Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1219d997ede69a6aa67941c671c59cef6f7b4851524b28f50cd23ccfc142481d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Falconsof Team Falcons, Team Spirit
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,109,573
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,403,300
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,109,573 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 528 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Team Falcons | 59c | 102,867$61,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,825.85 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Team Falcons | 56c | 82,755$46,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,423.08 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Team Spirit | 44c | 55,555$24,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,444.2 | 125 | 60%75 W · 50 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked Team Spirit | 44c | 43,289$19,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,236.28 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Team Spirit | 43c | 40,370$17,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,259.68 | 174 | 52.3%91 W · 83 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed Team Spirit | 39c | 38,256$14,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,973.24 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed Team Spirit | 42c | 29,811$12,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,628.26 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Team Falcons | 65c | 25,186$16,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,711.97 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb042…204cbacked Team Spirit | 44c | 24,219$10,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,589.39 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb53a…e694backed Team Falcons | 63c | 19,657$12,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,326.58 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | -7.9wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Team Spirit | 45c | 17,901$8,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,049.31 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Team Spirit | 39c | 16,572$6,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,517.89 | 159 | 51.6%82 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d11…99cabacked Team Falcons | 55c | 14,996$8,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,726.75 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed Team Spirit | 41c | 14,377$5,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,829.56 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Team Falcons | 55c | 14,000$7,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,299.99 | 198 | 47%93 W · 105 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd408…e85cbacked Team Falcons | 60c | 13,783$8,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,513.11 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Team Spirit | 43c | 12,173$5,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,225.11 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Team Spirit | 38c | 12,110$4,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,650.13 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…f361backed Team Falcons | 54c | 11,507$6,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,325.82 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3719…2df0backed Team Falcons | 66c | 10,820$7,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,697.44 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb517…434bbacked Team Falcons | 62c | 10,039$6,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,798.17 | 228 | 42.1%96 W · 132 L | -25.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Spirit | 45c | 10,036$4,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,467.82 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…a981backed Team Falcons | 55c | 9,966$5,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,448.36 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Team Falcons | 64c | 8,748$5,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,184.96 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Team Falcons | 55c | 8,000$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,599.97 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Spirit | 40c | 7,372$2,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,956.71 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked Team Spirit | 26c | 7,084$1,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,841.84 | 412 | 42.2%174 W · 238 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Team Spirit | 39c | 7,067$2,729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,729.16 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e7…6a52backed Team Falcons | 55c | 7,000$3,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,149.99 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Team Spirit | 42c | 6,290$2,673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,673.04 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Team Falcons | 54c | 5,571$2,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,582.36 | 287 | 48.8%140 W · 147 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked Team Spirit | 37c | 5,500$2,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,035 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9031…554bbacked Team Falcons | 60c | 5,467$3,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,189.12 | 102 | 62.7%64 W · 38 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…eec6backed Team Falcons | 56c | 5,352$2,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,372.54 | 554 | 57.8%320 W · 234 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…b62abacked Team Falcons | 55c | 5,277$2,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,357.15 | 393 | 43.3%170 W · 223 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97fd…3313backed Team Spirit | 38c | 5,000$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Team Spirit | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…1c20backed Team Spirit | 38c | 5,000$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,899.99 | 290 | 42.1%122 W · 168 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Team Falcons | 60c | 4,981$2,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,992.82 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe999…12bdbacked Team Spirit | 40c | 4,897$1,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,981.94 | 181 | 56.4%102 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2aad…88d4backed Team Falcons | 67c | 4,657$3,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,536.75 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed Team Falcons | 55c | 4,500$2,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,024.99 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c01…e7d0backed Team Spirit | 40c | 4,494$1,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,782.6 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Team Falcons | 55c | 4,396$2,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,978.27 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Team Falcons | 56c | 4,240$2,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,865.56 | 345 | 44.3%153 W · 192 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Team Falcons | 55c | 4,238$2,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,918.51 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Spirit | 36c | 4,131$1,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,489.57 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Team Spirit | 45c | 4,083$1,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,837.3 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked Team Falcons | 59c | 4,000$2,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,660 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c75…1b0dbacked Team Spirit | 41c | 3,893$1,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,585.85 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed Team Spirit | 36c | 3,830$1,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,384.65 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Team Spirit | 41c | 3,720$1,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,524.3 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Team Spirit | 35c | 3,637$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,259.75 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Team Falcons | 55c | 3,413$1,864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,548.25 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6a…4119backed Team Spirit | 45c | 3,216$1,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,447.3 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Team Falcons | 62c | 3,000$1,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.99 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7714…b814backed Team Falcons | 56c | 2,960$1,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,302.34 | 241 | 53.1%128 W · 113 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8d…a7a8backed Team Spirit | 37c | 2,900$1,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,073 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -3.5wins | -0.32per pick | 41cpaid | -83.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3601…44fbbacked Team Spirit | 38c | 2,852$1,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,085.19 | 169 | 54.4%92 W · 77 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Team Spirit | 35c | 2,842$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.12 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…92fbbacked Team Spirit | 42c | 2,801$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,174.96 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…ae44backed Team Spirit | 44c | 2,800$1,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,246 | 315 | 47.6%150 W · 165 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…6e77backed Team Falcons | 60c | 2,758$1,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,112.57 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d22…4b50backed Team Falcons | 55c | 2,749$1,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,237.04 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3234…8b1abacked Team Falcons | 59c | 2,655$1,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,078.05 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked Team Falcons | 58c | 2,650$1,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,106.85 | 365 | 47.7%174 W · 191 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Team Falcons | 55c | 2,618$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,178.09 | 271 | 53.5%145 W · 126 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…80d0backed Team Spirit | 41c | 2,585$1,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,062.44 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed Team Falcons | 59c | 2,502$1,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,026 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb635…bef0backed Team Spirit | 39c | 2,479$967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.8 | 303 | 36.6%111 W · 192 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8be…3d54backed Team Spirit | 45c | 2,453$1,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,103.72 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Team Spirit | 41c | 2,334$951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951.38 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Team Spirit | 39c | 2,244$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.8 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f5…f3b5backed Team Spirit | 38c | 2,213$841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840.93 | 183 | 51.9%95 W · 88 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked Team Spirit | 3c | 2,155$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.03 | 378 | 11.1%42 W · 336 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47bd…bc9dbacked Team Spirit | 45c | 2,147$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.03 | 410 | 55.6%228 W · 182 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed Team Spirit | 36c | 2,052$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.08 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…d00abacked Team Falcons | 59c | 2,000$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825 | 251 | 47.4%119 W · 132 L | +12.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Team Spirit | 37c | 2,000$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.99 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked Team Spirit | 42c | 1,986$834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833.93 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Team Spirit | 35c | 1,979$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.96 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…cf14backed Team Falcons | 55c | 1,964$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$883.62 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed Team Falcons | 60c | 1,947$1,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.61 | 189 | 54%102 W · 87 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Team Falcons | 59c | 1,934$1,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.99 | 236 | 50.4%119 W · 117 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…1305backed Team Falcons | 55c | 1,887$1,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.14 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbc…f944backed Team Falcons | 65c | 1,871$1,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.09 | 207 | 67.1%139 W · 68 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked Team Falcons | 55c | 1,818$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.77 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Team Spirit | 42c | 1,786$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.21 | 87 | 28.7%25 W · 62 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed Team Falcons | 55c | 1,769$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.09 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa382…d301backed Team Falcons | 60c | 1,726$1,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.36 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +85.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b5…54c4backed Team Spirit | 45c | 1,718$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.59 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc2…514cbacked Team Spirit | 46c | 1,688$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.41 | 338 | 45.6%154 W · 184 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed Team Falcons | 56c | 1,662$923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.06 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Team Spirit | 41c | 1,658$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.4 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Spirit | 33c | 1,649$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.04 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Team Spirit | 26c | 1,601$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.81 | 520 | 46.5%242 W · 278 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf67d…c986backed Team Falcons | 61c | 1,598$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.34 | 390 | 42.1%164 W · 226 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe30e…4ca5backed Team Spirit | 33c | 1,547$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.08 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked Team Falcons | 63c | 1,533$965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.69 | 380 | 49.2%187 W · 193 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +168.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5808…d235backed Team Spirit | 41c | 1,525$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.35 | 117 | 44.4%52 W · 65 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia PlayoffsTeam Falcons won
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit - Game 1 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Game Handicap: FLC (-1.5) vs Team Spirit (+1.5)Team Falcons won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.