TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Denmark qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$95,551
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$94,065

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $95,551 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 211 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd604…cb5fbacked No51c14,350$7,278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,072.0433555.5%186 W · 149 L+19.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6c74…bd4ebacked Yes68c12,037$8,216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,215.782055%11 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick65cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed No48c10,533$5,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,510.5778927.5%217 W · 572 L+2.0wins0.00per pick27cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ca1…ddcdbacked No37c10,000$3,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,299.974355.8%24 W · 19 L+4.0wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+13.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed Yes53c7,000$3,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,7003138.7%12 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed No39c4,992$1,938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,053.9510548.6%51 W · 54 L+11.1wins+0.11per pick38cpaid+24%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x3b87…6a47backed Yes64c4,081$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6004740.4%19 W · 28 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-15.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfd97…0ec5backed No68c3,705$2,512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,192.689647.9%46 W · 50 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Yes63c3,180$2,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,003.443248.4%209 W · 223 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45b2…cbc1backed Yes5c3,024$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.0850%0 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8cb…8f46backed Yes54c3,000$1,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6201233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x75d1…7a5fbacked No30c2,786$845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,941.463467.6%23 W · 11 L+4.8wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+42.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xad89…f6e1backed No38c2,737$1,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,699.096155.7%34 W · 27 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed No40c2,070$823 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,247.388838.2%339 W · 549 L+37.2wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Yes54c1,852$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00013762.8%86 W · 51 L+8.7wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0004…80c7backed Yes55c1,820$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002045%9 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeba4…69fbbacked No73c1,814$1,321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.32763%17 W · 10 L+6.7wins+0.25per pick38cpaid+76.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes61c1,628$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0009140.7%37 W · 54 L-6.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-28.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1cfc…75abbacked Yes1c1,540$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.420%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2936…7be9backed No37c1,493$556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$936.859516.8%16 W · 79 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-28.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7eb…615bbacked Yes56c1,065$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001625%4 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-53.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e86…18c7backed No39c1,026$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$625.64450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed No55c1,010$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.241560%9 W · 6 L+2.4wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+27.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1aee…c139backed No50c1,000$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.333721.6%8 W · 29 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick18cpaid-31.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed No40c958$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$570.4419252.1%100 W · 92 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes6c948.68$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.377799.6%75 W · 704 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick11cpaid-44.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Yes62c806.45$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50035251.7%182 W · 170 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb619…5068backed No54c802.39$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.124144.8%108 W · 133 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes18c787.5$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.756098.4%51 W · 558 L+0.2wins0.00per pick8cpaid+16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb046…857cbacked No41c775.46$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.2215740.8%64 W · 93 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x40a7…ecb7backed Yes10c771.79$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.4519825.3%50 W · 148 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick24cpaid+20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x635d…5025backed No41c750.3$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.042462.5%15 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa5e3…4d7ebacked No36c699$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.713044.6%58 W · 72 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ed9…9949backed Yes64c664.53$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.781735.3%6 W · 11 L-3.4wins-0.20per pick55cpaid-28.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8044…ac75backed Yes46c652.17$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005834.5%20 W · 38 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-29.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed No36c648.41$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.284740.4%19 W · 28 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick34cpaid+2.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa0db…56d5backed Yes55c636.36$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3501855.6%10 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick65cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9032…8717backed No49c600$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.054042.5%17 W · 23 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d9d…992bbacked Yes51c600$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3042231.8%7 W · 15 L-3.6wins-0.17per pick48cpaid-38.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x588d…099abacked Yes61c569.04$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.5522242.8%95 W · 127 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1293…32b5backed Yes56c558.27$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.0620%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x74a9…0dc7backed Yes55c545.45$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3007853.8%42 W · 36 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xda0f…f0e7backed Yes63c517.86$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.484634.8%16 W · 30 L0.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid+33.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4781…336dbacked Yes64c512.14$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.298163%51 W · 30 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8142…f311backed Yes51c499.99$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25510245.1%46 W · 56 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+3.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8191…8a35backed No36c485.48$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.654254.8%23 W · 19 L+4.1wins+0.10per pick45cpaid-0.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6a96…69debacked No59c466.42$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.423345.5%15 W · 18 L+3.8wins+0.12per pick34cpaid+31.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3f8d…a19bbacked No76c396.86$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.165100%5 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+61.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb581…0308backed Yes57c360.04$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.9247049.4%232 W · 238 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15d7…a861backed Yes56c358.69$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20080%0 W · 8 L-3.3wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5ccd…1ec9backed Yes44c350$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1534936.7%18 W · 31 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-18.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed No48c349.9$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.9534151%174 W · 167 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed Yes61c310$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.148140.1%193 W · 288 L-17.3wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed Yes21c309.52$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$656643.9%29 W · 37 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5282…82fcbacked Yes28c300$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.767044.3%31 W · 39 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2546…5155backed Yes50c259.42$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13022449.6%111 W · 113 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Yes71c235.42$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.2923751.1%121 W · 116 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x71a5…7e15backed Yes52c230.77$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick38cpaid+101%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc947…3462backed Yes71c229.85$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.3728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.29per pick57cpaid-62.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5833…4893backed Yes67c226$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.348170.4%57 W · 24 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick67cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc514…e9b4backed Yes20c218.94$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.7919935.2%70 W · 129 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e08…e99bbacked Yes46c213.8$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.3213855.1%76 W · 62 L+6.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b30…29a4backed Yes49c205.45$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003336.4%12 W · 21 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+30.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe831…a42abacked Yes51c204.89$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.964546.7%21 W · 24 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed Yes69c200$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1388357.8%48 W · 35 L+6.7wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+77.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3996…1b4fbacked Yes51c199.99$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10220%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa5a6…3d19backed No58c198.39$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+71%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x863f…7b79backed Yes55c198.15$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1085653.6%30 W · 26 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e76…2a74backed Yes63c195.54$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.192010%2 W · 18 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick16cpaid-17.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3cfb…1dd3backed No49c191.29$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x747c…e189backed Yes56c178.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-42.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb03…9732backed Yes59c169.54$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013951.8%72 W · 67 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes41c166.64$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.972,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xb7ad…52d7backed No70c166.31$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.311100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x924e…3fe8backed Yes62c162$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.421338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x747c…443bbacked Yes63c160$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.81838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf948…0931backed No39c159.48$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.28560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes36c155.76$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.653,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbde3…8e1dbacked Yes67c150$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.5944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick34cpaid+107.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8bcd…28a1backed Yes63c142.98$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick59cpaid-19.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x10ff…ff77backed Yes60c138$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.824537.1%91 W · 154 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc65…1cedbacked No33c136.36$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+203%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1051…0b63backed Yes66c128.99$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8530%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x16e1…c1ebbacked Yes60c128.33$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77520%1 W · 4 L-2.2wins-0.43per pick63cpaid-70.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7470…7a82backed Yes51c123.27$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac1b…92debacked Yes57c117.17$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.210634.9%37 W · 69 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5848…b529backed No76c115.88$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.371338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+50.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb860…eda4backed Yes45c115.82$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.591233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c34…2d7dbacked Yes72c112.59$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.59250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-26.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc046…4020backed Yes49c105.12$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.54955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xccac…5537backed No49c105$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0115…ac79backed Yes48c104.39$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509563.2%60 W · 35 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c0b…4d31backed Yes71c104.26$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.6450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+82%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed No32c100$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6832629.1%95 W · 231 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick25cpaid-5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x02f9…54dbbacked No33c100$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x413a…0008backed Yes54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.22per pick34cpaid-62.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc770…8dbbbacked Yes55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5519958.3%116 W · 83 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0478…3faabacked Yes54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+176.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x98e9…8dbebacked Yes50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.926432.8%21 W · 43 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-29.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0306…a81ebacked Yes63c100$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$631127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.16per pick43cpaid-37.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.