Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6f9152490c7032916e7ec3e60b2a2b1be830f4d1851910cd697885c5c6ea69ad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Falconsof Team Falcons, Team Spirit
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $709,511
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $899,553
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $709,511 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 299 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Team Falcons | 60c | 106,992$64,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,287.32 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Team Spirit | 47c | 41,184$19,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,546.72 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed Team Spirit | 36c | 31,656$11,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,382.54 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…f361backed Team Falcons | 61c | 29,037$17,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,381.33 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Team Falcons | 52c | 25,283$13,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,136.03 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb042…204cbacked Team Spirit | 41c | 18,871$7,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,689.7 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Team Spirit | 2c | 18,795$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.8 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f5…f3b5backed Team Spirit | 40c | 18,110$7,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,244.13 | 183 | 51.9%95 W · 88 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed Team Falcons | 54c | 17,249$9,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,894.67 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Team Falcons | 69c | 16,573$11,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,150.39 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Team Spirit | 35c | 14,971$5,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,281.5 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Team Spirit | 12c | 14,892$1,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,844.59 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed Team Spirit | 40c | 12,361$4,917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,917.15 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked Team Spirit | 39c | 12,000$4,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,620 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Team Spirit | 45c | 11,625$5,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,213.95 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…1c20backed Team Spirit | 38c | 10,002$3,851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,850.61 | 290 | 42.1%122 W · 168 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x124e…6802backed Team Falcons | 73c | 9,954$7,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,658.53 | 130 | 68.5%89 W · 41 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3719…2df0backed Team Falcons | 66c | 9,856$6,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,387.88 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Team Spirit | 40c | 8,727$3,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,490.66 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf67d…c986backed Team Spirit | 45c | 8,577$3,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,868.24 | 390 | 42.1%164 W · 226 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Team Spirit | 38c | 8,550$3,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,213.49 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb53a…e694backed Team Spirit | 38c | 8,394$3,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,152.61 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | -7.9wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9031…554bbacked Team Falcons | 65c | 8,290$5,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,936.25 | 102 | 62.7%64 W · 38 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked Team Spirit | 38c | 7,000$2,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,679.99 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked Team Spirit | 39c | 6,561$2,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,558.66 | 360 | 41.4%149 W · 211 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Team Spirit | 38c | 6,060$2,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,317.72 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Team Spirit | 37c | 5,723$2,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,141.9 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed Team Spirit | 8c | 5,550$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.37 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Team Falcons | 58c | 5,509$3,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,297.1 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d11…99cabacked Team Spirit | 47c | 4,936$2,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,317.02 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c01…e7d0backed Team Spirit | 39c | 4,708$1,846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,845.71 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…eec6backed Team Falcons | 60c | 4,510$2,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,794.83 | 554 | 57.8%320 W · 234 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Spirit | 39c | 4,023$1,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,582.8 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Team Falcons | 74c | 3,873$2,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.26 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Team Spirit | 26c | 3,722$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.35 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…92fbbacked Team Spirit | 18c | 3,674$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.72 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x930e…38cfbacked Team Spirit | 3c | 3,636$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.95 | 370 | 18.9%70 W · 300 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked Team Spirit | 4c | 3,564$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.81 | 378 | 11.1%42 W · 336 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed Team Spirit | 41c | 3,539$1,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450.87 | 450 | 46.7%210 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aad…88d4backed Team Spirit | 43c | 3,334$1,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,433.61 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Team Falcons | 67c | 3,149$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.46 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Team Spirit | 44c | 3,086$1,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,357.81 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c3…1f5fbacked Team Falcons | 75c | 3,000$2,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 152 | 44.7%68 W · 84 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Team Falcons | 61c | 3,000$1,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb517…434bbacked Team Falcons | 58c | 2,897$1,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,214.05 | 228 | 42.1%96 W · 132 L | -25.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Team Falcons | 55c | 2,870$1,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f78…b642backed Team Spirit | 1c | 2,670$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.3 | 58 | 25.9%15 W · 43 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Spirit | 21c | 2,648$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.93 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb635…bef0backed Team Spirit | 43c | 2,641$1,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,135.62 | 303 | 36.6%111 W · 192 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Team Spirit | 4c | 2,592$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.66 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Spirit | 28c | 2,521$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.25 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Team Spirit | 35c | 2,214$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.08 | 87 | 28.7%25 W · 62 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed Team Spirit | 28c | 2,051$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.07 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Team Spirit | 20c | 2,003$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.67 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97fd…3313backed Team Spirit | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Team Spirit | 42c | 2,000$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.99 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb3…b70fbacked Team Spirit | 32c | 1,901$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x688e…148dbacked Team Falcons | 73c | 1,877$1,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.5 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd679…9ccfbacked Team Spirit | 37c | 1,867$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.52 | 140 | 58.6%82 W · 58 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…4d12backed Team Falcons | 63c | 1,862$1,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.9 | 350 | 62.6%219 W · 131 L | +44.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Team Spirit | 41c | 1,778$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.05 | 446 | 45.7%204 W · 242 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…b62abacked Team Falcons | 53c | 1,759$932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.52 | 393 | 43.3%170 W · 223 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Team Falcons | 70c | 1,723$1,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.25 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22d1…b52bbacked Team Spirit | 17c | 1,697$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.88 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62a9…3bb6backed Team Falcons | 58c | 1,651$955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.93 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed Team Falcons | 62c | 1,581$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.79 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Team Spirit | 28c | 1,562$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.98 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Team Spirit | 7c | 1,543$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.95 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3601…44fbbacked Team Falcons | 64c | 1,529$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.35 | 169 | 54.4%92 W · 77 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked Team Falcons | 61c | 1,517$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.17 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd1b…e3b3backed Team Falcons | 65c | 1,507$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.05 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad1…7653backed Team Falcons | 57c | 1,505$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.18 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Team Spirit | 38c | 1,500$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565 | 562 | 43.2%243 W · 319 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Team Spirit | 43c | 1,500$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645 | 236 | 50.4%119 W · 117 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b45…1a0abacked Team Spirit | 18c | 1,420$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.6 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +4.2wins | +0.25per pick | 34cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…ae44backed Team Spirit | 43c | 1,400$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602 | 315 | 47.6%150 W · 165 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25c5…0031backed Team Spirit | 3c | 1,348$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.31 | 89 | 18%16 W · 73 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed Team Falcons | 57c | 1,340$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.18 | 189 | 54%102 W · 87 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Team Falcons | 59c | 1,304$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.19 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Team Spirit | 47c | 1,282$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.24 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3621…2d2dbacked Team Spirit | 2c | 1,150$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +7.6wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…4dd5backed Team Spirit | 39c | 1,143$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.47 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Falcons | 73c | 1,073$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.4 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Team Spirit | 21c | 1,071$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.92 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf597…efeebacked Team Spirit | 2c | 1,050$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.39 | 92 | 23.9%22 W · 70 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5808…d235backed Team Spirit | 28c | 1,042$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.89 | 117 | 44.4%52 W · 65 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed Team Falcons | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked Team Falcons | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04d3…cdacbacked Team Spirit | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 66 | 31.8%21 W · 45 L | -7.2wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Team Falcons | 60c | 979.97$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.99 | 520 | 46.5%242 W · 278 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Team Falcons | 61c | 957.34$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.3 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -10.4wins | -0.33per pick | 61cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 30-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cc…c8ddbacked Team Spirit | 3c | 950$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 117 | 7.7%9 W · 108 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…b476backed Team Spirit | 2c | 941.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.82 | 106 | 45.3%48 W · 58 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Team Spirit | 26c | 932.67$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.49 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed Team Falcons | 57c | 921.1$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.07 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Team Spirit | 27c | 890.35$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.75 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Team Falcons | 55c | 855.37$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.92 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Team Falcons | 53c | 835.15$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.52 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8be…3d54backed Team Falcons | 61c | 830.11$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.74 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Spirit | 8c | 824.22$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.01 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia PlayoffsTeam Falcons won
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit - Game 2 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Game Handicap: FLC (-1.5) vs Team Spirit (+1.5)Team Falcons won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.