TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Wales qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$6,093
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$7,008

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,093 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 11 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe542…0a37backed No77c2,513$1,935 inWon+$578.4126330%79 W · 184 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick25cpaid+0.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Yes23c2,500$575 inLost-$57533149.5%164 W · 167 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…87cfbacked Yes26c777$199 inLost-$199.317340.5%70 W · 103 L+11.1wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-4.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x588d…099abacked No75c425$317 inWon+$108.322242.8%95 W · 127 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed No75c412$310 inWon+$10210548.6%51 W · 54 L+11.1wins+0.11per pick38cpaid+24%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x7577…8fb9backed Yes25c213.24$53 inLost-$53.314139%16 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x635d…5025backed No73c206.71$151 inWon+$55.812462.5%15 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed No71c182.63$130 inWon+$52.6734151%174 W · 167 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbec3…360dbacked Yes34c100$34 inLost-$34254%1 W · 24 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick14cpaid-93.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed No66c70.85$47 inWon+$24.2278927.5%217 W · 572 L+2.0wins0.00per pick27cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad89…f6e1backed No55c18.2$10 inWon+$8.196155.7%34 W · 27 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.