CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x73d3c2a89a523d97440a3e4ebb7249eb3325482d9dff92872bec7c5f1ed54580
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,613
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,580
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,613 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x31e6…a23ebacked Under | 51c | 1,009$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.62 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e4…2a20backed Over | 48c | 1,008$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.62 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Over | 54c | 620.9$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.67 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…cbf0backed Under | 52c | 446.75$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.44 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +21%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f19…8ce4backed Over | 47c | 445.37$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.32 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x211d…3ab7backed Over | 49c | 397.05$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.86 | 193 | 51.8%100 W · 93 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under | 51c | 375.31$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.02 | 236 | 53.8%127 W · 109 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Under | 43c | 287.53$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.5 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 52c | 206$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.27 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Over | 46c | 117.95$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Over | 18c | 109.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 452 | 24.3%110 W · 342 L | -52.4wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Over | 48c | 87.33$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.92 | 359 | 40.4%145 W · 214 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa106…5abbbacked Over | 50c | 60.21$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.11 | 84 | 59.5%50 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe303…401abacked Under | 53c | 55.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.48 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 34c | 55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.43 | 472 | 60%283 W · 189 L | +31.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 53c | 54.48$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 48c | 54.01$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.09 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 406 | 35.7%145 W · 261 L | -33.0wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -31%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 46c | 47.97$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.9 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39e4…a933backed Over | 51c | 47.47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.27 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…2561backed Over | 48c | 46.68$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.41 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…6dccbacked Under | 50c | 46.42$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.21 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05bc…eabbbacked Under | 61c | 41.84$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.33 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…5e10backed Over | 52c | 41.09$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.37 | 334 | 56.6%189 W · 145 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…9f19backed Over | 48c | 40.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 113 | 50.4%57 W · 56 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Over | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 452 | 40.3%182 W · 270 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb909…2d57backed Under | 54c | 36.02$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.57 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Under | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 295 | 55.3%163 W · 132 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 47c | 29.19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.47 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…c21fbacked Over | 55c | 28.31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.57 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Under | 55c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 313 | 28.4%89 W · 224 L | -21.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf723…1d4ebacked Under | 60c | 26.4$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.46 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa889…ebcdbacked Over | 54c | 25.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 192 | 56.8%109 W · 83 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d61…eb8ebacked Over | 51c | 19.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 812 | 46.2%375 W · 437 L | -35.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: M80 vs Monte (BO3) - DraculaN PlayoffsMonte won
- Counter-Strike: M80 vs Monte - Map 1 WinnerMonte won
- Counter-Strike: M80 vs Monte - Map 2 WinnerMonte won
- Map Handicap: MNTE (-1.5) vs M80 (+1.5)Monte won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.