TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Suriname qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,413
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,130

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,413 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0411…3ecdbacked Yes22c252$56 inLost-$56.2520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-52%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8765…ed81backed Yes7c222.28$15 inLost-$15.392213.6%3 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick9cpaid-8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x78f1…3c1cbacked No69c219.99$152 inWon+$67.5944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaebd…c462backed Yes14c215.33$31 inLost-$31333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-21.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f0b…855ebacked Yes10c196.9$20 inLost-$20.487751.9%40 W · 37 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x413a…0008backed Yes28c181.8$50 inLost-$49.99812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.22per pick34cpaid-62.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x801b…e036backed No73c116.53$85 inWon+$31.533315.2%5 W · 28 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick15cpaid-74.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6b6…9344backed Yes31c106.64$33 inLost-$32.56616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick24cpaid+4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a3e…6182backed No70c100$70 inWon+$301172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick65cpaid-2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e08…e99bbacked No76c98.47$75 inWon+$23.4813855.1%76 W · 62 L+6.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes13c77.93$10 inLost-$10.32937.5%22 W · 271 L-13.2wins-0.05per pick12cpaid-53.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x434e…e7aabacked Yes30c70.04$21 inLost-$21540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-25.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd604…cb5fbacked Yes31c68.38$21 inLost-$21.233555.5%186 W · 149 L+19.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x640f…8bcebacked Yes22c52.3$11 inLost-$11.41520%1 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick14cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04df…7c4abacked No72c45.68$33 inWon+$12.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf29c…56cebacked Yes35c42.78$15 inLost-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ffd…5f97backed No64c41.83$27 inWon+$15.194100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+69.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x32e5…1fd2backed No63c40$25 inWon+$14.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3fe…979bbacked Yes38c31.61$12 inLost-$1218137.6%68 W · 113 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed No62c29.92$19 inWon+$11.3788838.2%339 W · 549 L+37.2wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa01…dcc8backed Yes37c28.7$11 inLost-$10.61580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.