TailMyPicks
Market

Cricket · resolved market

T20 World Cup: Nepal vs Scotland (Game 1)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Nepalof Nepal, Scotland
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,079,056
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,149,306

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,079,056 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 473 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Cricket
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x198f…c419backed Scotland45c77,478$35,069 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,069.1116546.1%76 W · 89 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-3.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Nepal28c62,777$17,808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44,969.184022.5%9 W · 31 L0.0wins0.00per pick22cpaid-23.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Nepal38c50,281$19,187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,093.581717.6%3 W · 14 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-44%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a3d…4841backed Scotland49c45,751$22,626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,625.7315335.3%54 W · 99 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Scotland1c25,996$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.96850%4 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x490e…73adbacked Nepal43c20,275$8,619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,655.7226130.7%80 W · 181 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-38.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Nepal42c18,372$7,792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,579.8533042.4%140 W · 190 L+0.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e1e…41aebacked Scotland0c17,830$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8320%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Scotland59c17,176$10,156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,155.584637%17 W · 29 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-37.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x169d…fb3dbacked Scotland2c16,633$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.68775.2%4 W · 73 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick4cpaid-37.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e02…d70abacked Nepal39c16,062$6,221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,840.6936545.5%166 W · 199 L+11.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-11.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfbb3…d38ebacked Nepal48c14,516$6,967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,549.2913151.9%68 W · 63 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3885…50ecbacked Scotland7c12,680$874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$873.9920%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Nepal56c10,947$6,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,813.5115429.9%46 W · 108 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-24.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Scotland70c10,608$7,417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,417.491735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-39.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6abc…f88bbacked Nepal38c10,500$3,990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,510250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid+31.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe605…3784backed Scotland62c10,476$6,495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,495333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+60.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cb4…f89dbacked Nepal31c10,454$3,241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,213.524254.8%23 W · 19 L+3.4wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+33.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Scotland55c10,132$5,555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,555.039241.3%38 W · 54 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-30.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0ee…1686backed Nepal41c9,233$3,801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,432.2318923.8%45 W · 144 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Scotland54c8,130$4,402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,402.3311153.2%59 W · 52 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa136…a018backed Nepal29c7,993$2,349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,643.971560%9 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86c8…c867backed Nepal55c7,474$4,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,374.026833.8%23 W · 45 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-39.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1599…a8b6backed Nepal44c7,411$3,248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,162.732337.2%120 W · 203 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Scotland56c7,287$4,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,065.3229631.1%92 W · 204 L-16.9wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-43.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Scotland63c6,587$4,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,175.2310963.3%69 W · 40 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick61cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x327a…2381backed Nepal31c6,151$1,911 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,240.3312122.3%27 W · 94 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick20cpaid-47.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c68…072dbacked Nepal37c6,000$2,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,779.956237.1%23 W · 39 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Scotland74c5,950$4,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,4009851%50 W · 48 L-9.1wins-0.09per pick60cpaid-19.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x34ed…cfe3backed Scotland77c5,400$4,158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,157.984168.3%28 W · 13 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x97d1…7d7dbacked Nepal56c5,028$2,839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,188.1132946.2%152 W · 177 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb207…c751backed Nepal67c5,002$3,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,668.487349.3%36 W · 37 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b27…227ebacked Nepal33c4,683$1,538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,144.674540%18 W · 27 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-14.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5811…dd30backed Nepal31c4,557$1,418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,138.596344.4%28 W · 35 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae30…079ebacked Nepal34c3,690$1,255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,435.534639.1%18 W · 28 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d2a…3daebacked Nepal34c3,681$1,245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,435.839320.4%19 W · 74 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e33…5825backed Nepal31c3,631$1,135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,496.594637%17 W · 29 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-23.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15a6…bf5dbacked Nepal42c3,333$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,933.132045%9 W · 11 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick34cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x12ec…41aebacked Nepal29c3,303$949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,354.751942.1%8 W · 11 L+3.2wins+0.17per pick25cpaid+15.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd367…0957backed Nepal34c3,130$1,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,072.774431.8%14 W · 30 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-33.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa03a…3778backed Nepal29c3,000$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1202520%5 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-30.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ae7…c5b4backed Scotland34c2,977$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,020.4720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc9b7…7984backed Nepal42c2,858$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,658.018946.1%41 W · 48 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed Nepal30c2,833$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,983.33757.1%4 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.30per pick27cpaid+52.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Scotland46c2,793$1,298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,298.393148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c25…f1ccbacked Nepal36c2,685$969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,715.193154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5cf4…5daabacked Nepal29c2,652$764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,887.854047.5%19 W · 21 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75ab…eb07backed Nepal38c2,605$989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,616.13050%15 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Scotland2c2,543$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.031154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.17per pick38cpaid+22.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x477f…6c45backed Nepal39c2,443$957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,485.79229.3%27 W · 65 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa5f…005fbacked Scotland71c2,408$1,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,710.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd50c…76c3backed Nepal68c2,362$1,602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$760.214852%77 W · 71 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Scotland6c2,244$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.5376751.6%396 W · 371 L+30.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Nepal42c2,225$943 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,282.373644.4%16 W · 20 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+24.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Scotland41c2,192$898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$898.251047.6%243 W · 267 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-16.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fde…095bbacked Scotland78c2,186$1,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,710.52842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-30%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x66c4…2852backed Scotland79c2,100$1,667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,666.67261.1%44 W · 28 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb75e…5130backed Scotland54c2,030$1,091 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,090.621560%9 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x59d0…d9b8backed Scotland43c2,011$867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$867.11040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-41.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0b8…c95bbacked Scotland58c1,777$1,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,034.154348.8%21 W · 22 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a65…fdb5backed Nepal39c1,736$672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,063.945046%23 W · 27 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a45…723fbacked Scotland5c1,709$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.166219.4%12 W · 50 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick21cpaid-48.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74bc…e4dabacked Nepal75c1,694$1,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.45341.5%22 W · 31 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb64f…3203backed Scotland64c1,688$1,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,087.464459.1%26 W · 18 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x359d…d7ebbacked Nepal41c1,685$684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,001.221118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-51.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f7b…55cebacked Scotland13c1,679$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2107027.1%19 W · 51 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-30.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Scotland55c1,621$887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$886.524940.8%20 W · 29 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3568…c765backed Nepal35c1,576$549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,026.61827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x35ea…99bcbacked Scotland69c1,500$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0401747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-23.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdcd…14f6backed Scotland13c1,482$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19220%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ee1…9801backed Scotland1c1,429$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7813227.3%36 W · 96 L-0.6wins0.00per pick28cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd7ad…993dbacked Nepal66c1,426$946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.8511058.2%64 W · 46 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Scotland47c1,347$629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629.0918541.6%77 W · 108 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa36c…5754backed Scotland73c1,257$921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$921.023135.5%11 W · 20 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-24.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x01b5…8ccfbacked Scotland80c1,250$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa634…3c28backed Scotland1c1,213$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10450%2 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+51.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c41…57a6backed Nepal33c1,201$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$800.756224.2%15 W · 47 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Scotland57c1,188$681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$680.825637.5%21 W · 35 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1568…c958backed Scotland55c1,177$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6483756.8%21 W · 16 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5067…a127backed Scotland53c1,155$611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611.317746.8%36 W · 41 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-17.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Scotland56c1,131$639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$638.675933.9%20 W · 39 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-32.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x09b1…a301backed Nepal72c1,100$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.99666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xddae…8ee2backed Scotland1c1,049$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.493426.5%9 W · 25 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-29.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa105…8687backed Scotland72c1,042$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick65cpaid-20.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd22…e478backed Scotland64c1,019$651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650.7450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-28.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4925…628fbacked Scotland32c1,000$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32060%0 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d3e…783bbacked Nepal39c1,000$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$610.111445.6%52 W · 62 L-7.9wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-11.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1f50…b9c8backed Nepal74c999.99$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2602437.5%9 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+25.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Nepal39c969.48$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.744219%8 W · 34 L-4.1wins-0.10per pick29cpaid-52.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xee65…5067backed Scotland68c965.95$657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$656.874332.6%14 W · 29 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-40.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Scotland55c956.71$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.4531027.4%85 W · 225 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9027…b562backed Nepal37c931.84$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.768631.4%27 W · 59 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-10.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xecec…b65dbacked Scotland57c912.52$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.78425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid+10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Scotland66c900$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5909351.6%48 W · 45 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f43…c0c2backed Nepal28c889.99$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$643.3911122.5%25 W · 86 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-34.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Scotland30c881.88$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.1712923.3%30 W · 99 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick21cpaid-24.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8713…4007backed Scotland80c879.23$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7001776.5%13 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick71cpaid+10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa342…22b1backed Nepal35c848.47$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.471020%2 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-42.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5935…85b1backed Nepal75c842.11$635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.313956.4%22 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Nepal45c840.31$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.595655.4%31 W · 25 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+19%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.