Premier League · resolved market
Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-02-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x76ed6c3b2f634fd83b0c2821cec4b0bce4e83fc5b0663b7b0bc6cfbca0064275
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,782
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,820
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,782 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 36c | 7,000$2,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,520 | 506 | 44.3%224 W · 282 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 64c | 3,322$2,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,190.82 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 65c | 2,702$1,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$933.42 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 64c | 2,584$1,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930.29 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 531 | 34.5%183 W · 348 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 37c | 963$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.86 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 63c | 802.39$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.53 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 64c | 400$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 399 | 48.4%193 W · 206 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Yes | 36c | 300$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 440 | 36.8%162 W · 278 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 64c | 299.39$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.78 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0f…a571backed Yes | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 200 | 27%54 W · 146 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 64c | 178$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.69 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 36c | 175$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 64c | 159.33$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.36 | 722 | 49.9%360 W · 362 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed No | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe656…448abacked Yes | 36c | 150$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbec3…360dbacked Yes | 39c | 138$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.82 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 34c | 134.05$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 285 | 31.2%89 W · 196 L | -20.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5562…3b41backed Yes | 37c | 127$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.18 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…9ac1backed Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 88 | 36.4%32 W · 56 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 66c | 99.37$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.84 | 571 | 50.4%288 W · 283 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed No | 64c | 94.95$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.18 | 95 | 56.8%54 W · 41 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 63c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…9496backed Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 296 | 44.6%132 W · 164 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce11…4a49backed Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 351 | 34.8%122 W · 229 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 63c | 42.26$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.46 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 61c | 38$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.82 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Yes | 36c | 31.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 159 | 49.1%78 W · 81 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 63c | 20.95$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-02-07?this page
- Will Millwall FC win on 2026-02-07?Yes won
- Will Wrexham AFC vs. Millwall FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.