CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Monte - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb6d28748e742d76fcaeefe0018cf79af514e336c4dad023fc5d669789299bfc1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Monteof M80, Monte
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,754
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,832
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,754 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1c93…33d5backed M80 | 1c | 9,924$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.24 | 484 | 37.6%182 W · 302 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +42%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Monte | 75c | 1,254$937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.38 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed M80 | 1c | 800$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Monte | 63c | 709.12$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.67 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a1…790dbacked Monte | 53c | 544.21$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.78 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4031…92c8backed M80 | 14c | 542.82$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.87 | 508 | 46.3%235 W · 273 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29f9…2aa9backed M80 | 46c | 541.86$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.25 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd92d…e560backed M80 | 7c | 500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 586 | 51%299 W · 287 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaba0…62aabacked Monte | 53c | 485.9$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.37 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e43…f53cbacked M80 | 46c | 483.8$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.55 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3911…30f3backed M80 | 48c | 403.96$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.76 | 262 | 51.1%134 W · 128 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…d00abacked M80 | 50c | 346.94$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.47 | 121 | 48.8%59 W · 62 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Monte | 51c | 329.72$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.17 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed M80 | 49c | 264.61$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.38 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…fcccbacked M80 | 10c | 207.65$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.76 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -55%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…968cbacked M80 | 48c | 203.86$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.85 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Monte | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b8…9d1fbacked M80 | 5c | 189.88$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 328 | 32.3%106 W · 222 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24eb…75eebacked M80 | 49c | 179.68$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.9 | 180 | 43.3%78 W · 102 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked M80 | 48c | 153.24$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.56 | 601 | 47.4%285 W · 316 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6777…5bbfbacked M80 | 27c | 138.34$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.04 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…4332backed M80 | 55c | 127.16$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.84 | 176 | 44.3%78 W · 98 L | -17.8wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed Monte | 59c | 119.79$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.79 | 493 | 76.1%375 W · 118 L | +96.8wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…526dbacked Monte | 50c | 114.46$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.23 | 224 | 44.6%100 W · 124 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34c0…b0e0backed M80 | 31c | 111.85$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.19 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0af…3b75backed M80 | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 183 | 42.1%77 W · 106 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…aefdbacked M80 | 21c | 99.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 840 | 37.9%318 W · 522 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…d073backed M80 | 49c | 98.92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.47 | 71 | 36.6%26 W · 45 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked M80 | 48c | 95.77$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.97 | 236 | 53.8%127 W · 109 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c5…f095backed Monte | 52c | 93.38$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.82 | 603 | 58.5%353 W · 250 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47a8…4839backed M80 | 18c | 81.47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Monte | 49c | 74.85$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.17 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe5…cf64backed M80 | 20c | 57.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Monte | 79c | 52.38$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 559 | 50.3%281 W · 278 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…51dbbacked Monte | 52c | 44.82$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.52 | 401 | 48.4%194 W · 207 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfb…980cbacked M80 | 49c | 39.54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.18 | 325 | 48.3%157 W · 168 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56fd…d60dbacked Monte | 52c | 37.35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.93 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x839f…c2cebacked M80 | 54c | 34.21$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 164 | 51.8%85 W · 79 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14d1…6e8ebacked Monte | 50c | 28.07$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Monte | 49c | 22.8$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.63 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcaa4…2229backed Monte | 73c | 16.11$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: M80 vs Monte - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: M80 vs Monte (BO3) - DraculaN PlayoffsMonte won
- Counter-Strike: M80 vs Monte - Map 2 WinnerMonte won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: MNTE (-1.5) vs M80 (+1.5)Monte won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.