Premier League · resolved market
Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-01-24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa06856df2f3bbe949dd2a6a958110dc19a24ceb3c6bd002e7bcf596224c203b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,778
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,543
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,778 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 79c | 4,374$3,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,468.92 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 21c | 2,945$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,324.98 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed No | 69c | 2,532$1,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,747.26 | 192 | 53.1%102 W · 90 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed No | 70c | 2,532$1,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,772.4 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Yes | 31c | 2,516$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,736.13 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 24c | 1,757$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,339.86 | 497 | 53.7%267 W · 230 L | +27.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 24c | 1,607$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,223.27 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 47c | 1,547$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.84 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed No | 7c | 1,316$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.19 | 63 | 25.4%16 W · 47 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Yes | 12c | 1,248$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,103.22 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 25c | 1,133$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.58 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 32c | 1,130$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.1 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Yes | 15c | 640$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544 | 239 | 26.4%63 W · 176 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…22cfbacked Yes | 7c | 500$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465 | 114 | 48.2%55 W · 59 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 32c | 445$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.6 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 68c | 381.99$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.75 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7de…4d6dbacked Yes | 52c | 299.99$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.26 | 41 | 75.6%31 W · 10 L | +6.4wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…c966backed Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.71 | 70 | 30%21 W · 49 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0f…a571backed Yes | 18c | 278.26$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.26 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 69c | 207.87$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.33 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 328 | 22.3%73 W · 255 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0028…fdc6backed Yes | 32c | 187.5$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2c…6aaebacked Yes | 30c | 183.26$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.28 | 108 | 20.4%22 W · 86 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 68c | 115$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.2 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3902…43f8backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +50%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 440 | 36.8%162 W · 278 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec3…360dbacked Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 71c | 79.52$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.06 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb90…8dd8backed No | 39c | 65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.41 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 22cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Yes | 30c | 55.62$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.94 | 92 | 30.4%28 W · 64 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 35c | 48.89$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.9 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 80c | 40$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.82 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 70c | 37.44$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.21 | 274 | 54%148 W · 126 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 31c | 35.48$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.48 | 495 | 44.2%219 W · 276 L | -20.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed No | 69c | 32.26$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.26 | 166 | 51.2%85 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f69…ef5fbacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed No | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 144 | 63.9%92 W · 52 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 71c | 21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 520 | 60.4%314 W · 206 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…ed2bbacked No | 70c | 15.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-01-24?this page
- Will Queens Park Rangers FC vs. Wrexham AFC end in a draw?No won
- Will Queens Park Rangers FC win on 2026-01-24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.