TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Ireland qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$10,541
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$10,811

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,541 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x094a…e4a9backed No79c2,926$2,301 inWon+$624.872560%15 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x413a…0008backed Yes22c1,562$344 inLost-$343.75812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.22per pick34cpaid-62.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed No78c1,451$1,138 inWon+$313.0510548.6%51 W · 54 L+11.1wins+0.11per pick38cpaid+24%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x613d…f914backed Yes22c1,290$280 inLost-$28040%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2dd1…7af0backed Yes5c1,000$50 inLost-$501625%4 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.14per pick11cpaid+15.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x82d0…ae93backed Yes21c591.25$125 inLost-$125250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7577…8fb9backed Yes19c499.98$95 inLost-$954139%16 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x71a5…7e15backed Yes23c489.8$112 inLost-$111.57757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick38cpaid+101%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed No78c443.04$344 inWon+$99.4178927.5%217 W · 572 L+2.0wins0.00per pick27cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fa2…7ae2backed Yes23c436.28$100 inLost-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5f9…2d70backed Yes20c362.7$72 inLost-$72.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07b…c963backed Yes23c354.31$83 inLost-$8310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed No78c320.26$251 inWon+$69.674740.4%19 W · 28 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick34cpaid+2.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7257…fc40backed Yes19c315.44$59 inLost-$59.21560%3 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.31per pick29cpaid+145.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x635d…5025backed No78c300$234 inWon+$662462.5%15 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd604…cb5fbacked No78c286.78$223 inWon+$63.6633555.5%186 W · 149 L+19.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa5e3…4d7ebacked No60c281.24$169 inWon+$112.513044.6%58 W · 72 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1293…32b5backed Yes30c248.47$74 inLost-$74.0120%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x588d…099abacked No80c197.66$158 inWon+$39.5322242.8%95 W · 127 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes9c190$18 inLost-$17.87799.6%75 W · 704 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick11cpaid-44.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes14c165.94$23 inLost-$23.212937.5%22 W · 271 L-13.2wins-0.05per pick12cpaid-53.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc9a7…e76cbacked Yes15c160.22$24 inLost-$24.16385.3%2 W · 36 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick7cpaid-79.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8765…ed81backed Yes8c133$11 inLost-$10.642213.6%3 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick9cpaid-8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed No76c129.42$98 inWon+$31.2588838.2%339 W · 549 L+37.2wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfeca…e625backed Yes40c125$50 inLost-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x527c…5a2bbacked Yes26c108.57$28 inLost-$28714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick17cpaid-75.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2936…7be9backed No76c100$76 inWon+$249516.8%16 W · 79 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-28.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b06…a723backed No80c100$80 inWon+$20666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed No74c94.62$70 inWon+$24.634151%174 W · 167 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes24c83.33$20 inLost-$2036349.3%179 W · 184 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ba3…1aecbacked Yes18c60$11 inLost-$10.83545.7%16 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6ee…37a2backed No75c55.49$41 inWon+$14.01977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.25per pick53cpaid+62.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xabe5…a37bbacked Yes37c54.05$20 inLost-$20250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7eea…ad52backed Yes20c50$10 inLost-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e08…e99bbacked No80c44.29$35 inWon+$9.0413855.1%76 W · 62 L+6.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x38a4…4ef2backed No78c40.37$32 inWon+$8.793915.4%6 W · 33 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick22cpaid-62.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xea1b…393fbacked Yes40c25$10 inLost-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9106…afcbbacked No77c21.74$17 inWon+$58660.5%52 W · 34 L+7.5wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+14.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6b2d…cb6bbacked No79c15$12 inWon+$3.15580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+39%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.