TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-03-13?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$83,052

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,052 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 152 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes42c7,688$3,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,458.822,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes41c6,896$2,843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,053.4615534.2%53 W · 102 L-9.7wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-7.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked No58c6,192$3,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,590.3817557.1%100 W · 75 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked No59c6,000$3,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,54050644.3%224 W · 282 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes73c5,232$3,804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,427.96,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x187b…26bfbacked No58c5,219$3,027 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,026.982646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed No58c3,707$2,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,150.038146.9%38 W · 43 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No58c3,120$1,806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,805.651,00751.5%519 W · 488 L+4.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No28c2,132$598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$597.681,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes42c2,093$871 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,221.871,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34f6…eab4backed Yes42c1,559$655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$903.992045%9 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+23.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd64b…873cbacked No58c1,391$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$809.53366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+35.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c87…70d5backed Yes42c1,324$556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$767.9229238.4%112 W · 180 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x69ca…9ef8backed No56c1,258$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.5wins-0.41per pick58cpaid-70.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4db9…14f5backed Yes41c1,215$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$714.244835.4%17 W · 31 L+0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4922…34a7backed No20c1,143$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.71020%2 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes42c753.26$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.8484549%414 W · 431 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No37c684.46$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.692,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe970…d76abacked Yes76c654.1$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.11145.5%5 W · 6 L-2.7wins-0.24per pick70cpaid-38.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x82eb…9287backed Yes72c629.32$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.51442.9%6 W · 8 L-3.2wins-0.23per pick66cpaid-37.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked No18c615.02$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.295623.2%13 W · 43 L-7.5wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-56%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed No58c517.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3007833.3%26 W · 52 L-7.2wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-19.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8ae3…3c15backed Yes43c465.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.126737.3%25 W · 42 L-6.6wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-18.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No32c457.79$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.984,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x095e…abc5backed Yes43c455.26$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.692835.7%10 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-22.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc85f…15f8backed Yes40c396.99$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.211557.4%66 W · 49 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x660d…56acbacked Yes42c380.95$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.9511146.8%52 W · 59 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x15d7…a861backed Yes42c357.14$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.1412143%52 W · 69 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+18.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No60c355$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.841,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc629…5e51backed Yes43c348.84$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.849541.1%39 W · 56 L-9.3wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-16.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x576c…f218backed No58c310.75$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.2420763.8%132 W · 75 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No5c261.9$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0367042.2%283 W · 387 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked No29c258.62$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$759344.1%41 W · 52 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4868…c8d1backed No13c253.79$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.32742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfec2…08afbacked Yes40c249.98$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.987742.9%33 W · 44 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No24c246.75$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.712,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Yes41c243.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.912139.7%48 W · 73 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes41c243.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.935134.8%122 W · 229 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5d3…91aabacked Yes42c238.43$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.291323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick40cpaid-52.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Yes42c238$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.0454128.3%153 W · 388 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes42c200$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1161,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd1f0…6fb4backed No57c199.96$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.9711750.4%59 W · 58 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes44c180.18$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.671,20450.7%610 W · 594 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfac6…5d41backed Yes68c176.47$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.471181.8%9 W · 2 L+3.0wins+0.27per pick54cpaid+41.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5668…eababacked Yes43c174.42$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.42955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+33.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x61d6…13bcbacked Yes42c169$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x65a3…5e0bbacked Yes41c167$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb7c…82f2backed Yes42c166.67$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.6713635.3%48 W · 88 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+19.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0154…30f7backed Yes68c165.62$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.6215553.5%83 W · 72 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Yes65c154$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5413550.4%68 W · 67 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x861a…dde9backed Yes41c154$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed No57c150.47$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.7730149.5%149 W · 152 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2818…04a2backed Yes67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.25757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf26…609fbacked Yes37c144.54$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.54837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick29cpaid+12.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked No59c140$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.627846.4%129 W · 149 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No35c139.92$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.9745142.6%192 W · 259 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa580…a6febacked Yes72c139.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.29875%6 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+46.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x10ff…ff77backed Yes41c136$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.245633.9%19 W · 37 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Yes41c130.5$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.997550.7%38 W · 37 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77e5…7b3ebacked Yes42c130.24$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.892360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+23.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb5d1…c8cebacked Yes43c127.4$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.621643.8%7 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick35cpaid+76.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa2ba…2668backed Yes41c127$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.932100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+92.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d4e…6e96backed Yes40c125$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$756720.9%14 W · 53 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick19cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed No58c123.14$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.4727141.7%113 W · 158 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No27c122.08$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.740821.8%89 W · 319 L-53.7wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-49.3%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x88ff…5102backed No29c120.79$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.035330.2%16 W · 37 L0.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x169e…de26backed No59c118.58$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.964663%29 W · 17 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe388…9da3backed Yes43c116.28$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.28837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-27.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb38c…b2c9backed Yes41c106.98$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.124942.9%21 W · 28 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Yes42c106.4$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.7127948%134 W · 145 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed No59c101.74$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.0332345.2%146 W · 177 L-1.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b8d…bb92backed Yes34c100$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6610747.7%51 W · 56 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x11f0…890dbacked Yes41c100$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5918052.2%94 W · 86 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbec3…360dbacked Yes41c99.99$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$591546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+36.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d73…9d35backed Yes74c95$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.32955.2%16 W · 13 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick47cpaid-14%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe9fa…c365backed Yes43c93.02$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.025944.1%26 W · 33 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b32…8052backed Yes43c90.19$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.414139%16 W · 25 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdeb…8cd1backed Yes61c88.52$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.52250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-18%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x81ba…a1e4backed No58c86.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502842.9%12 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed No59c84.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5028950.9%147 W · 142 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked No57c83.3$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.5736554.5%199 W · 166 L+13.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed No19c81.84$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4751516.1%83 W · 432 L-49.9wins-0.10per pick26cpaid-38.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0e72…54f0backed Yes62c80.65$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.656762.7%42 W · 25 L+5.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+22.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2aef…f8dfbacked Yes42c80$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.41735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Yes42c80$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.427051.5%139 W · 131 L+1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No57c77.79$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.381,66234.9%580 W · 1,082 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd47a…4e85backed Yes41c76$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.84728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0ac…1649backed Yes69c72.46$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde13…8dd5backed No59c71$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2062…6be2backed Yes43c69.77$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.777537.3%28 W · 47 L-5.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed No58c69.6$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.722335.4%79 W · 144 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c4c…dc70backed Yes43c69$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.333565.7%23 W · 12 L+5.7wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+35.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9775…8746backed Yes42c66.67$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.675226.9%14 W · 38 L-5.1wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-39.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed No59c66$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.7935661.2%218 W · 138 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe581…6522backed No59c65$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.35250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45c1…4364backed No60c64.03$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.423050%15 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7350…9dc0backed Yes42c59.52$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.5218239.6%72 W · 110 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3e7…db75backed No60c56$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e37…b4d5backed No60c53.99$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.1710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…1c65backed Yes41c51.22$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.228551.8%44 W · 41 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.