TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xbec3…360d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
53
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Premier League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 54 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT254%1 W · 24 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick14cpaid-93.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.5
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Africa (CAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.55
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.11
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.2
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
France vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Will Norway win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Will Denmark qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Will Poland qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.54
Will Turkey qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$23.78
Will Wales qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
All 25 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+36.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-04-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.97
Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$59
Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$14.83
Will Wrexham AFC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+400%+$80
Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+150%+$60
Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+96.1%+$49
Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+271.9%+$135.25
Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$53.82
Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+63.9%+$14.43
Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+222.6%+$69
Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$88
All 15 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick17cpaid+51.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.86per pick14cpaid+631.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+631.1%+$501.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreevabacked Maja Chwalinska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.