Premier League · resolved market
Will Swansea City AFC win on 2026-03-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc73797444c6d109ba7ef8238e3dc431bae29b79a5fd47b7e8fa0b534595877f8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,120
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,120 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 17c | 3,497$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.47 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 70c | 2,866$2,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860.12 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…3111backed Yes | 30c | 1,912$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.49 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 71c | 1,737$1,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.27 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50ec…c1f5backed No | 71c | 1,255$891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.93 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed Yes | 3c | 1,051$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.56 | 271 | 41.7%113 W · 158 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 29c | 917.26$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.11 | 531 | 34.5%183 W · 348 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes | 30c | 862.83$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.07 | 155 | 34.2%53 W · 102 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 70c | 756.71$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.01 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 15c | 523.79$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.72 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb4…d481backed Yes | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 6c | 383.19$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.32 | 423 | 24.3%103 W · 320 L | -36.4wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -47%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2682…5141backed Yes | 10c | 376.2$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.62 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes | 30c | 320.3$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.09 | 139 | 39.6%55 W · 84 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x060c…7d36backed No | 71c | 302.82$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.82 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47d1…7618backed No | 71c | 211.27$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.27 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 9c | 200$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 328 | 22.3%73 W · 255 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Yes | 29c | 188.83$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.76 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 30c | 155.11$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.84 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71a…f135backed Yes | 31c | 149.26$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.27 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a21…50d3backed Yes | 30c | 146.67$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 10c | 143.83$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d77…bc86backed No | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 70cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 29c | 137.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a6…44edbacked No | 71c | 129.05$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.42 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 72c | 113.23$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.09 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2987…4c9bbacked Yes | 30c | 101.7$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4c…dc70backed Yes | 31c | 96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.72 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +5.7wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc85f…15f8backed No | 71c | 90$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.1 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa82a…7dcfbacked No | 70c | 87$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.1 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdeb…8cd1backed Yes | 14c | 78.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 30c | 77.09$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.13 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb1…fa48backed No | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd258…9dfdbacked Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b64…72eabacked Yes | 30c | 66.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 71c | 55$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x169e…de26backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a74…9a36backed Yes | 29c | 38.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 77c | 35.21$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 364 | 62.9%229 W · 135 L | +32.1wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0154…30f7backed No | 71c | 30.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42d6…01ccbacked No | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6f…f414backed No | 71c | 27.14$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.87 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…a9cabacked No | 71c | 26.38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.65 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Swansea City AFC win on 2026-03-13?this page
- Will Wrexham AFC vs. Swansea City AFC end in a draw?No won
- Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-03-13?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.