Premier League · resolved market
Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-01-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x943a6b516f251369b1dc4eb8503336009916afcaa4536873695aeae758440565
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,426
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,326
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,426 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 57c | 5,574$3,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400.37 | 857 | 48.5%416 W · 441 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 44c | 2,823$1,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,242.12 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 53c | 2,607$1,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,219.66 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Yes | 43c | 2,093$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 56c | 1,727$967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.34 | 2,558 | 47.7%1,221 W · 1,337 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 44c | 1,096$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.24 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 44c | 652.22$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.21 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 56c | 546.71$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.55 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…bf48backed Yes | 34c | 529.41$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61a3…b1e5backed Yes | 8c | 511$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.77 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 56c | 497.85$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.04 | 533 | 44.8%239 W · 294 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 56c | 393.02$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.93 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 35c | 284.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.53 | 115 | 34.8%40 W · 75 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 56c | 275.88$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.39 | 399 | 48.4%193 W · 206 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 6c | 254.69$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.21 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 57c | 234.67$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.05 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0f…a571backed Yes | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Yes | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb327…0fccbacked Yes | 44c | 225$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 69c | 221.3$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.16 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 66c | 210.86$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.18 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked No | 15c | 206.39$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.57 | 102 | 34.3%35 W · 67 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 42c | 205.47$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 285 | 31.2%89 W · 196 L | -20.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 43c | 204$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.72 | 222 | 29.3%65 W · 157 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbec3…360dbacked Yes | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 44c | 185.48$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.61 | 200 | 27%54 W · 146 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 57c | 161.99$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.66 | 722 | 49.9%360 W · 362 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 43c | 153.49$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 495 | 44.2%219 W · 276 L | -20.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6c…08bfbacked Yes | 43c | 130.23$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 31c | 129.22$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.02 | 577 | 44.4%256 W · 321 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Yes | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 243 | 49%119 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90a5…9dccbacked No | 12c | 100$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | +10.8wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x611a…e63ebacked Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 44 | 13.6%6 W · 38 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 8cpaid | +62.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 440 | 36.8%162 W · 278 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 55c | 99.98$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.49 | 396 | 51.5%204 W · 192 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cfe…2fd8backed No | 23c | 94$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.77 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +105.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b90…710fbacked Yes | 36c | 90$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed No | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.33 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 45c | 76.67$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.4 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f3…bb19backed No | 57c | 70$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.1 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 135 | 42.2%57 W · 78 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x694c…eb70backed Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -3.3wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 54c | 44.87$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 518 | 47.3%245 W · 273 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53bf…6162backed No | 59c | 41.97$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbf…6631backed No | 61c | 41.92$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.35 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -4.7wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…a1a8backed No | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 216 | 48.6%105 W · 111 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0052…4d9ebacked No | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 46 | 82.6%38 W · 8 L | +9.4wins | +0.20per pick | 62cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2382…4628backed No | 56c | 22.73$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 69c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-01-20?this page
- Will Leicester City FC win on 2026-01-20?No won
- Will Wrexham AFC vs. Leicester City FC end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.