Fifa International · resolved market
Will Kosovo qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1acdabfd96a60a3c5e589a338e1e22bb5a8e90becc40e332e3feda869b8e5617
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,153
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,888
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,153 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed Yes | 35c | 8,496$2,948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,948.09 | 221 | 39.8%88 W · 133 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…cb5fbacked No | 65c | 7,375$4,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,575.54 | 335 | 55.5%186 W · 149 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3435…1913backed No | 67c | 2,905$1,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$965.85 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bea…f95abacked Yes | 36c | 2,500$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed No | 74c | 1,756$1,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.67 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | +11.1wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +24%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ad…6ed7backed No | 66c | 1,444$952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.43 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbce5…02f1backed Yes | 35c | 1,414$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.93 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked No | 65c | 1,286$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.98 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…87cfbacked Yes | 13c | 910.7$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.78 | 173 | 40.5%70 W · 103 L | +11.1wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x613d…f914backed Yes | 33c | 902.93$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc46b…f862backed Yes | 34c | 761.74$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.99 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…c506backed No | 67c | 749.9$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…f6e1backed No | 64c | 704.34$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.33 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x635d…5025backed No | 71c | 592.77$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.54 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe39…cf5fbacked Yes | 17c | 572.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +17%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb410…7736backed Yes | 35c | 496.66$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.73 | 139 | 57.6%80 W · 59 L | +18.4wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 67c | 439.13$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.52 | 222 | 42.8%95 W · 127 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x572e…ac69backed No | 65c | 412$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.6 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2936…7be9backed No | 74c | 358.55$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.73 | 95 | 16.8%16 W · 79 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes | 15c | 350$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 559 | 42.4%237 W · 322 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Yes | 32c | 348.83$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.63 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked No | 67c | 300.11$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.01 | 199 | 58.3%116 W · 83 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed No | 66c | 300$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 114 | 53.5%61 W · 53 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec15…9b0cbacked Yes | 35c | 281.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb05a…363ebacked Yes | 19c | 260.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e74…a86dbacked Yes | 14c | 259$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.44 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32df…cce8backed Yes | 36c | 201$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.36 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39df…64a1backed Yes | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 33c | 175.58$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.64 | 789 | 27.5%217 W · 572 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c27…1555backed No | 65c | 170.65$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.73 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Yes | 35c | 160.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.35 | 245 | 37.1%91 W · 154 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a4…4ef2backed Yes | 13c | 160.26$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.61 | 39 | 15.4%6 W · 33 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23c9…9795backed Yes | 23c | 149.2$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.71 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc43d…8f2bbacked Yes | 38c | 132.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7577…8fb9backed Yes | 12c | 123.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.81 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 11c | 113.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 293 | 7.5%22 W · 271 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb184…7c77backed Yes | 42c | 113.1$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed No | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 154 | 48.7%75 W · 79 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb775…36f5backed Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccd…1ec9backed No | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed No | 58c | 96.7$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 263 | 30%79 W · 184 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40a0…cb70backed Yes | 16c | 92.06$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cea…ffd2backed Yes | 18c | 84.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | -8.8wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x483a…4fd0backed Yes | 43c | 81.4$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…65fdbacked Yes | 35c | 80$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 69 | 18.8%13 W · 56 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…7637backed No | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 236 | 65.3%154 W · 82 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7350…9dc0backed Yes | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 118 | 45.8%54 W · 64 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb15c…c161backed Yes | 34c | 72.69$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce0f…29dabacked Yes | 34c | 64.32$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.87 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cff…3abdbacked Yes | 35c | 64.17$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.46 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b5…b7acbacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7d…d6ebbacked No | 80c | 56.6$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +104.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06f0…ad99backed Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 179 | 48%86 W · 93 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19a6…e4bfbacked Yes | 41c | 54.12$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf137…9341backed Yes | 35c | 52.68$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.44 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -60%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c62…44b4backed Yes | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7740…6c80backed Yes | 35c | 48.86$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c10…df5cbacked No | 80c | 46.75$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.35 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafb1…0329backed No | 64c | 32.81$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.81 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e01…757abacked No | 67c | 32.31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.66 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0e…203abacked Yes | 34c | 31.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6994…eed0backed Yes | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf45…5903backed No | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4e…c895backed No | 65c | 29.42$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb9d…d78ebacked No | 66c | 28.71$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.7 | 128 | 42.2%54 W · 74 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44c4…ef02backed No | 67c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 34cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbea…6732backed No | 77c | 18.26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kosovo qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?this page
- Will Albania qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Austria qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Belgium qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Bolivia qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Bosnia and Herzegovina qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Colombia qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Croatia qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Czechia qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will DR Congo qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Denmark qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Finland qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Iraq qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Ireland qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Italy qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Jamaica qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Netherlands qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will New Caledonia qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will North Macedonia qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Oman qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Poland qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Romania qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Saudi Arabia qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Slovakia qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Suriname qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Sweden qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Turkey qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Ukraine qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will United Arab Emirates qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Uruguay qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Wales qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.