Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x631432a00db0083099f5e6ff52ba701a682e8acfe463f1f2904f859733f351cc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Falconsof Team Falcons, Team Spirit
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $453,323
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $573,074
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $453,323 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 294 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xec92…6b59backed Team Spirit | 2c | 49,904$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.54 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked Team Spirit | 36c | 35,973$13,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,110 | 360 | 41.4%149 W · 211 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Team Falcons | 64c | 33,866$21,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,346.83 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Team Spirit | 37c | 21,047$7,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,780.13 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Team Spirit | 36c | 18,195$6,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,509.4 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef27…381bbacked Team Falcons | 67c | 16,162$10,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,381.64 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x733b…7260backed Team Falcons | 68c | 13,010$8,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,183.35 | 24 | 83.3%20 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 69cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Team Spirit | 37c | 12,966$4,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,755.59 | 174 | 52.3%91 W · 83 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9273…fcf8backed Team Falcons | 63c | 10,254$6,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,794.04 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Team Spirit | 35c | 9,452$3,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,337.45 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Team Spirit | 40c | 7,907$3,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,187.35 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc6e…fa6fbacked Team Falcons | 63c | 7,756$4,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,869.88 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Spirit | 18c | 6,709$1,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,221.36 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…273dbacked Team Spirit | 36c | 5,952$2,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,117.46 | 126 | 30.2%38 W · 88 L | -13.5wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x50ac…a924backed Team Falcons | 64c | 5,738$3,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,074.92 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e7…68d2backed Team Falcons | 63c | 5,352$3,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,980.06 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed Team Spirit | 33c | 5,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 176 | 51.1%90 W · 86 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked Team Falcons | 59c | 4,874$2,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,998.42 | 236 | 53%125 W · 111 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52e5…60babacked Team Falcons | 63c | 4,640$2,932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,707.85 | 89 | 59.6%53 W · 36 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba06…8024backed Team Falcons | 64c | 3,995$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,445.13 | 159 | 50.3%80 W · 79 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Team Spirit | 25c | 3,935$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.53 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Team Spirit | 25c | 3,772$948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$947.79 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Team Spirit | 10c | 3,527$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.41 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84a…702dbacked Team Falcons | 65c | 3,180$2,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,113.13 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed Team Spirit | 27c | 3,174$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.79 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Team Spirit | 36c | 3,165$1,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.28 | 345 | 44.3%153 W · 192 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51c7…98aabacked Team Falcons | 65c | 3,004$1,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045.6 | 291 | 60.1%175 W · 116 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…7c8cbacked Team Spirit | 34c | 3,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 145 | 15.2%22 W · 123 L | -16.5wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Team Spirit | 34c | 3,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Team Falcons | 64c | 2,822$1,806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.98 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…4dd5backed Team Spirit | 35c | 2,691$942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$941.78 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60c3…5947backed Team Spirit | 18c | 2,662$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.36 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.7wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Team Spirit | 34c | 2,500$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Spirit | 14c | 2,374$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.92 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Team Spirit | 12c | 2,156$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.85 | 520 | 46.5%242 W · 278 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x085e…9aeabacked Team Falcons | 65c | 2,119$1,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.43 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Falcons | 63c | 2,057$1,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.12 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebb4…1374backed Team Falcons | 64c | 1,978$1,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.06 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Team Spirit | 35c | 1,896$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.72 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf8…2f4abacked Team Falcons | 63c | 1,853$1,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.67 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | +5.7wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5eab…d552backed Team Spirit | 18c | 1,853$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.9 | 67 | 25.4%17 W · 50 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Team Falcons | 79c | 1,842$1,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.69 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Team Spirit | 1c | 1,780$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 56 | 1.8%1 W · 55 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -77%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed Team Falcons | 64c | 1,755$1,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.89 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfee…ed1fbacked Team Spirit | 27c | 1,570$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.52 | 106 | 18.9%20 W · 86 L | -14.0wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -52%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb3…b70fbacked Team Spirit | 18c | 1,542$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.63 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd99…c06cbacked Team Falcons | 64c | 1,478$953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.05 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Team Falcons | 66c | 1,469$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.6 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa90…6b3abacked Team Spirit | 37c | 1,430$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.21 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Team Spirit | 23c | 1,414$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.02 | 207 | 40.1%83 W · 124 L | -14.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed Team Spirit | 36c | 1,400$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 335 | 41.2%138 W · 197 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed Team Spirit | 35c | 1,337$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.01 | 189 | 54%102 W · 87 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5df…be7cbacked Team Spirit | 27c | 1,219$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.52 | 94 | 28.7%27 W · 67 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…6e77backed Team Spirit | 34c | 1,200$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Team Spirit | 17c | 1,198$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.03 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Team Falcons | 64c | 1,146$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.57 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Team Spirit | 34c | 1,127$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.24 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Team Spirit | 35c | 1,079$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.51 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed Team Falcons | 69c | 1,067$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.49 | 223 | 63.2%141 W · 82 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Spirit | 34c | 1,058$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.69 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Team Spirit | 31c | 1,010$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.3 | 87 | 28.7%25 W · 62 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Team Spirit | 33c | 999.99$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe647…2040backed Team Falcons | 67c | 950.94$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.81 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Team Spirit | 32c | 949.97$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.1 | 185 | 44.9%83 W · 102 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Team Spirit | 23c | 940.55$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.03 | 378 | 32.5%123 W · 255 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked Team Spirit | 32c | 935.75$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.2 | 372 | 23.1%86 W · 286 L | -38.2wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…7b4fbacked Team Falcons | 64c | 874.38$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.78 | 354 | 61.3%217 W · 137 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Team Falcons | 63c | 817.94$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.64 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Team Spirit | 36c | 801.33$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.48 | 485 | 39.2%190 W · 295 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed Team Spirit | 15c | 794.89$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.5 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Team Falcons | 66c | 776.04$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.85 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -10.4wins | -0.33per pick | 61cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 30-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c2…a16ebacked Team Falcons | 77c | 769.89$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.65 | 381 | 67.2%256 W · 125 L | +13.5wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Team Spirit | 18c | 760.64$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.92 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd1b…e3b3backed Team Falcons | 65c | 753.08$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.58 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da2…8c2bbacked Team Falcons | 66c | 747.46$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.14 | 109 | 66.1%72 W · 37 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Team Falcons | 66c | 742.12$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.32 | 203 | 67%136 W · 67 L | +14.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Team Spirit | 11c | 739.29$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.32 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Team Spirit | 28c | 736.74$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.19 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Team Falcons | 67c | 708.88$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.35 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96a4…133ebacked Team Spirit | 34c | 702.99$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.15 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf36e…f91cbacked Team Spirit | 36c | 700$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Falcons | 77c | 682.74$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.27 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked Team Spirit | 36c | 628.89$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.4 | 462 | 40.7%188 W · 274 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac2…e183backed Team Spirit | 23c | 623.18$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.07 | 249 | 55.4%138 W · 111 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a6…5270backed Team Falcons | 63c | 614.84$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.49 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 66cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x730e…fca0backed Team Spirit | 15c | 580.45$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.19 | 205 | 35.1%72 W · 133 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Team Spirit | 36c | 550$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 126 | 42.1%53 W · 73 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Team Spirit | 11c | 537.3$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.58 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Team Spirit | 17c | 526.26$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.53 | 589 | 43%253 W · 336 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x595c…3b03backed Team Falcons | 66c | 520.2$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.7 | 108 | 52.8%57 W · 51 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…f73fbacked Team Spirit | 37c | 520.11$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.44 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Team Spirit | 33c | 519.21$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.34 | 562 | 43.2%243 W · 319 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Team Spirit | 26c | 516.96$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.01 | 565 | 48%271 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf592…9872backed Team Falcons | 67c | 512.04$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.97 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6aefbacked Team Falcons | 63c | 500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc105…c1b0backed Team Spirit | 17c | 499.97$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.99 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3375…ba50backed Team Falcons | 65c | 499.96$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.99 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdcb…b106backed Team Spirit | 13c | 482.02$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.74 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -42%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Team Spirit | 23c | 471.66$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.69 | 108 | 33.3%36 W · 72 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24c6…4a55backed Team Spirit | 3c | 470.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.07 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit - Game 1 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit - Game 2 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Game Handicap: FLC (-1.5) vs Team Spirit (+1.5)Team Falcons won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.