TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd62b…a2f8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
39
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: CS2, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 52 out of 100; worst Cricket at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-21.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.85
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$84.85
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$302Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+118%+$356.54
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$137.79
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 16 to February 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+25.8%+$40.47
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$54.6
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+111.6%+$119.75
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+46%+$46.2
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+68.8%+$68.31
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$19.5
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$11
All 13 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-36.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Gujarat Titansbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.8
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$10.61
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Punjab Kingsbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+58.8%+$12.24
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Sunrisers Hyderabadbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+48.2%+$6.19
T20 World Cup: India vs West Indiesbacked West Indies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$31
T20 Series England Lions vs Pakistan A: England Lions vs Pakistan Abacked Pakistan A · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$108
T20 World Cup: Sri Lanka vs Zimbabwe (Game 1)backed Sri Lanka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$25
T20 Series Australia vs. India, Women: Australia vs Indiabacked Australia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+110.7%+$193.82
T20 World Cup: Italy vs West Indies (Game 1)backed Italy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$50
T20 World Cup: Nepal vs Scotland (Game 1)backed Scotland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$60
T20 World Cup: Afghanistan vs UAE (Game 1)backed UAE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$28.6
T20 World Cup: India vs Pakistan (Game 1)backed India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+37%+$29.7
T20 World Cup: New Zealand vs South Africa (Game 1)backed New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$27
All 13 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Rare Atom vs Chinggis Warriors (BO3) - GangKui Cup Playoffsbacked Chinggis Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$18
Counter-Strike: NIP vs M80 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+35.3%+$41.47
Counter-Strike: NIP vs M80 - Map 2 Winnerbacked M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$61.5
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Monte (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+58.7%+$37
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$70.29
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+49.3%+$55.44
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+69.5%+$69.49
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+66.7%+$40
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$46
All 9 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$16.92
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Murash vs Insomnia (BO3) - VCL Japan: Phase 2backed Insomnia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivalsbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+42.9%+$4.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.