Premier League · resolved market
Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-04-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd881cee2457308e48730813e17331118a63e11911a8d3352ee0516c880ce3d97
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,328
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,502
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,328 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf472…a262backed Yes | 4c | 3,442$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.68 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 13c | 2,869$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 252 | 25%63 W · 189 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d23…dd2bbacked Yes | 24c | 2,263$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 76c | 1,350$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.14 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 531 | 34.5%183 W · 348 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 10c | 599.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 328 | 22.3%73 W · 255 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 72c | 500$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 170 | 62.4%106 W · 64 L | +13.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 72c | 399.11$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.44 | 2,558 | 47.7%1,221 W · 1,337 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No | 72c | 390.58$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.36 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 72c | 339$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.92 | 277 | 52.3%145 W · 132 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…5b9ebacked Yes | 27c | 314.81$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 72c | 309.53$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.76 | 698 | 51.1%357 W · 341 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed No | 72c | 300$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 127 | 57.5%73 W · 54 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x639e…a9d4backed Yes | 29c | 251.72$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -5.2wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 72c | 249.99$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 810 | 53.6%434 W · 376 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe720…0f1cbacked No | 73c | 246.58$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.58 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 74c | 194.6$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.25 | 200 | 59.5%119 W · 81 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Yes | 28c | 179.18$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.17 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x788e…e086backed Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 72c | 165.08$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.26 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4d…d793backed Yes | 26c | 128.62$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e40…7d1fbacked Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 51 | 11.8%6 W · 45 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -67%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbec3…360dbacked Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 17c | 96.43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 297 | 35.4%105 W · 192 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…87b5backed Yes | 29c | 88.38$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.21 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 26c | 81.42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.17 | 200 | 27%54 W · 146 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5926…a9debacked Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 72c | 77.99$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 1,636 | 52.9%866 W · 770 L | +32.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb651…4a7cbacked No | 72c | 74.29$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x019a…f457backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 72c | 59.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 227 | 46.7%106 W · 121 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 23c | 57.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.18 | 423 | 24.3%103 W · 320 L | -36.4wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -47%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd066…9eecbacked Yes | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 129 | 45.7%59 W · 70 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x954e…927fbacked Yes | 27c | 44.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 72c | 42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 356 | 61.2%218 W · 138 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Yes | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 125 | 32.8%41 W · 84 L | -10.6wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33eb…b07ebacked No | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 44 | 72.7%32 W · 12 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…c57abacked No | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 69 | 66.7%46 W · 23 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 71c | 29.72$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.62 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…4961backed No | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x633b…ff9ebacked No | 73c | 13.79$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.72 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-04-11?this page
- Will Birmingham City FC vs. Wrexham AFC end in a draw?No won
- Will Birmingham City FC win on 2026-04-11?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.