e1dc6251a7e2e5b20868e97dd2387de7006d30fdbe706a0f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chinggis Warriorsof Rare Atom, Chinggis Warriors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,491
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,788
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,491 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaf9f…f6a3backed Rare Atom | 55c | 899.98$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.99 | 298 | 51.3%153 W · 145 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ac…2a18backed Chinggis Warriors | 45c | 607.77$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.27 | 251 | 47.8%120 W · 131 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ad…683fbacked Chinggis Warriors | 45c | 429.78$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.38 | 355 | 50.1%178 W · 177 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3351…4e2dbacked Chinggis Warriors | 64c | 338.95$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.73 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f30…3aeebacked Chinggis Warriors | 59c | 311.8$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.76 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | -7.1wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1b…de56backed Rare Atom | 61c | 241.5$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.06 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x288b…a713backed Chinggis Warriors | 58c | 147.52$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.61 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -25%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Rare Atom | 33c | 134.15$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.27 | 259 | 34%88 W · 171 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa02b…70d6backed Rare Atom | 31c | 131.62$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 178 | 57.3%102 W · 76 L | +27.9wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +47%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x3aef…da41backed Rare Atom | 60c | 117.18$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.31 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Rare Atom | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Rare Atom | 74c | 99.99$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 335 | 53.4%179 W · 156 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f8…5a82backed Rare Atom | 50c | 91.85$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.93 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2409…215ebacked Chinggis Warriors | 45c | 85.96$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.28 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | -11.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x156b…c533backed Rare Atom | 68c | 83.66$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.89 | 222 | 56.8%126 W · 96 L | -11.4wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x185a…7464backed Chinggis Warriors | 32c | 81.83$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.69 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +67.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbdde…af48backed Rare Atom | 69c | 79.65$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.96 | 139 | 64%89 W · 50 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf740…cf50backed Chinggis Warriors | 26c | 74.11$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 139 | 43.9%61 W · 78 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Rare Atom | 55c | 66.32$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.48 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17b8…5049backed Chinggis Warriors | 50c | 66.08$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.83 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2744…7e85backed Chinggis Warriors | 46c | 60.74$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.71 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked Chinggis Warriors | 40c | 60.37$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.27 | 1,078 | 32%345 W · 733 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…58c4backed Rare Atom | 69c | 53.66$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.07 | 117 | 68.4%80 W · 37 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…13c0backed Rare Atom | 56c | 51.67$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.94 | 99 | 64.6%64 W · 35 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…8cc4backed Chinggis Warriors | 69c | 51.2$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.87 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…8cfbbacked Rare Atom | 32c | 50.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1494…691ebacked Chinggis Warriors | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x820b…d27abacked Rare Atom | 57c | 42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 260 | 46.2%120 W · 140 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd62b…a2f8backed Chinggis Warriors | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…d321backed Rare Atom | 78c | 37.39$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.21 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Rare Atom | 35c | 37.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x750c…d430backed Rare Atom | 54c | 36.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80a3…08cdbacked Rare Atom | 70c | 35.07$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4010…77d4backed Rare Atom | 40c | 33.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 230 | 57%131 W · 99 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3e…5bc0backed Chinggis Warriors | 39c | 30.62$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.57 | 153 | 58.2%89 W · 64 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0e…8763backed Rare Atom | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 225 | 51.1%115 W · 110 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51e6…1084backed Chinggis Warriors | 43c | 29.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.72 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a84…60fabacked Chinggis Warriors | 70c | 28.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…3728backed Chinggis Warriors | 50c | 26.67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.38 | 499 | 47.5%237 W · 262 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf11a…1002backed Chinggis Warriors | 48c | 25.23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.12 | 278 | 48.6%135 W · 143 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x641c…ba0bbacked Rare Atom | 71c | 20.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -7.6wins | -0.29per pick | 60cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.