Fifa International · resolved market
Will Jamaica qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa9ba962ede8fd5585244b33cc1bf4591468b71753091fb781a2a5b4257520c33
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,362
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,239
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,362 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x27b0…fc67backed No | 72c | 1,500$1,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.7 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 27c | 815.55$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.26 | 789 | 27.5%217 W · 572 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8fe…3ee3backed Yes | 29c | 752.17$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.78 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa525…1e7bbacked No | 72c | 702.27$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes | 32c | 460.18$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.67 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed No | 68c | 366.37$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.37 | 137 | 62.8%86 W · 51 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Yes | 28c | 346$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.88 | 199 | 58.3%116 W · 83 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8680…a628backed No | 67c | 296.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +296.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd64b…873cbacked Yes | 29c | 270$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.1 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -71%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2918…84b4backed Yes | 34c | 249.99$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa01…dcc8backed No | 72c | 198.61$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.61 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcac6…bdf8backed Yes | 28c | 183$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.24 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2927…e858backed Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Yes | 35c | 175.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.6 | 245 | 37.1%91 W · 154 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c27…1555backed No | 67c | 168.17$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.67 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c0…dadabacked Yes | 28c | 148.75$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.65 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed No | 78c | 130.42$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.69 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb708…ef3dbacked No | 72c | 97$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.91 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -34%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe059…7135backed Yes | 30c | 90.15$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 34c | 86.68$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.44 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Yes | 35c | 78.63$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.52 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5daf…7d98backed Yes | 30c | 62.45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe720…0f1cbacked No | 78c | 60.59$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9334…393bbacked Yes | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44c4…ef02backed Yes | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 34cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed No | 64c | 49.14$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.69 | 470 | 49.4%232 W · 238 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbee7…dc3abacked No | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee36…bebebacked No | 45c | 41.78$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.07 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed No | 76c | 35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x744b…8d31backed No | 64c | 31.08$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6af9…a022backed No | 71c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc046…4020backed No | 73c | 26.12$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee0…1006backed Yes | 48c | 24.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 216 | 33.8%73 W · 143 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb410…7736backed No | 64c | 24.48$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.88 | 139 | 57.6%80 W · 59 L | +18.4wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xafb1…0329backed No | 69c | 21.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.68 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a2…b489backed No | 65c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf45…5903backed No | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Jamaica qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?this page
- Will Albania qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Austria qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Belgium qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Bolivia qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Bosnia and Herzegovina qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Colombia qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Croatia qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Czechia qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will DR Congo qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Denmark qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Finland qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Iraq qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Ireland qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Italy qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Kosovo qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Netherlands qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will New Caledonia qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will North Macedonia qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Oman qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Poland qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Romania qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Saudi Arabia qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Slovakia qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Suriname qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Sweden qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Turkey qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Ukraine qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will United Arab Emirates qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Uruguay qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Wales qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.