TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: M80 vs Monte - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Monteof M80, Monte
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$71,974
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$84,251

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,974 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 137 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x288b…a713backed M8036c16,247$5,787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,787.12944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-25%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x668d…e471backed Monte62c3,038$1,891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,146.95352.8%28 W · 25 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7193…ae51backed Monte61c2,575$1,581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$994.5229858.4%174 W · 124 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6978…9897backed Monte58c2,253$1,297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$956.4212449.2%61 W · 63 L-7.1wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-9.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1ae1…c891backed M8051c2,222$1,133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,133.211151.4%57 W · 54 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+9.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed Monte59c2,209$1,297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$912.6241850%209 W · 209 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked M8034c2,154$743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$743.143,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x60b6…eb2bbacked M8036c2,066$734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$733.5526438.6%102 W · 162 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4e5…d034backed M8038c1,793$683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$682.8813044.6%58 W · 72 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Monte63c1,648$1,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$604.214,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5f7…7714backed Monte78c1,647$1,286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.6519048.9%93 W · 97 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed Monte66c1,597$1,049 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$548.0449646.6%231 W · 265 L+1.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c59…3887backed Monte54c1,567$847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$719.9221941.1%90 W · 129 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fc2…64d1backed M8037c960.09$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.2420942.1%88 W · 121 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked M8037c938.3$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.2598052.4%514 W · 466 L+26.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Monte61c928.07$562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.241,39848.4%676 W · 722 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked M8038c853.98$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.4647147.3%223 W · 248 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed Monte73c847.09$618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.7145058.9%265 W · 185 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51bb…a919backed Monte58c840.34$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.947749.4%38 W · 39 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8976…7367backed Monte57c811.18$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.0315648.1%75 W · 81 L+10.0wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+9.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x61fa…7f62backed Monte64c808.42$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.5133553.4%179 W · 156 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b59…0ba0backed M8025c800$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20055738.4%214 W · 343 L+11.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Monte75c793.75$593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.484,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3911…30f3backed Monte65c717.25$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.0426251.1%134 W · 128 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa57…a128backed Monte58c712.24$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.4426075%195 W · 65 L+23.6wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+11.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x21df…fdbcbacked M8042c633.42$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.432650%13 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9fa5…e615backed Monte72c621.36$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.283568.6%24 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe6d…9d6abacked Monte49c609$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.598047.5%38 W · 42 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda7b…8857backed M8048c598$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.044555.6%25 W · 20 L+5.4wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+15.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Monte58c593.1$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.7664552.9%341 W · 304 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xccf5…42f2backed Monte72c555.31$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.1141260.9%251 W · 161 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed M8033c550.97$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.992,46824.6%607 W · 1,861 L-317.8wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-51.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xbd07…8d16backed Monte61c499.98$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.9911645.7%53 W · 63 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6ae…afe9backed M8019c488.19$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.1725440.6%103 W · 151 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7756…d00abacked Monte49c484.7$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.212148.8%59 W · 62 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Monte65c480.74$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.552,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked M8040c477.6$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.8581751.7%422 W · 395 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Monte58c447.52$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.575,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed M8042c434.48$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.482,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa35b…60e9backed M8037c426.55$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.2555043.1%237 W · 313 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e7c…164dbacked M8035c419.5$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.1134943%150 W · 199 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x930b…0223backed M8043c407.93$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.4123861.3%146 W · 92 L+0.8wins0.00per pick61cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed M8019c398.54$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.721,27821.9%280 W · 998 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x63ff…5f94backed Monte78c379.25$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.1815259.9%91 W · 61 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked M8027c374.54$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.353,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Monte59c373.57$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.7651252.3%268 W · 244 L+16.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1752…682bbacked Monte57c351.59$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.336555.4%36 W · 29 L+8.0wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+26.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8820…0118backed M8031c337.62$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.241656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+3.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x56b4…c4adbacked Monte58c328.91$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.1413845.7%63 W · 75 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c5e…269bbacked Monte63c318.75$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.9442050%210 W · 210 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0ad…683fbacked Monte63c316.74$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.2935550.1%178 W · 177 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb569…6fe0backed Monte58c300$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12638452.3%201 W · 183 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed M8039c244.36$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.996,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked M8039c240.02$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.472,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x423f…eedcbacked Monte63c239.89$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.2640655.7%226 W · 180 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21ec…7307backed Monte58c218.37$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.7213267.4%89 W · 43 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75c7…909dbacked Monte66c208.93$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.86643.9%29 W · 37 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa0af…3b75backed Monte63c199.93$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.6518342.1%77 W · 106 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c8c…2359backed Monte73c193.81$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.869351.6%48 W · 45 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fa8…d75fbacked M8028c174.83$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.718144.4%36 W · 45 L+6.9wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+26.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x03e8…d073backed M8039c171.01$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.467136.6%26 W · 45 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0599…3c6abacked Monte71c170.05$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.3161754.8%338 W · 279 L-18.6wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a73…a9c8backed Monte48c166.7$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.2769635.3%246 W · 450 L-49.3wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-17.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Monte62c163.38$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.872,32655.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L+44.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked M8048c162.49$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.211,65032.7%540 W · 1,110 L-49.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked M8044c162.33$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.387,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7a0…e774backed Monte70c159.91$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.47683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.34per pick50cpaid+45.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf61a…5943backed M8064c153.24$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.839040%36 W · 54 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa83a…34d6backed M8039c148.5$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.820332.5%66 W · 137 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3be…f543backed Monte67c145.39$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.3422952%119 W · 110 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x055a…b50ebacked Monte70c140.69$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.54443.2%19 W · 25 L-7.4wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-30.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x34f9…12ebbacked M8043c134.2$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.9226836.6%98 W · 170 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed M8030c125.14$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.5497040.7%395 W · 575 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8083…0b28backed M8042c112.95$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.243036.7%11 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4ec6…e52cbacked Monte78c111.7$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.578360.2%50 W · 33 L-0.3wins0.00per pick61cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5625…6c2abacked Monte62c107.16$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.6736151.8%187 W · 174 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed M8046c105.17$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.381,04645%471 W · 575 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb64c…393dbacked Monte62c102.58$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.069246.7%43 W · 49 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd043…50c8backed Monte66c102.19$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.261931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-44.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb1b8…9d1fbacked M8049c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4932832.3%106 W · 222 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c6c…b6d7backed M8038c99.99$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387954.4%43 W · 36 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6d7…526dbacked Monte49c98.92$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.4522444.6%100 W · 124 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe549…ea83backed Monte61c98.81$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.2332561.2%199 W · 126 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fcd…42f2backed Monte71c98.26$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.563541.1%261 W · 374 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf32…895cbacked Monte71c95.96$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.152646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bcc…0d8abacked M8019c95.14$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.0821519.1%41 W · 174 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed M8035c95$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.811,30426.5%345 W · 959 L-89.4wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x86c8…fc02backed M8045c93.66$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.9155950.3%281 W · 278 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde4b…3b7dbacked Monte70c90$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2731852.8%168 W · 150 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x542a…0312backed M8035c82.39$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.6410232.4%33 W · 69 L-0.4wins0.00per pick33cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa32b…2522backed Monte60c81.33$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.533655.6%20 W · 16 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked M8043c80.73$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.885,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x839f…c2cebacked Monte60c78.14$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.0416451.8%85 W · 79 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed M8033c78$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.8564439.8%256 W · 388 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8381…a304backed Monte74c77.66$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.4912273.8%90 W · 32 L+10.0wins+0.08per pick66cpaid+11.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked M8034c75$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.6731328.4%89 W · 224 L-21.8wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-38.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf836…e7b5backed M8035c74.23$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.9824451.2%125 W · 119 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed M8029c72.31$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.322,10216.8%353 W · 1,749 L-286.5wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-47.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x58ea…538dbacked Monte58c67.23$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.2420549.8%102 W · 103 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Monte64c65.16$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.652,60452.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L+98.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.