TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Slovakia qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$12,157
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$9,104

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,157 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe542…0a37backed Yes0c5,000$10 inLost-$1026330%79 W · 184 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick25cpaid+0.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed No73c1,112$808 inWon+$304.110548.6%51 W · 54 L+11.1wins+0.11per pick38cpaid+24%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x613d…f914backed Yes28c722.94$200 inLost-$20040%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Yes30c433.13$128 inLost-$127.9578927.5%217 W · 572 L+2.0wins0.00per pick27cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9437…6c5dbacked No68c250$170 inWon+$80250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7577…8fb9backed Yes30c199.98$60 inLost-$59.994139%16 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9684…6a67backed Yes36c195.53$70 inLost-$7010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa823…3327backed Yes28c179.29$50 inLost-$502634.6%9 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x71a5…7e15backed Yes34c176.76$60 inLost-$60757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick38cpaid+101%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2936…7be9backed No66c166.56$109 inWon+$57.19516.8%16 W · 79 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-28.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0862…c7aabacked No73c115$84 inWon+$31.051668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+31.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed No72c109.29$79 inWon+$30.64740.4%19 W · 28 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick34cpaid+2.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd31c…9af2backed No72c106.85$77 inWon+$29.851172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+15.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7257…fc40backed Yes29c79.74$23 inLost-$23.07560%3 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.31per pick29cpaid+145.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2662…9952backed No71c60$43 inWon+$17.4250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f17…88eabacked Yes29c50.63$14 inLost-$14.4920%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd604…cb5fbacked No69c49$34 inWon+$15.1933555.5%186 W · 149 L+19.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9de0…1886backed No70c35.6$25 inWon+$10.68450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-26.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb046…857cbacked No64c28.57$18 inWon+$10.2915740.8%64 W · 93 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc046…4020backed No70c28.57$20 inWon+$8.57955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3717…d65dbacked No70c21.52$15 inWon+$6.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec4a…a8d8backed No70c20$14 inWon+$5.96757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-9.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.