Premier League · resolved market
Will Wrexham AFC vs. Swansea City AFC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd5b7e31a4d17fe5a21383825335619bda360db6e53244215c770cc7864af9949
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,613
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,613 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed No | 72c | 10,689$7,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,992.79 | 148 | 45.9%68 W · 80 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 28c | 9,075$2,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,541.48 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 75c | 6,409$4,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,614.11 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 24c | 6,121$1,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,482.48 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 71c | 2,656$1,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.9 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Yes | 25c | 1,250$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.5 | 56 | 23.2%13 W · 43 L | -7.5wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -56%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Yes | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 24c | 800$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 236 | 32.2%76 W · 160 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 28c | 463.72$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.66 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…30fcbacked Yes | 22c | 181.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Yes | 33c | 178.79$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 292 | 38.4%112 W · 180 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbc…bdfbbacked Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes | 28c | 178$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.43 | 155 | 34.2%53 W · 102 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Yes | 28c | 150$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 191 | 45%86 W · 105 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 25c | 126.44$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.83 | 571 | 50.4%288 W · 283 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 71c | 120.85$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.05 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1002…1ef5backed Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8549…41f8backed Yes | 29c | 110.34$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 272 | 27.9%76 W · 196 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x501d…52e2backed Yes | 32c | 109.13$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Yes | 28c | 104.77$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.34 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Yes | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 105 | 40%42 W · 63 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 75 | 24%18 W · 57 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 291 | 58.4%170 W · 121 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d73…9d35backed Yes | 19c | 90$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 14c | 88.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 408 | 21.8%89 W · 319 L | -53.7wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x10b7…de43backed Yes | 29c | 80$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Yes | 29c | 75.3$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 365 | 54.5%199 W · 166 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 29c | 69.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 323 | 45.2%146 W · 177 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0154…30f7backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 70c | 50.97$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.19 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 25c | 46.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 497 | 53.7%267 W · 230 L | +27.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 71c | 42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.18 | 356 | 61.2%218 W · 138 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x434d…fba4backed Yes | 28c | 38.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993a…09fcbacked Yes | 29c | 35.59$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -4.3wins | -0.24per pick | 35cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…9ac1backed Yes | 32c | 31.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…a9cabacked No | 72c | 26.01$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 68c | 18.57$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a6…44edbacked No | 72c | 17.46$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.89 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Wrexham AFC vs. Swansea City AFC end in a draw?this page
- Will Swansea City AFC win on 2026-03-13?No won
- Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-03-13?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.