Premier League · resolved market
Will Birmingham City FC win on 2026-04-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe2f3a3c32d7aa5dc1099d9c1431c4ee4efe8d158764a576b7d220e80e7d46280
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,989
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,135
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,989 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked No | 1c | 4,990$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.9 | 130 | 5.4%7 W · 123 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…873dbacked Yes | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.91 | 111 | 69.4%77 W · 34 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked Yes | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.91 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 58c | 2,058$1,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.39 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26e7…cc6cbacked No | 54c | 1,757$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$948.52 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee19…555ebacked Yes | 45c | 1,504$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827.3 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 33c | 1,442$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.88 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 54c | 1,058$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.68 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed No | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 531 | 34.5%183 W · 348 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 76c | 719.59$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.6 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 54c | 674.87$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.73 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6af…b5efbacked Yes | 46c | 652.17$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.17 | 82 | 63.4%52 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 46c | 513.04$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.04 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked No | 54c | 400$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 54c | 350$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 451 | 42.6%192 W · 259 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 54c | 318.35$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.91 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e4…d947backed Yes | 38c | 291.89$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.84 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.3wins | +0.30per pick | 52cpaid | +73.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 32c | 252.04$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.74 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ae…9badbacked Yes | 44c | 250$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 74c | 240.91$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.03 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed No | 22c | 227.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.14 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0833…bc88backed Yes | 73c | 220.65$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.44 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…5b9ebacked Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed No | 55c | 216$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.8 | 127 | 44.1%56 W · 71 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Yes | 45c | 216$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.8 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked No | 54c | 199.99$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 45c | 181.16$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.64 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e1c…53f2backed No | 55c | 179.35$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.64 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed No | 55c | 163.63$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x639f…6b8dbacked No | 17c | 156.55$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 83 | 36.1%30 W · 53 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 41c | 148.06$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.81 | 533 | 44.8%239 W · 294 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 45c | 142.36$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.3 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked Yes | 38c | 142$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.9 | 106 | 34%36 W · 70 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14ec…0923backed No | 55c | 136.36$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 58c | 132.75$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.95 | 406 | 55.2%224 W · 182 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 52c | 123$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.96 | 200 | 59.5%119 W · 81 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed No | 57c | 117.14$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.6 | 167 | 57.5%96 W · 71 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 54c | 107.74$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.18 | 698 | 51.1%357 W · 341 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Yes | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked No | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 198 | 34.8%69 W · 129 L | -17.3wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9720…2c24backed No | 23c | 90$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | -6.1wins | -0.22per pick | 29cpaid | -75.2%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 45c | 86.15$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.61 | 571 | 50.4%288 W · 283 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…82f2backed No | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 136 | 35.3%48 W · 88 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 57c | 77.35$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.93 | 395 | 55.9%221 W · 174 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked No | 57c | 77.35$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.93 | 108 | 61.1%66 W · 42 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed No | 57c | 77.35$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.93 | 125 | 61.6%77 W · 48 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67c9…1798backed Yes | 44c | 76.59$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.89 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 38cpaid | +97.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2d…8452backed Yes | 37c | 67.57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.57 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 44c | 65.1$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.2 | 423 | 24.3%103 W · 320 L | -36.4wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -47%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 57c | 62.61$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.56 | 240 | 52.9%127 W · 113 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked No | 57c | 62.61$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.56 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 57c | 62.61$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.56 | 300 | 57%171 W · 129 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked No | 53c | 54.8$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.89 | 206 | 51.9%107 W · 99 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 58c | 53.96$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 212 | 54.2%115 W · 97 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6687…b9ddbacked No | 58c | 53.96$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Yes | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 53c | 48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.44 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Yes | 39c | 46.34$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.48 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 58c | 42.77$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.83 | 288 | 59.7%172 W · 116 L | +19.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 58c | 42.77$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.83 | 235 | 56.2%132 W · 103 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 58c | 42.77$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.83 | 275 | 52.7%145 W · 130 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed No | 58c | 42.77$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.83 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed No | 58c | 42.77$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.83 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b77…1953backed Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c8e…cebfbacked No | 55c | 40.38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.21 | 48 | 27.1%13 W · 35 L | -6.6wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x33eb…b07ebacked Yes | 75c | 40.2$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 44 | 72.7%32 W · 12 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 54c | 39.39$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.27 | 809 | 53.6%434 W · 375 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 54c | 38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked No | 26c | 37.75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 82 | 19.5%16 W · 66 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed No | 49c | 32.72$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.97 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked No | 56c | 31.77$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…1dafbacked Yes | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +4.8wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 54c | 28.93$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.62 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…5198backed No | 60c | 28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 58 | 69%40 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5926…a9debacked No | 51c | 27.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed No | 57c | 24.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db8…e193backed No | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd1…94acbacked Yes | 80c | 15.14$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 317 | 47.6%151 W · 166 L | -14.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Birmingham City FC win on 2026-04-11?this page
- Will Birmingham City FC vs. Wrexham AFC end in a draw?No won
- Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-04-11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.