Premier League · resolved market
Will Wrexham AFC vs. Leicester City FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x779fe35f501d364b8a141534414481c97b52afcb4a0a4b4b2d2fd94c5d993ff3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,734
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,246
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,734 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e8d…3eeabacked Yes | 38c | 1,443$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900.17 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 19c | 1,294$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,048.92 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 68c | 1,097$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.96 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.28 | 170 | 42.9%73 W · 97 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 72c | 671.56$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.52 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes | 28c | 530.85$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.21 | 108 | 38.9%42 W · 66 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 28c | 403.57$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.57 | 197 | 32.5%64 W · 133 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 71c | 352.84$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.16 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 28c | 180$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.6 | 233 | 53.6%125 W · 108 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 7c | 177$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 614 | 41.2%253 W · 361 L | -27.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0052…4d9ebacked Yes | 75c | 120$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 46 | 82.6%38 W · 8 L | +9.4wins | +0.20per pick | 62cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb821…5cddbacked No | 73c | 100.84$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.61 | 112 | 65.2%73 W · 39 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 72c | 76.16$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.84 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 33c | 73.87$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.27 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…c966backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 70 | 30%21 W · 49 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 52c | 65$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.05 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 72c | 42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 520 | 60.4%314 W · 206 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 69c | 40.33$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.8 | 533 | 44.8%239 W · 294 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbf…6631backed No | 58c | 34.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.12 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -4.7wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Yes | 29c | 34.54$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked No | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 286 | 54.2%155 W · 131 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 42c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf32a…8a3dbacked No | 58c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed No | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 122 | 45.1%55 W · 67 L | -7.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 75c | 17.73$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff8…7073backed No | 67c | 15.22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +68.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Wrexham AFC vs. Leicester City FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Leicester City FC win on 2026-01-20?No won
- Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-01-20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.