Premier League · resolved market
Will Birmingham City FC vs. Wrexham AFC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbfe656bfea4676bd34dafdead9631c1da9c49d90481f75c6aad91c027624f853
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,675
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,988
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,675 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf472…a262backed Yes | 1c | 9,995$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.96 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 33c | 1,767$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.62 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…873dbacked No | 74c | 1,351$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.35 | 111 | 69.4%77 W · 34 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 67c | 1,128$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.29 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 26c | 880.3$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.59 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56e0…1a3bbacked Yes | 32c | 625$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 71c | 586.73$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.79 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 72c | 528.57$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4522…ef10backed Yes | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x412a…802cbacked Yes | 28c | 504.64$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.3 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8642…47c8backed No | 73c | 479.45$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.45 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2043…6407backed Yes | 28c | 425$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 18c | 329.65$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.42 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 77c | 280.06$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.66 | 533 | 44.8%239 W · 294 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc62e…108dbacked No | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -4.0wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -46%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed No | 73c | 206.89$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.86 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 13c | 182.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 423 | 24.3%103 W · 320 L | -36.4wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -47%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdd55…c9bfbacked Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 109 | 50.5%55 W · 54 L | +11.5wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +32%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Yes | 26c | 164$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.64 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked No | 74c | 164$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.64 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac9e…cca3backed No | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 69c | 129$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.99 | 200 | 59.5%119 W · 81 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 29c | 102$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.84 | 571 | 50.4%288 W · 283 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 75 | 24%18 W · 57 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x713a…258dbacked Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +71.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes | 25c | 90.58$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.65 | 157 | 38.9%61 W · 96 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked No | 66c | 88.79$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.19 | 106 | 34%36 W · 70 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe31d…e7a4backed No | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x298e…8a75backed No | 73c | 68.48$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14c0…e478backed No | 61c | 65.25$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1653…e8e3backed Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…5ba4backed Yes | 26c | 58.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 110 | 19.1%21 W · 89 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 26c | 57.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 594 | 45.5%270 W · 324 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 26c | 55.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 27c | 54.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb17…32b2backed Yes | 37c | 53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.25 | 419 | 56.3%236 W · 183 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed No | 65c | 48.31$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed No | 73c | 43.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 128 | 54.7%70 W · 58 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5a…724cbacked No | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…4c60backed No | 73c | 34.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5926…a9debacked No | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c9…a454backed No | 73c | 20.02$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.41 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 68c | 16.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 406 | 55.2%224 W · 182 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Birmingham City FC vs. Wrexham AFC end in a draw?this page
- Will Birmingham City FC win on 2026-04-11?Yes won
- Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-04-11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.